SnoSki14 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Seeing the usually amped up Rgem & Nam south is a good sign. Snowman loves his weenies lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 3 hours ago, RU848789 said: The Euro gets down to 32F along 95 by 7 am and most of the snow then falls with temps 31-32F along 95 and colder inland, which is why ratios are near 10:1 along 95 and higher than that inland. The other models do look to bottom out at the 33-34F range around 7 am and are likely there for 3-4 hours on either side of that with the heavy snow, but hard to know that with models only showing temp data every 6 hours and temps being in the mid 30s at 1 am and 1 pm. Need more granular data... The Euro was a good run. Hopefully, it will be right. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 32 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Seeing the usually amped up Rgem & Nam south is a good sign. RGEM brings suppression back into play, although it’s an extreme outlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 no 6z GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 13 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said: no 6z GFS? I just woke up. Give me a break. Anyway slightly more west and amped. Cut the totals. More snow in SNE. Euro up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 The gefs though looks good with a few inches down to the coast. The gfs op is the northern most member of the ensembles. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Euro 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Euro looks good. It's actually a tick southeast. Huh? No it’s not. If anything it ticked north a little. It’s warmer than 0z and more tucked into the coast. Not a bad run by any means but it’s less of a weenie fest than last night’s run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Huh? No it’s not. If anything it ticked north a little. It’s warmer than 0z and more tucked into the coast. Not a bad run by any means but it’s less of a weenie fest than last night’s run. It ended up slightly west but stronger and more banding. That's what we need if it comes closer to the coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keno19 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Every person on this community is a weenie including myself. lol The workers of the NWS don't come into forums like this. Bernie Rayno probably one of the best experienced meteorologists i know. Todays weather channel meteorologists are all kids. Seems they almost just give atmospheric science degrees now like water. They dummy down the physics and calculus. Its sad everything now is ensembles and looking at models from run to run. I look at 75% of todays news weather men or women and they have backgrounds as journalism, earth science, environmental science lol. Those degrees don't go through the tough math and physics calculus differential equations, multi variable calculus, thermodynamics etc. probably why forecasts are horrible today. Don't want to be negative. I just like the real science behind the forecast. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Looks like rain to white rain for the coast, maybe an inch or two at the end on the grass. Would be great storm if we had a normal February airmass 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 EPS bumped south from last night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 24 minutes ago, keno19 said: Every person on this community is a weenie including myself. lol The workers of the NWS don't come into forums like this. Bernie Rayno probably one of the best experienced meteorologists i know. Todays weather channel meteorologists are all kids. Seems they almost just give atmospheric science degrees now like water. They dummy down the physics and calculus. Its sad everything now is ensembles and looking at models from run to run. I look at 75% of todays news weather men or women and they have backgrounds as journalism, earth science, environmental science lol. Those degrees don't go through the tough math and physics calculus differential equations, multi variable calculus, thermodynamics etc. probably why forecasts are horrible today. Don't want to be negative. I just like the real science behind the forecast. You just insulted a few METS on this forum............regardless I am still going with a couple slushy inches at the coast more inland where it will be colder - the coast is defined as NYC - Long Island - and the most eastern counties of NJ - the0Z EURO must have had steroids added to it......... almost a foot for NYC ??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Every person on this community is a weenie including myself. lol The workers of the NWS don't come into forums like this. Bernie Rayno probably one of the best experienced meteorologists i know. Todays weather channel meteorologists are all kids. Seems they almost just give atmospheric science degrees now like water. They dummy down the physics and calculus. Its sad everything now is ensembles and looking at models from run to run. I look at 75% of todays news weather men or women and they have backgrounds as journalism, earth science, environmental science lol. Those degrees don't go through the tough math and physics calculus differential equations, multi variable calculus, thermodynamics etc. probably why forecasts are horrible today. Don't want to be negative. I just like the real science behind the forecast.. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 4 minutes ago, Allsnow said: EPS bumped south from last night. What do you think for my area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Just now, winterwarlock said: What do you think for my area? 1-2 mainly on the grass… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 26 minutes ago, keno19 said: Every person on this community is a weenie including myself. lol The workers of the NWS don't come into forums like this. Bernie Rayno probably one of the best experienced meteorologists i know. Todays weather channel meteorologists are all kids. Seems they almost just give atmospheric science degrees now like water. They dummy down the physics and calculus. Its sad everything now is ensembles and looking at models from run to run. I look at 75% of todays news weather men or women and they have backgrounds as journalism, earth science, environmental science lol. Those degrees don't go through the tough math and physics calculus differential equations, multi variable calculus, thermodynamics etc. probably why forecasts are horrible today. Don't want to be negative. I just like the real science behind the forecast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Euro Hang in there,,,,,,maybe we finally win one 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 17 minutes ago, Allsnow said: 1-2 mainly on the grass… wondering why this thread is so pessimistic despite the models. Hoping to scrape out a small plowing event like the other 3 we had Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Latest EPS and NBE Outcomes: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, winterwarlock said: wondering why this thread is so pessimistic despite the models. Hoping to scrape out a small plowing event like the other 3 we had Years of disappointment and north trends have us all pessimistic. I don’t have a good feeling about this one 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, winterwarlock said: wondering why this thread is so pessimistic despite the models. Hoping to scrape out a small plowing event like the other 3 we had because of the warm conditions still in place upon the storms arrival and warm ground conditions and time of day this will be falling and progressive nature of this system 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Just now, NEG NAO said: because of the warm conditions still in place upon the storms arrival and warm ground conditions and time of day this will be falling and progressive nature of this system All of that would be overcome by the heavy precip like the euro is showing. Not saying it's right of course but it's on the table 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 8 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Years of disappointment and north trends have us all pessimistic. I don’t have a good feeling about this one Just no cold air this year, absurd warmth to Montreal week after week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: All of that would be overcome by the heavy precip like the euro is showing. Not saying it's right of course but it's on the table so you agree with the 0Z EURO amounts ? We should have a forum snow amount contest - we used to do that back in the old days... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, NEG NAO said: so you agree with the 0Z EURO amounts ? We should have a forum snow amount contest - we used to do that back in the old days... No but several models have a heavy thump where we get nearly .75 to 1" in 6 hours. 72 hours out all options still on the table 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 8 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Just no cold air this year, absurd warmth to Montreal week after week Same theme as last year really despite Nina vs Nino...NYC is +6, +3.5 and +6 for the first 10 days of Feb. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LAVistaNY Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 October 29, 2011 - why can’t snow accumulate on warm ground? 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 33 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: so you agree with the 0Z EURO amounts ? We should have a forum snow amount contest - we used to do that back in the old days... Yeah fire up a snow total thread with like 10 stations listed and everyone enters their ideas. Been awhile since we did this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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