Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 11:43 PM, clskinsfan said: Where is the cold air coming from? Expand Low pressure is a little N in Tenn from where models had it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 11:43 PM, clskinsfan said: Where is the cold air coming from? Expand These systems generally create their own cold air. Duh. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 11:37 PM, clskinsfan said: My bad. Winchester city is closed. No the county yet. Just saw the alert and assumed. Expand Thanks..that's weird they closed the city prior to the county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 11:43 PM, clskinsfan said: Where is the cold air coming from? Expand Dynamics! 3 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 11:03 PM, stormtracker said: Yeah, the guy who helped developed the RAP says it's shit, lol Expand To be fair, he only said it was shit for snow totals 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 11:43 PM, clskinsfan said: Where is the cold air coming from? Expand Top of the troposphere. Didn't you see the Day after Tomorrow? 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 11:47 PM, EastCoast NPZ said: Thanks..that's weird they closed the city prior to the county. Expand Yeah. Its even more ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 HRRR starting to get a clue at this point: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 11:23 PM, primetime said: Because it's way better to know now and plan accordingly for being late to work, as opposed to having to worry about it at 5am. Expand So it is better to have kids miss two hours of school for a possible non event? You can plan either way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 11:50 PM, clskinsfan said: HRRR starting to get a clue at this point:Snow depth isn’t fair - but it was a worse run for DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
09-10 analogy Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 11:19 PM, Ravens94 said: HRRR shows a definite chance for thundersnow Expand Wedges in Bermuda. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 18z EURO pretty stellar for our northerner friends. Send pics tomorrow! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 This thing is looking pretty damn dynamic. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 12:04 AM, NorthArlington101 said: 18z EURO pretty stellar for our northerner friends. Send pics tomorrow! Expand Will do. 23z RAP still showing 6" up here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 12:07 AM, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Will do. 23z RAP still showing 6" up here. Expand Better resolution than the model frames you post though please. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 12:04 AM, NorthArlington101 said: 18z EURO pretty stellar for our northerner friends. Send pics tomorrow!Kuchera not nearly as good though. We arent getting 10:1 with this. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 12:09 AM, Ravens94 said: I’ve lost 5” of snow on the RAP in 2 hours. Uh oh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 12:12 AM, NorthArlington101 said: I’ve lost 5” of snow on the RAP in 2 hours. Uh oh Expand It's unironically over for us. Though some would argue it never really began. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
primetime Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 11:51 PM, Interstate said: So it is better to have kids miss two hours of school for a possible non event? You can plan either way. Expand Honestly, yeah. If nothing happens, what's 2 hours? And plus, my phone and then my wife's phone doesn't ring at 5am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 this storm is gonna be dependent on rates, if we get them accumulation concerns are minimal even with marginal sfc temps 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 23z Hrr looks a little bit better. https://ibb.co/nDFbQ8Y 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Ramjet Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 11:43 PM, clskinsfan said: Where is the cold air coming from? Expand From up above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 12:16 AM, primetime said: Honestly, yeah. If nothing happens, what's 2 hours? And plus, my phone and then my wife's phone doesn't ring at 5am. Expand I am glad you think so. I rather have my kids be learning something. You are a grown adult. You can turn your phone on if you know a text may be coming in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 HRRR is just moving precip around. Another 4-8 run at 10:1 and 3-6 at model ratio. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 23z hrrr data had 2 dropsondes into it, 0z runs will have the full source of data 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 Good luck guys, I think we are to far south in NOVA/DC for this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 Hrrr has a mesoblob that forms over western VA and crushes us for a few hours. My favorite hrrr run so far. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 What time looks the most insane up at the Watershed? I'm planning on being there around 9am. I want to hike up to Salamander Rock during peak storm conditions. Thundersnow up there would be epic. I'm chasing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherShak Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 10:28 PM, dailylurker said: Heading to South Mountain tomorrow morning to hike to Annopoils Rocks. Should be better up there. Great snow hike! Have fun! I drove up to my cabin for this. Plan on teleworking tomorrow. I’m 30ish miles as the crow flies west of where you’re hiking - up on a ridge top. Can see Annapolis Rocks area with my binoculars!. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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