Allsnow Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, Volcanic Winter said: What do you think for me in interior northern Ocean? Models have been kind but officially it’s all rain. Thermals will for sure be an inhibitor. 1-3 on grass realistic? Not sure what to expect at this point. 1-3 but I could see you getting more then that if it switches earlier 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg g Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 6 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Here's the incoming flight into Orlando. https://www.flightaware.com/live/flight/DAL2082/history/20240212/2100Z/KLGA/KMCO They will probably reassign the aircraft to a different route. All of the airlines are going to be pulling assets out of the NY airports until things settle down. That’s probably going to be one bumpy ride through the Carolinas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Down to 998. Keep an eye on strength and location. SPC Hourly Mesoscale Analysis (noaa.gov) 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfastx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 hour ago, nycsnow said: Still 8-12 nyc metro Long Island westchester And 9 inches for DC... lmao. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, mikem81 said: Down to 998. Keep an eye on strength and location. SPC Hourly Mesoscale Analysis (noaa.gov) You sure about 998? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yaz Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Moisture feed from Pacific! 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 They're still hanging on to the higher amounts up here. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 29 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: How many of these winter storm warnings will be dropped completely or downgraded by tonight? i say they shave off from poughkeepsie north, keep everything else the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 6 minutes ago, Picard said: They're still hanging on to the higher amounts up here. Interesting. Precip field will be more expansive than EURO/UKIE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 They're still hanging on to the higher amounts up here. Interesting.. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 21z RAP coming in with a solid bump NW so far through 12 hours compared to 20z. per NE Forum 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, allgame830 said: 21z RAP coming in with a solid bump NW so far through 12 hours compared to 20z. per NE Forum RAP was a southern outlier so that’s good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdj5211 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, psv88 said: RAP was a southern outlier so that’s good RAP needs to come about 75 miles NW to be in the sweet spot. Still holding firm on heaviest axis of snow through CNJ and LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, jdj5211 said: RAP needs to come about 75 miles NW to be in the sweet spot. Still holding firm on heaviest axis of snow through CNJ and LI Maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, psv88 said: RAP was a southern outlier so that’s good I truly believe we see a shift back north at 0z… how much idk 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, nycsnow said: Maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Truthfully you probably don't want to see mostly snow down to near ACY like the RAP is showing if you want big snows NYC area. This will have a pretty narrow axis of heaviest snow I think. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Went from 12-15” to 2-4” here in a matter of 12 hrs lol. Hopefully you guys cash in down there! It’s been a rough stretch for you guys 3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, HVSnowLover said: Truthfully you probably don't want to see mostly snow down to near ACY like the RAP is showing if you want big snows NYC area. This will have a pretty narrow axis of heaviest snow I think. Models seem to have stopped the south shifts so looks like central NJ to NYC/LI are good to go. Finally a good storm trending the right way at the end! 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Models seem to have stopped the south shifts so looks like central NJ to NYC/LI are good to go. Finally a good storm trending the right way at the end! LI is in a good spot. NYC probably in a good spot although concern is if the best dynamics are SE of NYC then NYC would deal with white rain due to UHI. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishcast_hater Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Bernie From AccuWeather voicing his frustration with this storm:. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Big band showing up at end of HRR can see the dark blue engulfing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, nycsnow said: Big band showing up at end of HRR can see the dark blue engulfing The plus side of the south trend is it might be almost all snow from the get go which would help with accumulations. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 5 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: LI is in a good spot. NYC probably in a good spot although concern is if the best dynamics are SE of NYC then NYC would deal with white rain due to UHI. It’ll still be tough in Midtown to accumulate but the colder places in the city look to get crushed. And I think up near I-84 should still be good since there’s very often a northern fronto band with good ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: It’ll still be tough in Midtown to accumulate but the colder places in the city look to get crushed. And I think up near I-84 should still be good since there’s very often a northern fronto band with good ratios. I can see Long Island as a whole doing good as storm blows up more… latest HRR shows that as it engulfs the whole island with a heavy band at hour 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Temp down to 37 DP dropped to 29. Definitely did not get as warm as it was supposed to today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 6 minutes ago, jm1220 said: It’ll still be tough in Midtown to accumulate but the colder places in the city look to get crushed. And I think up near I-84 should still be good since there’s very often a northern fronto band with good ratios. I remember in Feb 2010, the first storm, not the big one later, they were showing a bunch of slush in Midtown, not much happening. Next day though, in CP, I took a walk and it was nearly a foot of snow; someone made a snowman sitting on a bench smoking a cigar..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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