SBUWX23 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, Rjay said: I understand what you're saying but you're not adjusting to what the models are showing tn. NYC is not on the southern fringe of the snow anymore. They're on the southern fringe of the heavy stuff. We could def see bumps north on the models tomorrow but what happens if we see more bumps south? Do you hold onto your thoughts just for the sake of being stubborn? I was even skeptical earlier today but seeing these trends and where the mid level low ends up Tuesday morning I'm more optimistic now. Models help guide us and now things look more reasonable to expect snow down to NYC and LI Tuesday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Mid level tracks check out here too, all decently south of LI. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, TriPol said: Hard to ignore that 48 hours out. Try 36 hours out 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, SBUWX23 said: I was even skeptical earlier today but seeing these trends and where the mid level low ends up Tuesday morning I'm more optimistic now. Models help guide us and now things look more reasonable to expect snow down to NYC and LI Tuesday. Just now, jm1220 said: Mid level tracks check out here too, all decently south of LI. Exactly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, Rjay said: Exactly Time to buy in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, jm1220 said: Time to buy in? 4 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, jm1220 said: Time to buy in? Deposit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, Nibor said: He's looking on the south shore though. I love Curb 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 11 minutes ago, SBUWX23 said: I think people are gonna like the 00z euro. I don't, lol. I thought it was a lock to see 8-12 a little north of 84, now it looks 4-8. Maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, HeadInTheClouds said: I don't, lol. I thought it was a lock to see 8-12 a little north of 84, now it looks 4-8. Maybe. 8 -12 is now south of 78 and or 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, NEG NAO said: 8 -12 is now south of 78 Big changes today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Mt. Holly just had a forecast update at 1 A.M. and still going with little or no accumulation in my area - these updates done by Humans ? ZFP from KPHI (cod.edu) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
203whiteout Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Try 36 hours outIt is 36 hours plus away here. 48 hours from now is midnight Tuesday, long after the snow has stopped. This is happening.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Ehh, we'll see. Good trends tonight but maybe add a sloppy inch in NYC and maybe 3-4" IMBY, 1-3" south shore. Can very easily reverse tomorrow. If that Euro run happens verbatim it'll be a pounding. We'll see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 12 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: Mt. Holly just had a forecast update at 1 A.M. and still going with little or no accumulation in my area - these updates done by Humans ? NWS doesn't make wholesale changes this far out with things like this. They have brief updates for the very near term but not for something over 24 hours out. It's not smart to flip around so much with every cycle.Big updates will follow in a few hours. Adjustments are made in quicker times as the event is happening 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 The mid level evolution-that would get the job done. Again we'll see if there's agreement tomorrow but awesome. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, jm1220 said: The mid level evolution-that would get the job done. Again we'll see if there's agreement tomorrow but awesome. There is actually good agreement now on that evolution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 24 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Time to buy in? No lol. I'm still not sold. Can't have bumps north tomorrow. It's fine to be unsure though. Snowman19 needs to learn that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, Rjay said: No lol. I'm still not sold. Can't have bumps north tomorrow. It's fine to be unsure though. Snowman19 needs to learn that. Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 25 minutes ago, Nibor said: I just want to know if I was the inspiration for this, since I said I was curbing my enthusiasm. If so, well done. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, coastalplainsnowman said: I just want to know if I was the inspiration for this, since I said I was curbing my enthusiasm. If so, well done. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 minutes ago, Rjay said: No lol. I'm still not sold. Can't have bumps north tomorrow. It's fine to be unsure though. Snowman19 needs to learn that. Especially for us on LI. It's such a fickle situation for us but we are due. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 hour ago, Nibor said: Sit in an unrestrained position and relieve yourself of worries. isn't that the same as going to the bathroom? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, SBUWX23 said: Especially for us on LI. It's such a fickle situation for us but we are due. Depends on what part of Long Island too-- people are saying north vs south but in reality it might be west vs east or somewhere in between 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 6 minutes ago, Rjay said: No lol. I'm still not sold. Can't have bumps north tomorrow. It's fine to be unsure though. Snowman19 needs to learn that. I don’t know what’s going to happen now. I’ll wait to see what 6z and 12z do but I still don’t think 10:1 ratios are going to work regardless. There have obviously been wholesale changes since 12z no denying that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Depends on what part of Long Island too-- people are saying north vs south but in reality it might be west vs east or somewhere in between Usually northern parts do better but in this case it may be west vs east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bxstormwatcher360 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I think it snows to beat the band. Also reguardless of the recent milder temps,it was pretty cold before that. Heavy precip and evap cooling take care of the rest when it comes to snow actually accumulating. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 My local weather currently has me with 5 - 8 inches on Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 38 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Yikeee-zees. what happened to all that snow these models were showing in the Poconos? everything has shifted east and south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 11 minutes ago, Bxstormwatcher360 said: I think it snows to beat the band. Also reguardless of the recent milder temps,it was pretty cold before that. Heavy precip and evap cooling take care of the rest when it comes to snow actually accumulating. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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