NEG NAO Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, MJO812 said: They didn't update yet It's not hard to see it ZFP from KPHI (cod.edu) 10P.M. update scroll down to Middlesex County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: because of visibility or road conditions or both ? I actually don't remember much snow in March 2003. On the other hand, April 2003 was much more memorable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, MJO812 said: They didn't update yet It's not hard to see it I think Upton/Mt Holly might still be cautious, even if the Euro drops more S....might see them go like 2-4 or 3-5 in NYC for the time being or along that general latitude 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I've seen it happen, in midday in March 2003 IIRC....starting puking snow around 10 am ; nearly stranded me on the GSP.Happened March 6, 2018 here as well.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 5 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: because of visibility or road conditions or both ? both Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: I think Upton/Mt Holly might still be cautious, even if the Euro drops more S....might see them go like 2-4 or 3-5 in NYC for the time being or along that general latitude I think if 0Z Euro looks like the other models NYC will be under a WWA by the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: 1010 wins calling for up to an inch in the city. If the latest models are right they'll be way off.... That's just because that's what Accuweather still has up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, HVSnowLover said: I think if 0Z Euro looks like the other models NYC will be under a WWA by the morning. Issue is areas east of city which are not urban. With rates at 2-3” an hour, if they occur, roads will become road covered, even highways. So Upton will probably go WSW for the whole area IMO if the EURO holds serve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, coastalplainsnowman said: That's just because that's what Accuweather still has up. bust potential currently is high for this storm IMO 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: I think if 0Z Euro looks like the other models NYC will be under a WWA by the morning. They'll be under a WWA I think no matter what, a WSW I doubt would come til 3-4pm tomorrow, even if the Euro dropped more south they'd probably go upper end WWA which is 3-5 I think for the time being 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 GFS just jacked me. Fapulous. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, psv88 said: Issue is areas east of city which are not urban. With rates at 2-3” an hour, if they occur, roads will become road covered, even highways. So Upton will probably go WSW for the whole area IMO if the EURO holds serve. are they even considering global models as of now? The mesoscale models are in range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: are they even considering global models as of now? The mesoscale models are in range And the mesos all show warning snows for Nassau and Suffolk, even with kuchera. I think they have to go with a watch at the 4 am advisory 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 6 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: I think Upton/Mt Holly might still be cautious, even if the Euro drops more S....might see them go like 2-4 or 3-5 in NYC for the time being or along that general latitude Glad to see this keeps trending in the right direction. Definitely enough to believe now that it will be more than just a coating to an inch or two for north-central NJ to NYC. I agree that upping it to 2 to 5 looks like a good idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, psv88 said: And the mesos all show warning snows for Nassau and Suffolk, even with kuchera. I think they have to go with a watch at the 4 am advisory a Winter Storm Watch or advisory ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: are they even considering global models as of now? The mesoscale models are in range You think they are going to disregard globals such as GFS, Euro, CMC and just look at mesos? No way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Hrdps Cut some but still a nice storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 6 minutes ago, psv88 said: And the mesos all show warning snows for Nassau and Suffolk, even with kuchera. I think they have to go with a watch at the 4 am advisory Given what Upton is forecasting in their high end totals it's still hard for me to see them jumping to a WSW but i guess we'll find out. Right now they don't even have places just NW like NE NJ, Southern Westchester, CT Coast under anything so they seem to be going really conservative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Hrdps Cut some but still a nice storm I’d take that all day down here, but I just don’t see it happening (for me, you guys hopefully rock this one). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Hrdps Cut some but still a nice storm The north shore of LI up into SNE could get really rocked as this bombs out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 7 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Glad to see this keeps trending in the right direction. Definitely enough to believe now that it will be more than just a coating to an inch or two for north-central NJ to NYC. I agree that upping it to 2 to 5 looks like a good idea. Tell that to whoever is in charge at Mt. Holly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 7 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: You think they are going to disregard globals such as GFS, Euro, CMC and just look at mesos? No way. I guess Walt would have the best answer...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: The north shore of LI up into SNE could get really rocked as this bombs out. When was the last time we saw a bombing low ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: When was the last time we saw a bombing low ? I am sure Don knows...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: I am sure Don knows...... Probably January 4, 2018. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdj5211 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Probably January 4, 2018. Jan 29, 2022? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 6 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Probably January 4, 2018. Wow 6 years ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 King ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 13 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: Tell that to whoever is in charge at Mt. Holly They just called me to let you know that they'll let you know what they think when they're ready. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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