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2/13 Significant/Major Winter Storm Discussion & Observations


Northof78
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8 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

 

Yep I already had 4.0 inches as of 5:15 AM, the models had me thinking 2.0 inches would be a win when I went to bed at 11:00

Highland Mills NY, 45 miles NNW of midtown

Radar looks great for us.. Big bust incoming up here 

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30 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

As of 5 am, we're at 33F with 1/2" of mixed snow/sleet on the ground.  Just woke up at 5 am so I didn't see the changeover, but the radar indicates we likely changed from rain to snow around 4 am.  Every surface is covered including the streets in front of our house and it's likely having some sleet helped with overcoming melting as sleet pellets have a much lower surface area per unit volume than snowflakes and melting only occurs at the surface, so melting is much slower for sleet.  For all of those saying snow/sleet wouldn't accumulate after the rain with above 32F temperatures, you should've paid attention to my days of posts on this, lol.  

As of 6 am, it's still 33F and we have almost 1" of snow/sleet on the ground with it being all snow sinsce about 5:30 pm with moderate snow falling now (nice dendrites). Going to need more intensity (more than 1" per hour and we've been less than that), though, to get more than 7" by noon, when things wind down.

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3 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said:

Not understanding these posts. Yesterday southern Ny was supposed to get 12-18 inches in spots. Those areas are now getting 1-2 and even that might be high. 

I'm 45 miles north of NYC in Highland Mills NY and I'm approaching 5 inches already, forget the maps look at the results.

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