Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 closed 500mb https://ibb.co/Fg4gcGV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 "Up to 2 inches" WWA for eastern loudoun. Reasonable call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 14 minutes ago, Terpeast said: 18z 3k NAM IAD sounding right when it flips 0.16” precip after the switch. Inch or less given temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: "Up to 2 inches" WWA for eastern loudoun. Reasonable call Forget reasonable I want reasonable worst case!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 NWS went as extreme conservative as you can go for northern counties in my opinion not that it matters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I don’t know how, and I’ll believe it when I see it, but we might have just reeled in something out of nothing again. Snowtown USA baby! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, Ravens94 said: NWS went as extreme conservative as you can go for northern counties in my opinion not that it matters. Nah totally right call. Everything is very marginal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 15 minutes ago, AmericanWxFreak said: It’s great to have the RAP and HRRR both on our side, and the NAM is just so, so close! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: 0.16” precip after the switch. Inch or less given temps. Yeah...looks wide left to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Imagine being on the wrong side of this line. What a curse 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, TSSN+ said: Nah totally right call. Everything is very marginal. Agreed. Now it could backfire if it's a high impact event during the morning rush but typically marginal events don't break completely right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Imagine being on the wrong side of this line. What a curse You rang? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxtrix Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 hours ago, stormtracker said: Blah. I'm. being a deb, but the RAP and HRRRRR? Don't they kinda suck? yes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Imagine being on the wrong side of this line. What a curse I’m just barely in the purple. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Nah totally right call. Everything is very marginal. Marginal or not huge boom potential vs low side. Not even warm out today and this event comes in at 6am 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Imagine being on the wrong side of this line. What a curse 19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonTownT Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Are the school districts going to catch up here or are we going to be getting 4am texts? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 hours ago, high risk said: minor addendum: it's still very much experimental and is not scheduled for implementation now until 2025 I've taken a look at it and it seems all over the place this winter. 4 hours ago, WxUSAF said: I’ve seen a few things suggested: stronger lakes shortwave weaker and more positively tilted southern shortwave 4 hours ago, wxmeddler said: No, it's the timing of how the southern stream cut off low ejects, it's been getting slower / further west. Allowing the northern stream s/w over SK/MB/ND to kick it further south. It can be more than one thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Imagine being on the wrong side of this line. What a curse Delete this 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Still going 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, TowsonTownT said: Are the school districts going to catch up here or are we going to be getting 4am texts? 4AM texts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 19Z HRRR is dumping itDUMP IT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Round Hill WX Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Imagine being on the wrong side of this line. What a curse Poor Yoder….he gets no snow and still has to give Randy $200. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 This sounding alone would blow the forecasted 1-2 inches for bel air out of the water. There's some incredible snow growth. PW near .7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I feel bad for all of the mulch beds and trash can tops out there....this is going to be such a surprise i'm guessing some won't make it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 What were forecasted high temps today? Did we bust low?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 15 minutes ago, Scraff said: I don’t know how, and I’ll believe it when I see it, but we might have just reeled in something out of nothing again. Snowtown USA baby! Isn’t this 3 snowstorms in the last month or so with significant south trends under 24 hours of onset? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 minutes ago, Round Hill WX said: Poor Yoder….he gets no snow and still has to give Randy $200. Maybe they can meet up to swap funds in Georgetown. Roads should be just fine there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Western Loudoun Special incoming 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Counting on the HRRR to verify 15 hours out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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