RedSky Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 NAM is similar to the Hrrr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 18 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Here’s the HRRR. The RAP is similar. Pockets of 8+ inches still exist in SE Lehigh County on this map. Macungie near Bear Creek Mtn Resort is an example of this on the map. We must be realistic. There will be lollipops with banding. I am just glad we got a winter storm warning. Time to relax and let the sky start puking white stuff. I think many will be commenting on the snow rates in the morning. That is what makes this event special big snowflakes, intense, brief whiteout conditions and great sledding and snowman making. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 1 minute ago, LVblizzard said: 0z runs so far are not good for the Philly burbs. 3-6” now compared to the 6-12” solutions from earlier today. But the 12k NAM verbatim is at (10:1 which won't be happening) or almost (Kuchera) getting to WSW criteria for the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 2 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: 0z runs so far are not good for the Philly burbs. 3-6” now compared to the 6-12” solutions from earlier today. They are caving to the 18z ECM Go figure. 4-7" Still feels like victory however. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 3k NAM still has the higher totals in the city. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Nice to see the euro and NAM shift the heavier bands further north away from 95. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 WV radar and stuff/yellows are building heading our way, it kinda looks on schedule. Down to 43F. If I'm in the 30s by midnight and radar is filling in I'd consider that a win... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Finally tipped the bucket with 0.01". Temp is 43 and dp 40 with light rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Just like claiming victory prematurely I probably shouldnt accept failure yet, but my thinking that this was too early in the pattern change and SE PA would be close but no cigar looks like an epic fail. But those are the fails I like...so yeah. Relax Ralph it has not happened yet. I too STILL have my doubts. We shall see currently 42.3f dewpoint 37f so we aren't close to changeover yet, but I know not to look for this prior to 5 am here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 13 Author Share Posted February 13 Snow reports in Collegeville and KOP on mPING. Those have to be bogus, right? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Dropsondes in and 00z so far has kicked the heavier stuff further north . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 48 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Here’s the HRRR. The RAP is similar. I will take my 7.2" of snow and call it a winter. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 13 Author Share Posted February 13 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I will take my 7.2" of snow and call it a winter. Latest HRRR ups you to 7.9”! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Latest HRRR ups you to 7.9”!New RAP bumps her way north . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Latest HRRR if you choose to believe increases totals from 0z to 1z.. and not yet done....yep I know it's a reach! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 1 minute ago, LVblizzard said: Latest HRRR ups you to 7.9”! Looking more and more like a general widespread 4-8". I consider that damn good. And we have wsw's. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 RRFS coming in now, still dumping at this hour though . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 If these short range models verify and I have to use my snowblower I would be content to call the season over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 13 Author Share Posted February 13 1 minute ago, anthonyweather said: RRFS coming in now, still dumping at this hour though . This. This is the model I choose to believe. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 2 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: Latest HRRR if you choose to believe increases totals from 0z to 1z.. and not yet done....yep I know it's a reach! Tuckerton, NJ / Little Egg Harbor jackpot 2 straight runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 I'm taking the the RRFS home with me it's kismet 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 43 Dp37 drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Both wrf's way south and colder: Eta: top map is 12z....savor it anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 FWIW. the RRFS nearly doubled the totals from its previous run. I don’t know the verification on the model, it’s relatively new. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Looking more and more like a general widespread 4-8". I consider that damn good. And we have wsw's. Down here in Media Delaware County I am going to take these factors into mind here in Central Delaware County: 1. Temps above freezing overnight. 2. Warm ground temps. 3. elevation 4. rate dependent snows My snowfall totals in Delaware County: Media 2-4" Ridley 1-3" Newtown Square 3-6" All broughs along the Delaware River 1-2" Garnet Valley 3-5" Radnor 3-6" Havertown 2-4" Springfield 2-4" Broomall / Marple 2-4" Chester 1-2" Swarthmore 1-3" Clifton Heights 1-3" Upper Darby 1-3" Drexel Hill 1-3" Eastern Delaware County 1-2" Think I covered it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Beautiful . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 6 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Looking more and more like a general widespread 4-8". I consider that damn good. And we have wsw's. Dude we stealing other regions snow, we will have to go into hiding after this 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 5 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Tuckerton, NJ / Little Egg Harbor jackpot 2 straight runs It's sleet warm tonuge of air coming off the ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Just now, RedSky said: Dude we stealing other regions snow, we will have to go into hiding after this Shit, we are and always have been a snow-region. No shame in our game. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 9 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: RRFS coming in now, still dumping at this hour though . Don’t tell my wife but… I’m in LOVE with this model‼️ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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