Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[MJO812]

20 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Poor ant, He does this to himself everytime.

It's just amazing how these storms always trend north.  No point staying up late for models showing snow here past 144 hours.

I guess the only way it will snow here anymore is if it starts snowing in Florida at 144 hours.

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 minutes ago, dryslot said:

The partial phasing, as opposed to a full phase was discussed yesterday which would be problematic for many if it was a full one a little bit of something is better than a lot in this instance, there has not been any run so far that have fully phased this this so I’m doubting that that’s even gonna happen

The GEM did Wednesday...the run that gave most of Maine 3'.

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, HinghamBoss said:

What kind of ratios should we be looking at south and east of BOS?  This has the feel of 6” of paste down these parts while someone puts down 12” in Milton/Foxboro.

Maybe 4-7 as a first guess. 

[ORH_wxman]

31 minutes ago, ma blizzard said:

playing with fire with more N/S interaction .. 

There’s no worry where you are. But HFD and south needs to watch closely. 

[dryslot]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The GEM did Wednesday...the run that gave most of Maine 3'.

I don't use the GEM or ICON so that was not in my consideration.

[ma blizzard]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

There’s no worry where you are. But HFD and south needs to watch closely. 

For sure .. although if I wanted to Jack .. 

More concerned for the coastal and CT homies 

[Typhoon Tip]

That N arc of this cyclone is maturing while the circulation is leaving the Bite water area which puts ~ E CT-SE NH deep into it IN TIME for a change...

Not sure you can move a sub 980 mb low across the lower Islands without a wind burst into the eastern 1/3 of SNE.

2-M temps crash from 32 to 25 for places like Lowell down to Holden and Worcester while there's heavy fall rates that are highly correlated when crossing up the 850 -- 700mb flow directions creating all kind of positive shear inducing lift.  At that time there's a coherent 300 mb entrance region fanning out at between 66 and 78 hours - no wonder a massive QPF loaded  CCB head is passing through.

This Euro run is just a text book for heavy snow from HFD-BED.   I'm seeing very similar structures/arguments in the recent GFS runs too.

Also, not sure there's enough time for wind momentum transfer but there is an astro high tide(s) Monday and Tuesday .. I think that 1pm one on Tuesday might be vulnerable. 

[weathafella]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I don't use the GEM or ICON so that was not in my consideration.

You mean you don’t spend an hour every day digging through the ICON EPS?

[dryslot]

9 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

It's just amazing how these storms always trend north.  No point staying up late for models showing snow here past 144 hours.

I guess the only way it will snow here anymore is if it starts snowing in Florida at 144 hours.

Need to get out of that hell hole and move north.

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

You mean you don’t spend an hour every day digging through the ICON EPS?

Didn’t even know it was a thing until somebody mentioned it. Lol.

[HinghamBoss]

13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Maybe 4-7 as a first guess. 

I am not asking for much - 6 would be fine.  4 would be a disappointment.

[Prismshine Productions]

Does anyone who have Weatherbell (or maybe Storm vista) have access to EPS at the 700mb level? Weathermodels doesn't have it but I am curious to see what the EPS do with the mid-levels

Wxbell EPS only has the 500mb vort and 850mb temp unfortunately

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[40/70 Benchmark]

Wow

 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Wow

 

Juicy 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Wow

 

Stab me in the vein with that.

[8611Blizz]

These number's are bananas. Unless the time fame is completely off you would need sky high ratios to achieve them. 18 24" 

[NeonPeon]

42 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

So much wringing of hands  . It’s going to be fine. Messenger sits and smiles 

If you are on the coast it's not necessarily going to be fine if you like snow.

[LSC97wxnut]

Watches up already.

[40/70 Benchmark]

This site is so obnoxious with certain images...it won't let me post h7.

[Damage In Tolland]

11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Stab me in the vein with that.

Nice 11-12” there of paste for you. Enjoy bro 

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

This site is so obnoxious with certain images...it won't let me post h7.

Over LI and over the Cape.

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

18z NAM north from 12z, FWIW (not much at this range)

[Henry's Weather]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

This site is so obnoxious with certain images...it won't let me post h7.

Do you know you can delete past images to free up upload space?

[ORH_wxman]

8 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said:

These number's are bananas. Unless the time fame is completely off you would need sky high ratios to achieve them. 18 24" 

Euro was spitting out 1.4-1.7” of QPF over a chunk of central/eastern MA…so ratios really don’t need to be crazy to get 18”+ on that. Is it right? Meh, prob overdone but it’s within the envelope of possibilities given go w dynamic the Euro was aloft. 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Nice 11-12” there of paste for you. Enjoy bro 

 I don’t expect that but we hope.

[ORH_wxman]

NAM starting to figure it out. Still south but not total fringe jobs like 06z/12z. 

[mahk_webstah]

For up here to get more than 6 inches I need to see more than just the euro and the Germans.

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

NAM starting to figure it out. Still south but not total fringe jobs like 06z/12z. 

boom

[Prismshine Productions]

NAM damn near phased

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[Chrisrotary12]

23 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Wow

 

From the NARCAN?!?