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2/13 Significant/Major Winter Storm Discussion & Observations


Northof78
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  On 2/13/2024 at 1:06 AM, HVSnowLover said:

We've had fast movers with cold air rushing in perform well before. I agree though this is probably around 5-6 inches most areas but I think some places in the metro might get 6-10. 

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Some places in the metro like the north shore of eastern LI or north shore of eastern Nassau, maybe.

WX/PT

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  On 2/13/2024 at 1:19 AM, Allsnow said:

 

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They had to bump the numbers down along and north of I80.  There was nothing left to support what they had going.  Looks like much more reasonable map overall.  I would tend to lean to the lower end of the range for 78 north.  

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  On 2/13/2024 at 12:44 AM, brooklynwx99 said:

given the maturing mid-levels in a great spot S of LI, wouldn't shock me to see persistent 1-2"/hr rates. this is especially true given the crosshair signature in NNJ... this is a cross section for MMU showing considerable lift situated in the DGZ with multiple hours of 0.2"/hr of QPF

going 6-10" for Morristown, 5-8" for NYC with upside for more if banding ends up strong. I have a hunch it will. this is for colder surfaces... there will be less on pavements 

141520996_Screenshot2024-02-12194228.thumb.png.00c6a9fda6f0a865a449aee9825f0a5d.png

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As a Morristown guy I’m hoping you’re right :)

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  On 2/13/2024 at 1:41 AM, HVSnowLover said:

I mean in fairness this has been one of the most extreme last minute trends I can remember (especially south).

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Almost like a reverse Juno 2015 but even that had more agreement it wouldn't be special in NYC besides the Euro/NAM until the end. But yeah, there'll be an uproar in much of New England if these lamer solutions happen. 

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