Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[NotSureWeather]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

How sure?

I feel like you already know the answer to this… Lol.

[weathafella]

Daytime storms are the best.

[ROOSTA]

These many models depicting a good snow dump 8-12 inches can't be all wrong. A strong signal.
The usual BL issues can't be known until nowcasting.  A deepening system with an almost perfect track.
Go with the gut feeling, mine is telling of an overachiever. 
---------------
Oh, I'm sitting at 82F with a dew of 68F.

[NotSureWeather]

NAM 3k it really looks like it tries to capture the low at the last second. Kinda see one piece hold back for a few hours and then it catches back up. How likely is the idea of it doing a little loop, or at least stalling for a few hours before jetting off?

[DJln491]

Help me out guys I’m old with bad memory…was it the Euro that had this sniffed out early on?  Or did gfs have the first hints?

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Looks like me and Ray will get our day off on Tuesday regardless. @40/70 Benchmark

[ORH_wxman]

Euro looks a bit more compressed through 36h compared to 06z. 

[NotSureWeather]

1 minute ago, DJln491 said:

Help me out guys I’m old with bad memory…was it the Euro that had this sniffed out early on?  Or did gfs have the first hints?

GFS has had this since at least last Sunday.

[Patrick-02540]

5 minutes ago, DJln491 said:

Help me out guys I’m old with bad memory…was it the Euro that had this sniffed out early on?  Or did gfs have the first hints?

Gfs had this at 360 hours.  Euro showed nothing.

[CoastalWx]

Looks like a decent move south?

[weathafella]

Euro through 63 with the messenger shuffle.  Much more confident for at least 8 for me now.  Sorry Brian and Mark and Jeff et al.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Euro looks a bit more compressed through 36h compared to 06z. 

Yea a good bit se.  

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Nice move south again.. Close to much more out east as it explodes a touch too late ..

[MuddyWx]

[ORH_wxman]

Yeah there’s some high stakes out east as it tries to go bonkers at the end but it’s doing it slightly too late. 

[Bryan63]

Our newest addition decided to come yesterday, should be able to get home from the hospital late tomorrow to enjoy this one hopefully!!

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Nice move south again.. Close to much more out east as it explodes a touch too late ..

Regardless of clowns, it was good to see the mid levels not continue their march northward. I feel better hitting the 8 mark now. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Bryan63 said:

Our newest addition decided to come yesterday, should be able to get home from the hospital late tomorrow to enjoy this one hopefully!!

Congratulations!

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, Bryan63 said:

Our newest addition decided to come yesterday, should be able to get home from the hospital late tomorrow to enjoy this one hopefully!!

Congrats on the new weenie!

[CoastalWx]

Still a decent band look western CT to near Ray

[CoastalWx]

Goes really nuts here in the morning. Hopefully we can cool enough.

[mahk_webstah]

6 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Euro through 63 with the messenger shuffle.  Much more confident for at least 8 for me now.  Sorry Brian and Mark and Jeff et al.

I suspected this was coming. I’m glad you guys are going to get one to enjoy!

[Damage In Tolland]

Warnings to the coast. You guys are welcome 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Regardless of clowns, it was good to see the mid levels not continue their march northward. I feel better hitting the 8 mark now. 

Ya 700 moved south again by 50 miles 

[weathafella]

3 minutes ago, Bryan63 said:

Our newest addition decided to come yesterday, should be able to get home from the hospital late tomorrow to enjoy this one hopefully!!

Congratulations!  Keep all the shades open and wait on mom with one eye on the outdoors.

[Snowcrazed71]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Warnings to the coast. You guys are welcome 

There's still no winter storm watches posted for the coast of Connecticut. I'm sure we're going to do well inland, especially north of 84. But there's still nothing posted for the south coastal regions of the entire Connecticut coastline. You really think they're going to change that and upgrade to a winter storm warning right to the coast?

[WinterWolf]

Yesterday was the correction north…maybe even an over correction, and now we are settling it back south where it gives SNE a very good event.  The worriers yesterday with the “we know where this is going” stuff was expected.  But she’s back now, and LFG. 

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

There's still no winter storm watches posted for the coast of Connecticut. I'm sure we're going to do well inland, especially north of 84. But there's still nothing posted for the south coastal regions of the entire Connecticut coastline. You really think they're going to change that and upgrade to a winter storm warning right to the coast?

100%

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Ya 700 moved south again by 50 miles 

That’s a bigger move than I thought. Pants just became looser around the hips…

[Damage In Tolland]

Has Dryslot been posting much today?