LVblizzard Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Figured I’d make a thread since we’re close enough to the storm that we’re immune to the bad fortune a dedicated thread brings. Hopefully. As it stands now, this looks like a significant storm for the Lehigh Valley and Poconos with plowable snow north of the turnpike, and a nuisance event towards the immediate Philly area. Should be a fun one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I know no one wanted to make a thread lest they jinx it but I think you guys up there have a better chance of avoiding the jinx! The sun was trying to pop out here earlier but am currently clouded over and 44, with dp 34. Don't expect to see anything until much later this evening but we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Latest 12z GFS with yet another shift south. Sounding provided is for SE PA valid at 12z tomorrow morning. Fully saturated through the DGZ with maximum omega as well. It's going to thump around the morning commute, easily 1-2"+ rates for a time. Even though it's a quick moving storm, some places will see over 6" with rates that heavy for a time 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 15z RAP throws Philly weenies a bone… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 you had to do it.......... LOL 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 after looking at the latest model runs, very high per hour snowfall rates will be achieved with this snowfall. The outstanding thing in this snow event is that whiteout conditions - like snow squalls will be achieved at times. Driving will be a complete nightmare everywhere. Four wheel/all wheel drive vehicles that are high profile will be the main vehicles driving around. The main arterial and local intersections and interstate on/off ramps will be an absolute clusterF&*k with stranded or incapacitated vehicles as the plows will not be able to keep up to keep the roads clear with the snowfall rates. PADOT MUST Issue their warnings this afternoon/ this evening to keep empty trucks trailers and oversize vehicles off the roads in the LV. I would recommend a Tier 3-4 warning based on the intensity of the snowfall and not just on the anticipated accumulations. IMHO, if you do not have to be out do not go out. Its the other drivers that I worry about as many younger drivers have not experienced 4-6 inch snow covered roads to drive on in without being plowed in over five years. The media must point this out. Imagine now that many drivers in their mid to upper twenties have never experienced these anticipated winter conditions since 2016. This storm will be a different animal hitting our area during peak morning rush hour and snow coming down pretty hard than many drivers have seen. Good luck https://www.penndot.pa.gov/TravelInPA/Winter/Pages/Vehicle-Restrictions.aspx 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 56 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: 15z RAP throws Philly weenies a bone… BARK BARK! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Uncle UKIE goes even further south now with a SNJ jackpot lolz 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Starting to buy into the idea of an area-wide 5-10". With real heavy rates. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I got nothing. No SWS, HWO, no WWA, not even a flood advisory. Hope the white here in Chesco changes to something later today. Congrats to our northern zones. Enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 7 minutes ago, Lady Di said: I got nothing. No SWS, HWO, no WWA, not even a flood advisory. Hope the white here in Chesco changes to something later today. Congrats to our northern zones. Enjoy! and western zones as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Another shift SE on the Euro cut LHV and NE PA down a bit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: Another shift SE on the Euro cut LHV and NE PA down a bit Wow. And Euro has been the driest with this storm. Glad to see it is picking up the southern trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 Unless the mesos go way SE I’m not putting any stock in the Euro at all. Under 24 hours it’s typically better to look at mesos than globals. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 19 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: Another shift SE on the Euro cut LHV and NE PA down a bit Pivotal kuchera maps show half these amounts The JB clown algorithm is ridiculous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 HRRR still wallops the LV/Poconos early tomorrow morning. It has 3” of snow at ABE by the time the Euro just begins to change over to snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 17 minutes ago, RedSky said: Pivotal kuchera maps show half these amounts The JB clown algorithm is ridiculous You would really love the 10:1 maps! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 EPS is south no surprise there. But still shows an area wide 6-8" snow with a few lolipops of 8-10" * of course that is with 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 17z RAP and still thumping at that hour...I believe! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 minutes ago, The Iceman said: 17z RAP and still thumping at that hour...I believe! Lol would love to see that verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, ChescoWx said: HRRR.... 1 minute ago, ChescoWx said: HRRR. Can we trust it.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Gonna be interesting to see what Meso wins this event, getting crazier right up to game time. I’m feeling pretty good spot out here in Western Berks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 . 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 Zoomed in HRRR. I think the entire subforum would be happy with this! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Wow! Look at me now!! Eastern Chesco going to get some sort of statement coming out by 4, I would think with these latest trends. But what about temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, Heisy said: . What is happening? Would love if that came close to verifying! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Unless the mesos go way SE I’m not putting any stock in the Euro at all. Under 24 hours it’s typically better to look at mesos than globals.RAP and HRRR just did. Ugh. Were even slowly losing this one up here . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Atleast you guys will win something this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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