psv88 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, the_other_guy said: not even. all 2-3 inch events. you are running +5 for the winter. 287 is the new coast with that. accept it and move on. Wishing for unicorns in city. My Hydrangea bush has buds on them. Until we get a persistent -EPO we will be in this terrible pattern. It will happen again but could be a while 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 6 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: not even. all 2-3 inch events. you are running +5 for the winter. 287 is the new coast with that. accept it and move on. Wishing for unicorns in city. My Hydrangea bush has buds on them. I mean it's been like 2 winters like this but yes I287 does seem to be the coastline now. Anywhere southeast of there may as well be in the ocean (from a weather perspective). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Noticed WPC pops for snow hadn't updated in a while... (07z). I think they were busy collaborating with the WFO's. First watch is out for central PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 And it's like no lessons are ever learnedWhen I gave my opinion on this storm, I was accused of trolling, which I wasn’t. This setup has sucked for a week and it still does and I absolutely believe it’s going to trend north even further between now and Monday morning. IMO this is not going to be a major snowstorm south of I-84. Here’s what Earthlight has to say: 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 more n stream interaction, more ridging ahead of it, sharper/deeper s stream... we could see a runaway north trend 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, forkyfork said: more n stream interaction, more ridging ahead of it, sharper/deeper s stream... we could see a runaway north trend Sne might not survive this rug pull Coming 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Winter Storm Watch URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 317 PM EST Sat Feb 10 2024 CTZ005>008-NJZ002-103-NYZ067>070-111000- /O.NEW.KOKX.WS.A.0002.240213T0600Z-240213T2300Z/ Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex- Northern New London-Western Passaic-Western Bergen-Orange-Putnam- Rockland-Northern Westchester- 317 PM EST Sat Feb 10 2024 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 8 inches with higher amounts around 10 inches possible across the higher elevations. * WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut, northeast New Jersey and southeast New York. * WHEN...From late Monday night through Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit https://weather.gov/nyc 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdj5211 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 6-8 in NE NJ? What are they seeing that we aren't? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 We haven't been NAMed yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 3 minutes ago, jdj5211 said: 6-8 in NE NJ? What are they seeing that we aren't? it looks like its for the NW interior not all of NE NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 WSW posted for 6-9 inches in MHV and NW Ct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 6-8 in NE NJ? What are they seeing that we aren't?Maybe they’re not out of their minds like we are?. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 18 minutes ago, snowman19 said: When I gave my opinion on this storm, I was accused of trolling, which I wasn’t. This setup has sucked for a week and it still does and I absolutely believe it’s going to trend north even further between now and Monday morning. IMO this is not going to be a major snowstorm south of I-84. Here’s what Earthlight has to say: You always say 84 tho. Thats why people tune you out and call you a troll, which isnt nice. Last time you said 84 as I was shoveling 30 miles south of 84. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdj5211 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Ah I see....WESTERN Passaic and Bergen.....I have a WSW in Morris county for 4-8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 3 minutes ago, SBUWX23 said: it looks like its for the NW interior not all of NE NJ I’m in westchester and I got the same thing. Cut it in half. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 3 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: I’m in westchester and I got the same thing. Cut it in half. I don’t think it ever becomes a warning south of Orange, Sussex and Putnam counties 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 41 minutes ago, North and West said: do you live in Florida? . Nope. Huntington Station as my profile shows. 5” this “winter” so far and 8” last which is actually a lot better than the city. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 In Nam we trust 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 13 minutes ago, jdj5211 said: 6-8 in NE NJ? What are they seeing that we aren't? They're talking about northwest Bergen County. Mahwah, Oakland, etc.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 10 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: You always say 84 tho. Thats why people tune you out and call you a troll, which isnt nice. Last time you said 84 as I was shoveling 30 miles south of 84. It was way closer to reality than what a lot of the models were showing closer to the city and the city itself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geeter1 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 35 minutes ago, wdrag said: Noticed WPC pops for snow hadn't updated in a while... (07z). I think they were busy collaborating with the WFO's. First watch is out for central PA. We were just issued a WSW here in my county in Eastern PA (Lehigh). They also said we may be downgraded to a WWA if warranted closer to the event... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdj5211 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 For what it's worth, NAM goes 7-9 inches NNJ at 10:1.....probably 3-6 with marginal temps.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 WSW issued for Sussex county NJ. Heavy snow 7-12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 7 minutes ago, MJO812 said: In Nam we trust It's shifted north for each of the last four runs. Only room for a couple more ticks north until it's mood flakes for the City. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Everyone is getting watches except the City This stinks 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Everyone is getting watches except the City This stinks That watch is too far S and E IMO 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 36 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Sne might not survive this rug pull Coming Its going to struggle to go more than maybe another 30 miles off the EPS/Euro IMO. I do not think its going to go full NRN stream phase so its probably limited to maybe a 30 mile tick from the 12z Euro which is what I said yesterday, warning criteria southern edge at worst will go as far N as maybe 84. I'd still be surprised if those places did not see 5-7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 That watch is too far S and E IMOI’ve seen this movie for years… the NWS has a knack for either underselling a storm (I get an advisory and then they issue a warning *after* the majority of snow has fallen), or this one has the vibe of watch to advisory. Who really knows though, right? It’s why we play the game. I think we all get a kick out of the fun surprises.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Just now, North and West said: I’ve seen this movie for years… the NWS has a knack for either underselling a storm (I get an advisory and then they issue a warning *after* the majority of snow has fallen), or this one has the vibe of watch to advisory. Who really knows though, right? It’s why we play the game. I think we all get a kick out of the fun surprises. . They are not that far off really. I think they might be aware N Westchester as well as N New London are not going to reach warning criteria in all likelihood but leaving those 2 counties out would be somewhat confusing to the general public. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now