DDweatherman Posted February 9 Author Share Posted February 9 @peribonca with the post delete on positive gfs changes. Good news is gfs is actually on north end of guidance minus the icon. And those two models stink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Gfs blah. Took PSU snow away and shifted the axis north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 9 Author Share Posted February 9 Great news is the gfs will start going back south at 0z given the way things go with these threads. And euro and friends will continue to beef up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 9 Author Share Posted February 9 Just now, stormtracker said: Gfs blah. Took PSU snow away and shifted the axis north New data coming at 1030 tonight thank god Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alfoman Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Just now, stormtracker said: Gfs blah. Took PSU snow away and shifted the axis north Almost identical low placement to 12Z, just more amped and axis of precip moves north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 9 Author Share Posted February 9 1 minute ago, Alfoman said: Almost identical low placement to 12Z, just more amped and axis of precip moves north On that frame it’s really carbon copy of 12z, snow line is actually a bit more south in parts of PA and the low is at 988. If we could get euro’s precip axis with that low strength we’d be in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Let's will this thing south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 9 Author Share Posted February 9 The more I look at 18z, it seems more of a hold. Might be gfs stopping the bleed and about to head back south a bit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 The last 3 gfs runs have the snow axis in a pretty similar spot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 9 Author Share Posted February 9 5 minutes ago, Amped said: The last 3 gfs runs have the snow axis in a pretty similar spot. Agreed. Low was just more intense on 18z. Actually brings heavier snow closer to m/d line in York county and Lanco than the last 2 runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 RADIO SHOW *Tonight, join me, Bob Ryan, special guest Joe Bastardi 2 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 lol. Not really. See yall for the 0z pbp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 9 Author Share Posted February 9 Just now, stormtracker said: lol. Not really. See yall for the 0z pbp 18z euro gonna be rockin 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 17 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Gfs blah. Took PSU snow away and shifted the axis north Maybe a difference between the SV and WB maps lol 18z 12z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 9 Author Share Posted February 9 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Maybe a difference between the SV and WB maps lol 18z 12z Yeah 18z wasn’t worse than 12z other than h5/h7 low positioning and that was 25 miles difference. stronger low earlier dynamically got a few places more snow vs 12z, especially further E Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Maybe a difference between the SV and WB maps lol 18z 12z Hmm. Yeah that’s a little different. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Ok who’s putting their eggs in the gfs basket. A few days ago it was the worst model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 9 Author Share Posted February 9 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Ok who’s putting their eggs in the gfs basket. A few days ago it was the worst model We hope it still is since the euro is closer and has been trending south along with its ensembles. Wagons south, there’s no way we can get 3 south trends in one winter right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 9 Author Share Posted February 9 GEFS at 18z gets 4” line down to Baltimore. Op is on the northern side of the low positions envelope. someone throw up the WB if they get a chance to compare to 12z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Seems like the GFS has been out of sync with its own ensembles for the last 24 hours. Does it seem like there will be a correction south on the OP, or is it being skewed by two very different camps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 9 Author Share Posted February 9 Just now, paxpatriot said: Seems like the GFS has been out of sync with its own ensembles for the last 24 hours. Does it seem like there will be a correction south on the OP, or is it being skewed by two very different camps? It was camps related at 12z it seemed, this frame is beautiful from 18z gefs. I did see low positions and OP was on northern edge 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Seems like the GFS has been out of sync with its own ensembles for the last 24 hours. Does it seem like there will be a correction south on the OP, or is it being skewed by two very different camps? I’d trust gfs over its outdated ensembles 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 I’d trust gfs over its outdated ensembles Wisdom of the crowd. Thats why my favorite model is the SREF - so many plumes! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 9 Author Share Posted February 9 Tasty 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Some slight changes on the 12z...southern s/w held back just a tad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 s/w noticeably further west a bit...but not much to change anything it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Noticed that the precip field is more consolidated and heavier down south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 The vort is further back west and looks more south than it did at 12z 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now