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2024 Valentines Day Who the Hell Knows - Comeback Thread


DDweatherman
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  On 2/10/2024 at 3:02 PM, DDweatherman said:

If yall want entertainment check out the New England storm thread where they’re just clobbering this red tagger lol 

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It's pretty funny.   Storm is kinda falling apart for everybody per NAM.  Let's see what Sir GFS has to say in 30 mins

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  On 2/10/2024 at 3:54 PM, wxmeddler said:

Primary 850mb low goes up to about Wheeling, and the secondary forms around Wilmington. Oof.

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Funny how gfs is farthest north after being on the south Island. Primary has hung on longer on some recent runs even in the “better” outcomes. euro and nam now on southern end of guidance

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  On 2/10/2024 at 4:00 PM, DDweatherman said:

Funny how gfs is farthest north after being on the south Island. Primary has hung on longer on some recent runs even in the “better” outcomes. euro and nam now on southern end of guidance

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It's because the GFS has gotten stronger with the s/w aloft. If you look at 300mb at 02-13 00z, the area of greatest difluence was over SW VA but with the stronger s/w, it's moved 100 miles NW towards KY/S OH. That isn't much aloft, but damn does that 100 miles mean a lot for advection at the surface  with the apps in the way.

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