snowfan Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 The NAM and it’s hires relative are differing in their evolution of this event in our sub. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 Quite significant and sudden shift south. Prob a blip, but it’s something. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 I’d stick with the 3km NAM, not to be a downer, 12km just isn’t realistic . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 Big jump south on 3k NAM too. Good for high elevations in northern MD verbatim. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 NAM'd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 Looks promising Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 RGEM is coming in south of 12Z as well. Hmmmm. Its just too warm. Dews in the mid 30's aint gonna cut it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 On 2/11/2024 at 8:34 PM, Heisy said: I’d stick with the 3km NAM, not to be a downer, 12km just isn’t realistic . Expand 12km NAM is pretty useless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 On 2/11/2024 at 8:34 PM, Heisy said: I’d stick with the 3km NAM, not to be a downer, 12km just isn’t realistic . Expand Kuchera is a little lower—but I don’t we uplanders would be sad with 2-3 inches given how this looked last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 18z GFS made a big move south (not quite enough for immediate metro) and would get the northern crew in the game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 On 2/11/2024 at 9:50 PM, rjvanals said: 18z GFS made a big move south (not quite enough for immediate metro) and would get the northern crew in the game The good Twitter Mets are observing a pretty stout shift southward in the cutoff low over the plains. Could save NE MD. Heck… if it’s stout enough… 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 On 2/11/2024 at 9:51 PM, NorthArlington101 said: The good Twitter Mets are observing a pretty stout shift southward in the cutoff low over the plains. Could save NE MD. Heck… if it’s stout enough… Expand Bostons on the northern edge this run… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 On 2/11/2024 at 9:51 PM, rjvanals said: Bostons on the northern edge this run…NYC kinda needs this one. Their snow drought is arguably worse than ours at this point. If it wanted to jump another 150 miles south, I wouldn’t stop it though 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 Perhaps someone near the M/D can score. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 I also don’t think I saw anyone post the weeniest 12k NAM map, so just for laughs: 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 On 2/11/2024 at 9:52 PM, NorthArlington101 said: NYC kinda needs this one. Their snow drought is arguably worse than ours at this point. If it wanted to jump another 150 miles south, I wouldn’t stop it though Expand Yeah we need another shift like the 18z had but it’s close enough to monitor after the SB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 Back in the day things would shift north like this every run. 20-40 miles at a time. We’ve got lucky twice this year with it going the other way. Can we do it one more time? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 On 2/11/2024 at 10:00 PM, NorthArlington101 said: Back in the day things would shift north like this every run. 20-40 miles at a time. We’ve got lucky twice this year with it going the other way. Can we do it one more time? Expand If we somehow bring this one back then the second thread rule actually broke the simulation 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 On 2/11/2024 at 10:03 PM, SnowenOutThere said: If we somehow bring this one back then the second thread rule actually broke the simulation Expand Ah but there was a wrinkles...it was unpinned 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 Stole this from elsewhere… but the Graphcast-EURO was real suppressed at 12z. I assume it’s mostly rain/very wet snow for our favored spots, but it’s a very different look than the globals gave at 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 On 2/11/2024 at 10:03 PM, SnowenOutThere said: If we somehow bring this one back then the second thread rule actually broke the simulation Expand If I drive 20 Miles se theres nothing. 20 miles nw there's a foot. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 On 2/11/2024 at 10:07 PM, NorthArlington101 said: Stole this from elsewhere… but the Graphcast-EURO was real suppressed at 12z. I assume it’s mostly rain/very wet snow for our favored spots, but it’s a very different look than the globals gave at 12z. Expand Got any other fun models 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 On 2/11/2024 at 10:11 PM, aldie 22 said: Got any other fun models that’s @paulythegun ‘s specialty. The AI-enhanced EURO is at least pseudo legit. Probably better than the CRAS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 On 2/11/2024 at 10:10 PM, Chris78 said: If I drive 20 Miles se theres nothing. 20 miles nw there's a foot. Wow Expand The 6” line is 3 miles to my north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 On 2/11/2024 at 10:25 PM, WVclimo said: The 6” line is 3 miles to my north Expand Looks like you need a couple of ass hair moves 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 That ns vort has been quietly trending south the last 6-8 runs. Continue that for for another 24 hours, the N&W crew may back into something here 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 21z RAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 GEFS definitely bumped south. Another 50 miles and NMD is well in game 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 NS energy starting to get sampled by the upper air network. Suddenly it shifts south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 If we could fall into 1-2” from this, that would be wild. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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