MJO812 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I guess they want to use remote learning instead of going to waste. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 47 minutes ago, MJO812 said: How many times have we seen heavy snow after rain ? I can count like 3 or 4 in my adult life. The most famous being the Xmas Day Storm with 20 people in my parents house 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, psv88 said: Let the kids enjoy the snow. I have no problem with a snow day The young people on my street all work from home except for the postal guy and the doctor. And she has no kids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rdps&p=prateptype-imp&rh=2024021212&fh=27&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoastKU Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Let the kids enjoy the snow. I have no problem with a snow day Unfortunately, it will be a synchronized remote day where instruction will be in real time via video… it’s still safer. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, psv88 said: Let the kids enjoy the snow. I have no problem with a snow day nyc does not have snow days they go to remote learning.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, nycwinter said: nyc does not have snow days they go to remote learning.... He knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, psv88 said: Let the kids enjoy the snow. I have no problem with a snow day Agreed, it has been two years since Syosset has had one. Our district closed all elementary schools two weeks ago for tomorrow due to voting at those schools. So my kids are home already. Looks like middle and high school kids will get to enjoy the day off as well now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, the_other_guy said: I can count like 3 or 4 in my adult life. The most famous being the Xmas Day Storm with 20 people in my parents house Feb 2010, Feb 2013, Jan 2011 ( ok, snowed first about 5-6 , then stopped, then rained then changed back for a total of 19 inches but since we had some 32 on Boxing Day tends to be forgotten ). I can't remember any others. But it seems to be in Feb when its happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: RGEM and ICON look good. Nice to see models basically holding serve. 6z Euro might have been a burp run. Both south of 6Z runs at 12Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 minutes ago, Kjtc1979 said: I heard they had to walk to and from work and school during a blizzard. Uphill. Both ways. Seriously, with technology now allowing WFH and the fact that most of us are expected to be accessible outside work hours via mobile phone and email, it's silly not to play it safe and pivot to remote work for the day. Educators know that half the kids are out on days that snow anyway and they'll get better work out of the kids if they're remote or, even better, if they make the day up later in the year. Plus nobody gets hurt on school grounds and everybody avoids a dangerous commute, and the roads are lighter for emergency vehicles and snow removal. And half the staff is out too. So its movie day in the caf. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Its official NYC schools are closed tomorrow Remote Learning 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, mikem81 said: Both south of 6Z runs at 12Z So....who wants to bet Freehold ends up with the jackpot? 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 One think to keep in mind-we often see an undermodeled jackpot on the NW edge of the main precip shield... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: So....who wants to bet Freehold ends up with the jackpot? I don’t think so, I think you guys are set. Monmouth / northern Ocean going to be too marginal temp wise, at least from the soundings I was looking at. If I see a couple flakes on the grass I’ll consider it a win. Hoping you guys get the goods though, positive changes for sure. If only the airmass was a bit less crap this woulda been fun for me too, but oh well. It’s been extremely warm, not unexpected. All the more if most of you see a significant storm out of this it’s a massive win with how things have been going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 6 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I guess they want to use remote learning instead of going to waste. It's all about funding. Missed days must be made up or you lose funding. There were few snow days in the 80s so it didn't matter much, after 94 it became a problem, and after Sandy and Snowtober districts started doing away with some holidays; President's Day was a 4 day weekend for most of my career, and many schools had Feb breaks. With the violent weather the past few decades, and power outages that force closures even outside winter months, they had to limit some holidays. After Covid it became apparent you could say school was technically open even if a LOT of the kids logged on and left or didn't bother at all, but you wouldn't lose funding. Been retired for a few years now so I don't know how many hours they have to be online, I believe it's a half day schedule. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 HREF is going to shift SE with the main snowfall axis. rates tomorrow morning are absurd. widespread 1.5-2" per hour rates 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terraryzing87 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 6 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Its official NYC schools are closed tomorrow Remote Learning Wow that's an early call. This inside info, or has it been announced publicly yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 One think to keep in mind-we often see an undermodeled jackpot on the NW edge of the main precip shield.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 These gradient storms are always a bane for me being in the Catskills/just north of 84 where they always lie As always I’ll accept losing one storm or having relatively lesser accumulations just so closer to NYC can cash in once for this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, Terraryzing87 said: Wow that's an early call. This inside info, or has it been announced publicly yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, Volcanic Winter said: I don’t think so, I think you guys are set. Monmouth / northern Ocean going to be too marginal temp wise, at least from the soundings I was looking at. If I see a couple flakes on the grass I’ll consider it a win. Hoping you guys get the goods though, positive changes for sure. If only the airmass was a bit less crap this woulda been fun for me too, but oh well. It’s been extremely warm, not unexpected. All the more if most of you see a significant storm out of this it’s a massive win with how things have been going. oh I'm in Woodbridge, we are always marginal; too far north when Monmouth is the jackpot, too far south for north and west action. Too far west for eastern storms; I've seen eastern snows stop at the Hudson. Once in awhile we get a jackpot....Boxing Day and Jan 2011, Jan 2016. But even very big storms can shaft us here. People don't always believe me but in March 2018 all but one storm was an effective miss here. People would be arguing with me but I could look outside and nothing much was happening due to subsidence or dry air, and if it ain't that it' s mixing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, Terraryzing87 said: Wow that's an early call. This inside info, or has it been announced publicly yet? Adams tweeted it out (and got it wrong in the process as there's no way we'll have 5" on the ground in the AM)https://twitter.com/NYCMayor/status/1757057551072387243 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishcast_hater Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Schools have snow days built into their schedule. This ticking south trend better stop. I was forecast to get 13” but that may be cut in half now and then some. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoastKU Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Wow that's an early call. This inside info, or has it been announced publicly yet?UFT just texted us! . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, JonClaw said: Adams tweeted it out (and got it wrong in the process as there's no way we'll have 5" on the ground in the AM)https://twitter.com/NYCMayor/status/1757057551072387243 It's just changing to snow in the morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 This isn’t a late season storm. We have a long history of getting big snows in mid February. We have about another month. After March 10th it’s pretty much over for I95 unless we end up with a very anomalous pattern. Given recent model trends and a significant shift southwards, closed 700mb low South of LI favors a band of heavy snow tomorrow for a few hours near I-80/287. Wouldn’t be surprised to see a few 12”+ reports especially in the higher elevation areas of NW NJ into Orange County, NY. I like 4-8” for the Bronx and Southern Westchester. 6-12” North of HPN. 3-6” for Central Park and 2-4” for South facing Brooklyn and Queens. There will be a Southerly flow to start which will cause mixing issues and the 700mb low close proximity could cause dry slotting in Central NJ and South shore of LI. Could be one of those storms where SI sees 3-5” and Sandy Hook gets nothing. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Think TWC forecast is the best I've seen and they've really gotten much better the past several years (remember, they were the only ones who nailed Jan-2015) with some very good mets and model discussions these days. I think the NWS adustments at 4 am were in the right direction, but not enough, especially towards 276/195 and the coast, where I think TWC is likely to be better. We'll see of course. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 minutes ago, RU848789 said: Think TWC forecast is the best I've seen and they've really gotten much better the past several years (remember, they were the only ones who nailed Jan-2015) with some very good mets and model discussions these days. I think the NWS adustments at 4 am were in the right direction, but not enough, especially towards 276/195 and the coast, where I think TWC is likely to be better. We'll see of course. The southern edge of that is probably too optimistic. Don’t think I’m seeing 1-3 here (TR / Manchester border). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 MSR Evo snowshoes arriving this evening. Can't wait to try them out on Mt Tammany/Delaware Water Gap on Wednesday. Crazy to think I just hiked it Saturday in shorts and a t-shirt... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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