Terpeast Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Wouldn’t be surprised to see a WWA in the next tier of counties south of the current WSW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 18 minutes ago, RockabilyJunior said: I wasn't following over the weekend and now I am very confused. Is it snowing tomorrow? It seems way too warm. Do we expect any accumulation? Rain. No accumulation 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Bel air sounding from the RAP. Just bonkers 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 This is so reminiscent of the late Jan 2010 storm. Not in the type of storm because they are night and day different, but I’m the hopefully late trending our way. We shall see I suppose 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Wouldn’t be surprised to see a WWA in the next tier of counties south of the current WSW Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, Ravens94 said: Bel air sounding from the RAP. Just bonkers <snip> Sloptastic 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, wxmeddler said: Sloptastic That muffled scream you hear is the utility company. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 13 minutes ago, H2O said: The 17z HRRR has it snowing at IAD with a temp/DP of 37/37. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 The HRRR has got my house, tough to tell with the maps, at about 4” in one hour starting around 4 am. I would get out of bed for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 5 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Rain. No accumulation * For Georgetown, specifically. 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, MN Transplant said: The 17z HRRR has it snowing at IAD with a temp/DP of 37/37. What is the temp at 950? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, MN Transplant said: The 17z HRRR has it snowing at IAD with a temp/DP of 37/37. lol can ring those snowflakes out like a sponge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: The HRRR has got my house, tough to tell with the maps, at about 4” in one hour starting around 4 am. I would get out of bed for that. Got me at 6ish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: What is the temp at 950? Doesn’t matter at that point. White rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 22 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: Still too warm for immediate metro but N/W with elevation this could be something. But red flag is the Euro is about 5 degrees warmer than the RAP at 12z. Euro has DC at 39 and RAP at 34. Isn't that just rates? Euro just seems drier overall. I think the question is whether you buy the mesos with the intense dump or is that being overplayed and the Euro is correct with less intense rates? Or maybe something in the middle, which seems like the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: That muffled scream you hear is the utility company. When they scream it sounds like hundreds of chainsaws? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 16 minutes ago, Ji said: only when they dont show what we want Yeah, if the models were flipped and they were trash and Euro was good, we would be hugging the hell out of the Euro. It's been a rough winter and looks kinda bleak now the rest of the way. The mesos for this one are the only thing we have. I am fully prepared to be heartbroken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Isn't that just rates? Euro just seems drier overall. I think the question is whether you buy the mesos with the intense dump or is that being overplayed and the Euro is correct with less intense rates? Or maybe something in the middle, which seems like the GFS. Yeah, maybe, but whenever in reent memory we were waiting on a 10+ degree temp drop in order to get snow without any arctic air nearby, the warmer models are usually right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Doesn’t matter at that point. White rain. I said this a couple weeks ago I think, but in my experience you can accumulate with temps 33-34 certainly. 35 is possible but really needs to be thumping. 36 and higher is just white rain. Of course rates and temps are linked and higher rates will cool the surface down some. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 The NE forum is not the place to be right now. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 whoa the 17z RAP still snowing 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: The NE forum is not the place to be right now. Big Mid Atlantic vibes up there right now. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Lets get the WWA extended into northern moco! Parrs ridge usually comes through. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 7 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I said this a couple weeks ago I think, but in my experience you can accumulate with temps 33-34 certainly. 35 is possible but really needs to be thumping. 36 and higher is just white rain. Of course rates and temps are linked and higher rates will cool the surface down some. Yup, matches my experience. Now, the surface could be wrong on the HRRR obviously, but I hate seeing the DPs so high. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 11 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I said this a couple weeks ago I think, but in my experience you can accumulate with temps 33-34 certainly. 35 is possible but really needs to be thumping. 36 and higher is just white rain. Of course rates and temps are linked and higher rates will cool the surface down some. This is where models won't recognize local climo. In short, it'll likely snow in areas that historically have in marginal situations, and won't in the others. This is a N/W special at best IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Oof, that eps run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Latest HRRR. Valid at 6am tomorrow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, Terpeast said: Oof, that eps run What’s the news? Wxbell has 06z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 24 minutes ago, Warm Nose said: * For Georgetown, specifically. DC or DE? Asking for a friend.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 12z EPS mean tries for 6" - 8" for @mappy, @asalt1, and @psuhoffman 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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