Brian D Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 1 minute ago, andyhb said: That tornado near Marshall WI is nasty. Was just going to mention. Strong sig on radar developed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Castaway Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 Seems to be heading by Waterloo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Castaway Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 Well defined debris hole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 Mesoscale Discussion 1379 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0655 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024 Areas affected...West-central into northeast Illinois Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 222355Z - 230200Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Some increase in severe threat is expected for western and northern portions of Illinois. Damaging winds are the expected main hazard, but a conditional tornado threat will also exist. A watch is likely this evening. DISCUSSION...Some increase in severe potential can be expected across portions of western into northern Illinois this evening. Activity currently in Wisconsin near the surface low/warm front may eventually congeal and push farther southward into Illinois. Additionally, storms along the cold front may move in from the west. The current expectation is that activity will generally be more linear in terms of storm mode with primarily a threat of damaging winds. While 850 mb winds are expected to modestly increase this evening, the low-level shear vector orientation will not be overly favorable for QLCS circulations. It is possible some discrete elements could develop ahead of the front/convective line which would pose a marginally greater tornado risk. Another uncertainty is the low-level moisture with eastward extent. Current surface observations show a dry pocket in the Chicagoland vicinity. Some higher dewpoints do exist to the southwest and should make some attempt to advect northeastward tonight, but the exact magnitude of moisture return is uncertain. ..Wendt/Gleason.. 06/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...DVN... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1379.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
outflow Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 39 minutes ago, Stebo said: I was up here We waited until it came across the bay and as soon as it got close it spun up. They got so lucky in Port Austin. It was about a mile and a half off shore and about a 1/4 milee wide. It was a legit tornado over water. I didn't leave bad axe til about 10 minutes before the waterspout I didn't think it would come close enough to land with the haze to get a decent look at anything and then at the last minute drove up there. I'm about 2 miles se of your location in my Pic looking nw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 3 minutes ago, outflow said: I didn't leave bad axe til about 10 minutes before the waterspout I didn't think it would come close enough to land with the haze to get a decent look at anything and then at the last minute drove up there. I'm about 2 miles se of your location in my Pic looking nw Nice yeah we came up here for the chance of tors and waited out the storm across the bay. I thought for sure we were skunked then the storm got close to shore and spun up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 19 minutes ago, Castaway said: Well defined debris hole. Current warning on this had the tornado listed as nearly stationary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 large tornado debris signature near Watertown, WI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Castaway Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 8 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Current warning on this had the tornado listed as nearly stationary Interestingly new development popped ahead of it to its southeast right afterwards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 cell near Janesville wants to do something too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 new supercell with a tornado next to Janesville WI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 Looks like a tor in Janesville too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 Just now, SchaumburgStormer said: Looks like a tor in Janesville too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metallica470 Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 3 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Looks like a tor in Janesville too Text states confirmed tornado Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 Janesville is PDS warned. Quote Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 752 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024 WIC105-230115- /O.CON.KMKX.TO.W.0047.000000T0000Z-240623T0115Z/ Rock WI- 752 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CDT FOR EAST CENTRAL ROCK COUNTY... At 752 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located over Janesville, moving east at 40 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. Locations impacted include... Janesville, Milton, Tiffany, Hanover, Johnstown Center, Avalon, Afton, and Emerald Grove. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 4258 8918 4272 8917 4279 8878 4257 8878 TIME...MOT...LOC 0052Z 260DEG 35KT 4265 8898 TORNADO...OBSERVED TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 0-3km helicity up to 200 to 300 m2/s2 in that part of WI Interesting that mid level lapse rates were not all that good today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 new confirmed tornado Quote ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN WALWORTH AND SOUTHWESTERN KENOSHA COUNTIES... At 831 PM CDT, tornado producing storms were located along a line extending from Como to near Lake Geneva to near Hebron, moving east at 40 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luckyweather Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 https://x.com/PettusWX/status/1804681264936415268 Janesville tornado on traffic cam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 Made it to southwest side of Janesville just after 7 p.m. Positioned four miles NW of JVL. Stayed in the same spot for 30 minutes and watched a meso approach from the west. As it got closer, it finally tightened. It was time to hightail it back east.Closer to town, a rotating wall cloud was readily apparent as it went tornado warned and sirens sounded.We diverted south of the airport, which led to trees and a tough view but it was apparent things were rocking just to the north.Home an hour later after a drive where we flirted with the edge of the bowing severe complex and some very impressive gusts. 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 Watching lightning has got to be fun, if you are staying up late tonight in Chicago. It seems like limited amounts of flooding are a bigger threat than wind gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 Argyle looks bad in the first look from our live camera at work this morning. This building was a historic church, and look at that tree damage. We don't see that in southern WI too often. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 We were dumped on last night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 39 minutes ago, Cary67 said: We were dumped on last night. Ended up with over 2” of much needed rain here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MNstorms Posted June 24 Share Posted June 24 Holy CAPE. 6000 - 8000.This is forecasted for me. I've never seen helicity tracks like this. Meanwhile the HRRR went back to being dry. Derecho? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted June 24 Share Posted June 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted June 24 Share Posted June 24 Enhanced risk for 30% wind introduced for our WI friends 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 24 Author Share Posted June 24 The QLCS Saturday evening/night was the second best action of the year here at home, behind Feb 27th (Kind of sad, isn't it). Peak wind gusts of 50-55MPH and ended up with over 1" of rainfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted June 24 Share Posted June 24 1 hour ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Enhanced risk for 30% wind introduced for our WI friends I am not enthused by this at all. With how wet our soils are, and how most of our vulnerable trees, being the EAB ash trees, are either still in or have been in water. We are highly vulnerable to significant wind. And with it coming through at like 1am, that could cause even more issues. Even 60mph winds could cause issues tonight, let alone anything stronger than that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted June 24 Share Posted June 24 4 minutes ago, Geoboy645 said: I am not enthused by this at all. With how wet our soils are, and how most of our vulnerable trees, being the EAB ash trees, are either still in or have been in water. We are highly vulnerable to significant wind. And with it coming through at like 1am, that could cause even more issues. Even 60mph winds could cause issues tonight, let alone anything stronger than that. Silver maple, cottonwood, Siberian elm are some others to be concerned with when it comes to wind and wet ground. Even locust trees. These already have weaker structures so to speak. Not a good situation with that rain/wind threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted June 24 Share Posted June 24 2 hours ago, Geoboy645 said: I am not enthused by this at all. With how wet our soils are, and how most of our vulnerable trees, being the EAB ash trees, are either still in or have been in water. We are highly vulnerable to significant wind. And with it coming through at like 1am, that could cause even more issues. Even 60mph winds could cause issues tonight, let alone anything stronger than that. For all the storms this year, been a while since we had an old-fashioned, southeastward-moving midnight classic Midwest 'Rachel. At least, one affecting southern Wisconsin. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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