Solution Man Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Simply put, everything is better. The questions is, is better enough? It might be too late for NOVA/D.C., but MD is surely in the game. We need about a 75 mile bump south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 8 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: CMC was better than the RGEM this run. Rare to see them that far apart. The RGEM has been strange with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 RAP is in 4 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: CMC was better than the RGEM this run. Rare to see them that far apart. CMC was the one that first saw the snowstorm that caused the FCPS debacle in Jan 2015 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Rates and elevation are going to be key tomorrow. Going to be a few haves and many have nots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 16 minutes ago, jayyy said: Watch up in the northern tier Welcome to 2 hours ago lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 No 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Welcome to 2 hours ago lolI’ve been on vacation man! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 No Sit down grumpy 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 RAP is in5” in Baltimore? Okaaay. Central MD about to reel another one in sub 24 hours? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: No 1 minute ago, jayyy said: Sit down grumpy No....0ne noticed the Winter Storm Watch for west and north? Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Northwest Harford- 957 AM EST Mon Feb 12 2024 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations around 5 inches are possible. * WHERE...Frederick MD, Carroll, Northern Baltimore and Northwest Harford Counties. * WHEN...From late tonight through Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rain is expected to change to snow between 5 AM and 7 AM. Snow may be heavy at times, with rates of up to 1 inch per hour through mid morning Tuesday. Visibility may be reduced to less than one half mile at times. The combination of wet snow and gusty winds could lead to downed trees and power lines, resulting in isolated power outages. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 If this hits up my way, will be the first time my moving to Hereford zone has truly paid off… 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherShak Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I think I’m going to chase to the WV panhandle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Is there really a storm until the same wsw has been posted 14 times? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 If this was just colder with some CAD to start, this would have been beautiful with the "new" track. 700mb low slides right over top of us with the 850mb low just over southern MD. *chef's kiss* 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, wxmeddler said: If this was just colder with some CAD to start, this would have been beautiful with the "new" track. 700mb low slides right over top of us with the 850mb low just over southern MD. *chef's kiss* Yup. If only we were 3 to 5 degrees colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Yup. If only we were 3 to 5 degrees colder. I heard 50 years ago we were 3 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 hour ago, Terpeast said: I think in this case it comes down to the upper level low track I am really busy today and haven't had a ton of time so behind here...but from a quick glance at stuff I think its simply where the guidance is placing that crazy deform band. Temps are marginal anywhere south of the PA line and so the crazy rates under that band are necessary for any accumulation. Obviously guidance is going to differ a little on exactly where it places that feature. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 RAP is even better and slower 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, Ravens94 said: RAP is even better and slower RAP stands for Really Always Perfect model... right? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 12 hours ago, WEATHER53 said: Coming south? South and a lot of it Models called it game over I didn’t Acknowledge Me(smiley face) 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: RAP stands for Really Always Perfect model... right? Hours to go here too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 SPC runs the HREF at 00z/12z. The 12z 1-hr ensemble mean snowfall rate for northern Washington, Frederick, Carroll, Baltimore, and Harford counties is 1" - 1.5" in some spots. While the ground temperatures are warm, those rates will overcome the ground temporarily and probably cause a dicey AM commute tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, Ravens94 said: Hours to go here too I didn't realize the RAP was updated w/ the HRRR in 2020... i always kinda thought it was a joke. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Been off the board for a bit, anybody have the latest RAP? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Hours to go here tooREEL IT IN WINTERWX / Ravensrule Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I think the most surprising thing so far today is how much the snow gods want Yoda to pay that $200. 1 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 If the NAM + RAP combo pulls this out, imagine moving forward calling those models King NAM and King RAP!? Oooof. That just feels really weird. Maybe we go Queen instead? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 8 minutes ago, Scraff said: If the NAM + RAP combo pulls this out, imagine moving forward calling those models King NAM and King RAP!? Oooof. That just feels really weird. Maybe we go Queen instead? RAP god 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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