Ravens94 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Blah. I'm. being a deb, but the RAP and HRRRRR? Don't they kinda suck? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: yeah RAP says everyone needs WSW stat. and as @Ravens94 would say... still going Whoa! Now that there...even half of it would take this wave out of the logbook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, stormtracker said: Blah. I'm. being a deb, but the RAP and HRRRRR? Don't they kinda suck? All the globals are headed that way just slower. This is a meso storm for sure lots of dynamics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, Ravens94 said: I mean this is just phenomenal Still too warm for immediate metro but N/W with elevation this could be something. But red flag is the Euro is about 5 degrees warmer than the RAP at 12z. Euro has DC at 39 and RAP at 34. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, stormtracker said: Blah. I'm. being a deb, but the RAP and HRRRRR? Don't they kinda suck? you mean the best short-range models America has to offer? Yeah 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: Still too warm for immediate metro but N/W with elevation this could be something. But red flag is the Euro is about 5 degrees warmer than the RAP at 12z. Euro has DC at 39 and RAP at 34. Euro is warmer since it lacks heavy precip. Euro has been wrong the last 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: Still too warm for immediate metro but N/W with elevation this could be something. But red flag is the Euro is about 5 degrees warmer than the RAP at 12z. Euro has DC at 39 and RAP at 34. RAP does what it does because of rates more than anything, imo. I think it's probably wayyyy to heavy. But it's plausible imo to use that word loosely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 We a RAP board now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, Ravens94 said: Euro is warmer since it lacks heavy precip. Euro has been wrong the last 2 We will see but in pretty much all of the marginal events like this in recent memory without CAD it usually works to pick the warmer models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 GEFS Essentially near benchmark Many members are hard hits 3 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 RAP/HRRR bias at this range is too heavy with precip and will adjust. However, this is a fairly dynamic event, so it might not be THAT far off. This is a tightrope forecast. There will be winners and losers within close proxy of each other. The higher your elevation, the better. Especially if you have latitude. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: We will see but in pretty much all of the marginal events like this in recent memory without CAD it usually works to pick the warmer models. This will be a dynamic event the soundings are showing some crazy stuff aloft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 NE thread and Twitter meltdown over the 12z Euro is pretty insane. 1 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: NE thread and Twitter meltdown over the 12z Euro is pretty insane. What does Euro map look like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, Ravens94 said: GEFS Essentially near benchmark Many members are hard hits Beautiful 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 8 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Blah. I'm. being a deb, but the RAP and HRRRRR? Don't they kinda suck? only when they dont show what we want 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, blizzardmeiser said: What does Euro map look like? skunks the entire 95 corridor up through NYC and boston, warm and not much snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Oh man....NE has gotta be sweating. The Euro is like 2" for them. Somebody said the UKIE came a little south too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, stormtracker said: Oh man....NE has gotta be sweating. The Euro is like 2" for them. Somebody said the UKIE came a little south too 12z UKMET came south and has an absolutely brutal cutoff for NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 8 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Blah. I'm. being a deb, but the RAP and HRRRRR? Don't they kinda suck? Lol yes. I’m just going to hug the euro 10:1 map for MBY and go “lalala can’t can’t hear you” when somebody points out my temp is like 40F when it’s snowing 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said: 12z UKMET came south and has an absolutely brutal cutoff for NE. I wouldn't even wish that on my worse enemy. That's tough 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I wouldn't even wish that on my worse enemy. That's tough Yea wishing that on anyone is terrible karma. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 15 minutes ago, Ravens94 said: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Oh man....NE has gotta be sweating. The Euro is like 2" for them. Somebody said the UKIE came a little south too NYC already cancelled schools for tomorrow, which used to be pretty rare. And BOX has over a foot in the forecast for Boston proper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I wouldn't even wish that on my worse enemy. That's tough You know what? They're like 300+ miles away from us and they get far more snow than we do year after year. Not sure I can feel for them after what we've been going through these past many years and the epic long-range fail period we're heading into. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 12z euro shows more snow for the metros than 0z/6z, though that’s not saying much. Just 1” verbatim for mby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 You know what? They're like 300 miles away from us and they get far more snow than we do year after year. Not sure I can feel for them after what we've been going through these past many years and the epic long-range fail period we're heading into.They’ve had a pretty rough go of it over the last few years as well. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, H2O said: All worship the rate deities. TROWAL be our light. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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