stormtracker Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, packfan98 said: Good luck on reeling in another storm! Is this souther or a stay vs 6z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, packfan98 said: Good luck on reeling in another storm! in the immortal words of Ji.....what is this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 This would be a pretty nuts 3 hours for CMD 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Is this souther or a stay vs 6z? Basically shifted everything south a county or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: This would be a pretty nuts 3 hours for CMD Commutageddon vibes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 uhhhh 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: This would be a pretty nuts 3 hours for CMD Now that is a beatdown (whether it verifies is TBD) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 12z 12k nam.. wow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 CAMs were the first to catch on for both Jan events. Can they score a hat trick here? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, Terpeast said: Now that is a beatdown (whether it verifies is TBD) Doesn't look like the 3k is going to agree... which is too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Dayum! Even Georgetown into the action! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, Terpeast said: CAMs were the first to catch on for both Jan events. Can they score a hat trick here? Ironically it was also the NAMs that did this both times previously, if they manage to again maybe we need to joke about them less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Doesn't look like the 3k is going to agree... which is too bad. H5 vort track and strength look similar to me on both. Different qpf maps sure 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3k and 12k way different. Proceed w caution. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 It's the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, snowfan said: 3k and 12k way different. Proceed w caution. Your point still stands but you just used the 6z not the snowier 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, snowfan said: 3k and 12k way different. Proceed w caution. Th0se are old 06z runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 H5 vort track and strength look similar to me on both. Different qpf maps sureProblem is you’d think the 3k would in theory be better with the QPF map. I’m willing to toss just to have something to believe in cause this may be it for winter lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Problem is you’d think the 3k would in theory be better with the QPF map. I’m willing to toss just to have something to believe in cause this may be it for winter lol 3k nam holds onto rain as the ptype for the metros, while 12k is much snowier. It’s going to come down to rates. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 @winter_warlock @SnowenOutThere thanks for catching that. Fixed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I know I probably don’t know what I’m talking about, but I would think that the models are going to struggle with where the heavy snow sets up due to the dynamics off the coast. It just depends on where that low is positioned, right? If it’s OC, DC is out of the game. Doesn’t it need to be around the NC/VA line for DC to get involved? Regardless, it looks like a significant part of our area could do well. Lots of model watching over the next 12 hours! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, snowmagnet said: I know I probably don’t know what I’m talking about, but I would think that the models are going to struggle with where the heavy snow sets up due to the dynamics off the coast. It just depends on where that low is positioned, right? If it’s OC, DC is out of the game. Doesn’t it need to be around the NC/VA line for DC to get involved? Regardless, it looks like a significant part of our area could do well. Lots of model watching over the next 12 hours! I think in this case it comes down to the upper level low track 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 If I see snow at all from this system, I will donate $200 to the board @stormtracker ETA - i will also accept snow reports from Fairfax County as well... as my work/sleep schedule may cause me to miss snow falling if it does 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 19 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: It's the NAM Yes it is. But the HRRR is with it. Getting more interesting for sure. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 If I see snow at all from this system, I will donate $200 to the board [mention=9]stormtracker[/mention] ETA - i will also accept snow reports from Fairfax County as well... as my work/sleep schedule may cause me to miss snow falling if it doesIf i get a snowday out of it, ill donate $20. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 8 minutes ago, yoda said: If I see snow at all from this system, I will donate $200 to the board @stormtracker ETA - i will also accept snow reports from Fairfax County as well... as my work/sleep schedule may cause me to miss snow falling if it does So, if we get snowTV you gonna hand over the 200. Cool. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, stormtracker said: So, if we get snowTV you gonna hand over the 200. Cool. Correct 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Which has fared better this year less than 24 hours from go time: hrrr or nam?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 NAM has a perfect setup for a deform and a spectacular 500mb pass. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 The high to the north was Severely under modeled and the HRRR is only pushing more 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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