snowfan Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 Tighten it up in here. Randy will be here soon for critical NAM pbp. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 Ok f it. Hugging the hrrr and going down with the ship. Gonna stop looking at guidance so I’m not disappointed until I wake up in the morning lol 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 DC gets more snow than Boston on HRRR, that would be the greatest coup in years. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 FCPS VA 2 hour delay. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 1:31 AM, snowmagnet said: FCPS VA 2 hour delay. Expand WERE SO BACK!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 1:16 AM, NorthArlington101 said: I like this 00z HRRR run with the dropsondes in. It’s no worse for the cities. Maybe slightly quicker Expand Seriously though it's great to see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 Alright boys I've got a bowl of incredibly strong weed packed and I am ready to get NAMed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 1:32 AM, Eskimo Joe said: Seriously though it's great to see.I was 1000% sure the extra data would make things worse. Very pleasant surprise. If DCA gets 1” out of this we’re a snow town. IDGAF what’s going on in the LR thread 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 1:18 AM, WesternFringe said: Is it telling that it’s 46° in Staunton and is snowing and raining at the same time right now? Expand I just left Staunton and only had a few sprinkles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 #RAPped 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 Down to 44.1 from a high of 48.0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 00z RAP is back to spitting out 8” of snow with the new data lol. We’re so back. NAMs are gonna smack us. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 If the 00z NAM goes nuts I wonder if we see Mason-Dixon get a warning? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 1:34 AM, NorthArlington101 said: I was 1000% sure the extra data would make things worse. Very pleasant surprise. If DCA gets 1” out of this we’re a snow town. IDGAF what’s going on in the LR thread Expand So do all of these evening runs now have extra data from the hurricane hunters? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 1:38 AM, snowmagnet said: So do all of these evening runs now have extra data from the hurricane hunters? Expand Allegedly the dropsondes from the pass were just added for 00z. 23z HRRR had 2 of the dropsondes added as well, but not the full set of data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 1:38 AM, snowmagnet said: So do all of these evening runs now have extra data from the hurricane hunters? Expand That’s what I heard, and its a good sign 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 13, 2024 Author Share Posted February 13, 2024 I mean, the primary low is already down to 995mb in the TN valley. Impressive at this stage. That transfer is gonna have a 987 over OCMD 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 1:36 AM, EHoffman said: #RAPped Expand Lies. The developer of that model says it's sh*t. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 41.2/40.9 here in 21057 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 1:39 AM, DDweatherman said: I mean, the primary low is already down to 995mb in the TN valley. Impressive at this stage. That transfer is gonna have a 987 over OCMD Expand If only it could tuck a bit south of there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 Ok, NAM has started...let's see what we can back ourselves into 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 1:39 AM, Warm Nose said: Lies. The developer of that model says it's sh*t. Expand Good because every cycle there’s less snow here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 1:41 AM, Deck Pic said: 0z RAP/HRRR has DCA falling to 34 during the snow. Huge bust potential here, but +SN at 33 would accumulate Expand Not sure how we can bust when our forecast is for nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 13, 2024 Author Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 1:41 AM, snowmagnet said: If only it could tuck a bit south of there... Expand I hear you, I think it may. The temps currently are actually dropping. Some noticeable CAA (tho the air isn’t that cold) bleeding in from the north. you want a tickle from that n/s wave that has helped keep this south of previous progs. For one, it’ll help bleed in some more cold air, and two it’ll cause some nice dynamics on the NW side of the low. H7 and h85 lows do close off nearby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 1:41 AM, Deck Pic said: 0z RAP/HRRR has DCA falling to 34 during the snow. Huge bust potential here, but +SN at 33 would accumulate Expand It can snow above 32. I remember a storm in late January 2000 when I watched a steady (surprise) snow storm that was supposed to be rain. My husband was taking friends to the airport in Baltimore and it was bad. It was close to 40 degrees the whole time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Andrew Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 1:42 AM, stormtracker said: Ok, NAM has started...let's see what we can back ourselves into Expand 1/25/2000 would be nice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 0z NAM does have the low a little north of 18z at 5hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 A tad warmer so far... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 The 00z HRRR is now dry slotting the Valley up to New Market. QP has dropped 1.00" in 4 hrs.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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