Ravens94 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 6:07 PM, stormtracker said: Blah. I'm. being a deb, but the RAP and HRRRRR? Don't they kinda suck? Expand All the globals are headed that way just slower. This is a meso storm for sure lots of dynamics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 6:07 PM, Ravens94 said: I mean this is just phenomenal Expand Still too warm for immediate metro but N/W with elevation this could be something. But red flag is the Euro is about 5 degrees warmer than the RAP at 12z. Euro has DC at 39 and RAP at 34. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 6:07 PM, stormtracker said: Blah. I'm. being a deb, but the RAP and HRRRRR? Don't they kinda suck? Expand you mean the best short-range models America has to offer? Yeah 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 6:08 PM, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: Still too warm for immediate metro but N/W with elevation this could be something. But red flag is the Euro is about 5 degrees warmer than the RAP at 12z. Euro has DC at 39 and RAP at 34. Expand Euro is warmer since it lacks heavy precip. Euro has been wrong the last 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 6:08 PM, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: Still too warm for immediate metro but N/W with elevation this could be something. But red flag is the Euro is about 5 degrees warmer than the RAP at 12z. Euro has DC at 39 and RAP at 34. Expand RAP does what it does because of rates more than anything, imo. I think it's probably wayyyy to heavy. But it's plausible imo to use that word loosely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 We a RAP board now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 6:09 PM, Ravens94 said: Euro is warmer since it lacks heavy precip. Euro has been wrong the last 2 Expand We will see but in pretty much all of the marginal events like this in recent memory without CAD it usually works to pick the warmer models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 GEFS Essentially near benchmark Many members are hard hits 3 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 RAP/HRRR bias at this range is too heavy with precip and will adjust. However, this is a fairly dynamic event, so it might not be THAT far off. This is a tightrope forecast. There will be winners and losers within close proxy of each other. The higher your elevation, the better. Especially if you have latitude. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 6:11 PM, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: We will see but in pretty much all of the marginal events like this in recent memory without CAD it usually works to pick the warmer models. Expand This will be a dynamic event the soundings are showing some crazy stuff aloft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 NE thread and Twitter meltdown over the 12z Euro is pretty insane. 1 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 6:12 PM, Eskimo Joe said: NE thread and Twitter meltdown over the 12z Euro is pretty insane. Expand What does Euro map look like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 6:11 PM, Ravens94 said: GEFS Essentially near benchmark Many members are hard hits Expand Beautiful 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 2 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 6:07 PM, stormtracker said: Blah. I'm. being a deb, but the RAP and HRRRRR? Don't they kinda suck? Expand only when they dont show what we want 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 6:13 PM, blizzardmeiser said: What does Euro map look like? Expand skunks the entire 95 corridor up through NYC and boston, warm and not much snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 Oh man....NE has gotta be sweating. The Euro is like 2" for them. Somebody said the UKIE came a little south too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 6:16 PM, stormtracker said: Oh man....NE has gotta be sweating. The Euro is like 2" for them. Somebody said the UKIE came a little south too Expand 12z UKMET came south and has an absolutely brutal cutoff for NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 6:07 PM, stormtracker said: Blah. I'm. being a deb, but the RAP and HRRRRR? Don't they kinda suck? Expand Lol yes. I’m just going to hug the euro 10:1 map for MBY and go “lalala can’t can’t hear you” when somebody points out my temp is like 40F when it’s snowing 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 6:17 PM, Eskimo Joe said: 12z UKMET came south and has an absolutely brutal cutoff for NE. Expand I wouldn't even wish that on my worse enemy. That's tough 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 6:19 PM, stormtracker said: I wouldn't even wish that on my worse enemy. That's tough Expand Yea wishing that on anyone is terrible karma. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 6:05 PM, Ravens94 said: Expand 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 6:16 PM, stormtracker said: Oh man....NE has gotta be sweating. The Euro is like 2" for them. Somebody said the UKIE came a little south too Expand NYC already cancelled schools for tomorrow, which used to be pretty rare. And BOX has over a foot in the forecast for Boston proper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 6:19 PM, stormtracker said: I wouldn't even wish that on my worse enemy. That's tough Expand You know what? They're like 300+ miles away from us and they get far more snow than we do year after year. Not sure I can feel for them after what we've been going through these past many years and the epic long-range fail period we're heading into. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 12z euro shows more snow for the metros than 0z/6z, though that’s not saying much. Just 1” verbatim for mby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 6:22 PM, mattie g said: You know what? They're like 300 miles away from us and they get far more snow than we do year after year. Not sure I can feel for them after what we've been going through these past many years and the epic long-range fail period we're heading into.They’ve had a pretty rough go of it over the last few years as well. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 6:15 PM, H2O said: Expand All worship the rate deities. TROWAL be our light. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 Wouldn’t be surprised to see a WWA in the next tier of counties south of the current WSW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 6:05 PM, RockabilyJunior said: I wasn't following over the weekend and now I am very confused. Is it snowing tomorrow? It seems way too warm. Do we expect any accumulation? Expand Rain. No accumulation 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 Bel air sounding from the RAP. Just bonkers 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now