Chicago Storm Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 As is always the case, this thread is for short term activity that isn't thread worthy and medium range potential. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 8 Author Share Posted February 8 Regarding today across IA/IL/WI... Not too surprising, but the four-some of models that were most enthused with today have been too high with dew points across the target area. The HRRR, RAP, FV3, and RRFS had been consistently advertising a solid area of low-mid 50's dew points developing across the target area. However, in reality dew points are running several degrees behind those projections, only in the mid-upper 40's as of 2PM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 1 hour ago, Chicago Storm said: Regarding today across IA/IL/WI... Not too surprising, but the four-some of models that were most enthused with today have been too high with dew points across the target area. The HRRR, RAP, FV3, and RRFS had been consistently advertising a solid area of low-mid 50's dew points developing across the target area. However, in reality dew points are running several degrees behind those projections, only in the mid-upper 40's as of 2PM. Not too surprising unfortunately, although SPC has an MD out. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0113.html Shame, really because this is a nice setup otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Isn't there definitely an unwarned nader or potential for one on that cell north of Peoria Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 8 Author Share Posted February 8 8 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: Isn't there definitely an unwarned nader or potential for one on that cell north of Peoria It's high based from all reports from those on it. Nearby OBS is 60/47, so makes sense. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 8 Author Share Posted February 8 Now there's a tor warning and a brief tornado report. Activity is working into an area with cooler temps/higher dew points, thus smaller spreads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Nice to see supercell structure on Feb 8th. Deep moisture limited, but these babies definitely wanted to get frisky. Some quick crappy cell pics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Cluster of storms about to hit. Almost constant thunder and lightning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mogget Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 T-Warned in Albany, WI. Nice light show so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Don’t know if the cooler temps are affecting atmospheric optics/acoustics but this lightning and thunder is some of the most vivid I can recall 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 8 Author Share Posted February 8 Obviously there has been some severe, but if dew points had gotten as high as the outlier guidance had shown, things would have been off to the races today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 7 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Obviously there has been some severe, but if dew points had gotten as high as the outlier guidance had show, things would have been off to the races today. This would have been great if it was a month later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 The main line hit the house. Huge burst of hail and about 50 mph winds featuring a fun hail on snow pile pic 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mogget Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Funnel cloud in the backyard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 535 PM CST Thu Feb 8 2024 WIC025-045-105-090015- /O.CON.KMKX.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-240209T0015Z/ Green WI-Rock WI-Dane WI- 535 PM CST Thu Feb 8 2024 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CST FOR NORTHEASTERN GREEN...NORTHWESTERN ROCK AND SOUTHEASTERN DANE COUNTIES... At 534 PM CST, a confirmed tornado was located near Albany, or near Evansville, moving northeast at 40 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and half dollar size hail. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Stoughton, Oregon, Evansville, Brooklyn, Albany, Magnolia, Dayton, Attica, and Cooksville. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 4264 8953 4277 8958 4293 8941 4293 8910 4272 8918 4265 8936 TIME...MOT...LOC 2334Z 233DEG 36KT 4275 8942 TORNADO...OBSERVED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 pretty much a verified tornado now close to Evansville (tornado report at Albany at 5:37central) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 That escalated quickly BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 550 PM CST Thu Feb 8 2024 The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northern Rock County in south central Wisconsin... Southeastern Dane County in south central Wisconsin... Southwestern Jefferson County in southeastern Wisconsin... * Until 630 PM CST. * At 549 PM CST, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located near Evansville, moving northeast at 45 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. * Locations impacted include... Whitewater, Stoughton, Fort Atkinson, Jefferson, Lake Mills, Milton, Edgerton, Evansville, Johnson Creek, Cambridge, Lake Ripley, Lake Koshkonong, Fulton, Albion, Hebron, Utica, Rockdale, Busseyville, Cooksville, and Indianford. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 4272 8927 4287 8936 4305 8902 4309 8874 4285 8868 4284 8877 4283 8878 TIME...MOT...LOC 2349Z 237DEG 37KT 4279 8922 TORNADO...OBSERVED TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 2 hours ago, CheeselandSkies said: Not too surprising unfortunately, although SPC has an MD out. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0113.html Shame, really because this is a nice setup otherwise. Famous last words, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Massive CC drop by Evansville, Wi 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Spc kinda dropping the ball with no watch in effect with this many supercells popping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 2 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Spc kinda dropping the ball with no watch in effect with this many supercells oippit I think they did well. This is overachieving my expectations by a lot, otherwise I would have actually gone out lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Can see the debris fallout on this scan. Go figure, this 2% day with dewpoints barely (if even) touching 50 will not only go down as the first February in Wisconsin history, but one most destructive/noteworthy in south-central Wisconsin in quite some time. Missed my parents just to the southeast, similar to the Dane Co. one from 3/31/23 which I called them about as I was on my way home from my Keota chase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Looking NNW toward the Wisconsin action.Temp went up a degree or two here. A burst of rain drops with the slightest bit of ice chased me inside. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Seen a couple videos of the Evansville-Edgerton tornado. Actually looked smaller than I was expecting based on the size/depth of the CC drop. Must have been small but fairly strong, and hit a lot of stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Unconfirmed reports of about 20 homes damaged. 6 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: Seen a couple videos of the Evansville-Edgerton tornado. Actually looked smaller than I was expecting based on the size/depth of the CC drop. Must have been small but fairly strong, and hit a lot of stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 The tornado in Wisconsin came very close to Vince Waelti's house where his family was at. Missed his house by likely less than a mile. He was chasing this storm and was on this tornado when he realized that this tornado was going to track towards his house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mogget Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 The funnel cloud in my backyard is what hit Evansville-Edgerton. I’d post pix but can’t figure out the size limit. And no power to turn on the computer to adjust them. Maybe tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Nice action Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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