Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I'm a little spooked by the GFS bl.

It might be too warm higher elevations and inland during the event,  but most models are like mid 30s for us to start. This is where I’m leaning. Going to be very wet and pasty.

[WinterWolf]

Lol…sometimes too much analyzing isn’t good either.  We have a snowstorm coming, and it’ll be plenty plowable for most. I think most off the immediate shore/water in SNE are gonna do pretty nice. 

[tavwtby]

19 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Canadian still not biting fully, heavy snow up to pike only.. Weird how slow it's been to buy in 

I get weary when there's an outlier that is stubborn like that, almost like it's onto something

[dendrite]

30 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Same here with the caveat being where a band may set up for 6 to 10

Pretty big euro run coming up for our area. 

[ineedsnow]

2 minutes ago, tavwtby said:

I get weary when there's an outlier that is stubborn like that, almost like it's onto something

It's been moving steadily north

[HIPPYVALLEY]

That would get it done.

 

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Pretty big euro run coming up for our area. 

 

[NorEastermass128]

Good Harbor Beach down to its lowest SST of the season. 39F. 

[ORH_wxman]

3 minutes ago, tavwtby said:

I get weary when there's an outlier that is stubborn like that, almost like it's onto something

I think they’ll keep inching north but I’m guessing the northern ones come south too. We’ve already sort of seen that the last couple runs….euro will be interesting of course. 

[dryslot]

6 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Pretty big euro run coming up for our area. 

Biggest run of your life?

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

I think they’ll keep inching north but I’m guessing the northern ones come south too. We’ve already sort of seen that the last couple runs….euro will be interesting of course. 

So you are saying...locked 

[FXWX]

5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Lol…sometimes too much analyzing isn’t good either.  We have a snowstorm coming, and it’ll be plenty plowable for most. I think most off the immediate shore/water in SNE are gonna do pretty nice. 

Yep... I'm in favor of a law that allows only 2 globals and 1 meso to be viewed for the duration of the storm's forecast period; let's say starting at 5 days out.  Once you've picked your models you are locked in... No changes allowed... Lol

[dendrite]

8 minutes ago, tavwtby said:

I get weary when there's an outlier that is stubborn like that, almost like it's onto something

It’s been on something alright

[WinterWolf]

4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

That would get it done.

 

Most would be happy with that. 

[moneypitmike]

Man--that GFS is kind of a snoozer after the nice totals it had been dropping.  Still verifies a warning for most, but yikes--what a reduction.

[mahk_webstah]

4 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Biggest run of your life?

for those of us who live in the moment…

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, moneypitmike said:

Man--that GFS is kind of a snoozer after the nice totals it had been dropping.  Still verifies a warning for most, but yikes--what a reduction.

GEFS are a lot better than the op

[Sn0waddict]

1 minute ago, moneypitmike said:

Man--that GFS is kind of a snoozer after the nice totals it had been dropping.  Still verifies a warning for most, but yikes--what a reduction.

Could just be a fluke. Wouldn’t look into it too much.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

@Ginx snewx

sitting back smiling at GEFS 

 

 

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

So you are saying...locked 

Yeah I mean I’m not worried here about much here except whether it’s 8” or 15”…first world problems for snow lovers. But I think most of SNE is safe for warning criteria if you’re more than 5-10 miles away from the water…I’m pretty confident BOS will get warning criteria but it could still go sideways there with advisory slop if a bunch of things go wrong such as rates, storm moves too quickly after sfc cools to freezing, etc. 

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

@Ginx snewx

sitting back smiling at GEFS 

 

 

My man Joey Pots and Pans

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Man--that GFS is kind of a snoozer after the nice totals it had been dropping.  Still verifies a warning for most, but yikes--what a reduction.

Ehhh it just a fluctuation most likely. See what the Euro shows. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Ehhh it just a fluctuation most likely. See what the Euro shows. 

I agree 

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

@Ginx snewx

sitting back smiling at GEFS 

 

 

That’s a beautiful look. 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

I agree 

Ya GEFS looks gorgeous. 

[moneypitmike]

17 minutes ago, tavwtby said:

I get weary when there's an outlier that is stubborn like that, almost like it's onto something

You might want to get more sleep if you're weary.

Did you mean you get wary or leery. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

Any idea on how many days it has been since Logan measured 4”?  I know it’s well over 700

[NorEastermass128]

Classic snower of yore coming in. Jacks TBD, but who cares?  Hope everyone enjoys. 

[mreaves]

2 hours ago, powderfreak said:

  Not gonna happen but the fact that it gives you double digits while has a sleet pocket over a hilltop in Tolland is amusing.

I don’t care about the back and forth between SNE posters or jackpotting or even getting advisory level snows. I would, however, like a couple of inches like this shows just to reestablish a wintry vibe. There is no denying that it’s been an out and out torch but I’ve been surprised how resilient the snowpack has been here in my immediate area. It would be nice to pretty it up a bit.  

[ChangeofSeasonsWX]

I will be happy with a 6-8 type system around here. However, the low end estimate by BOX of 4" would honestly be a disappointment considering the potential this had. Of course I would love to see 12+ around here but its just not realistic with this particular setup. Too warm for us in southern areas.