Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think so.

It may be a zone from SW CT right up into NE MA

[ineedsnow]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Man we may need to start entertaining 12-16” in jack zone. Whhheeeeee

8 to 14 for most  but I think your right someone will hit 16 IF things hold

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It may be a zone from SW CT right up into NE MA

At least on the GFS you start off cold pow pow with this awesome sounding. Pound me town right there

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It may be a zone from SW CT right up into NE MA

NWCT but yes on the same trajectory. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

Someone will be getting that.  Where? Tbd 

[weatherwiz]

The differences in the speed of the northern stream between the 18z/12z are insane. 

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I think at least first 6 hours are wet paste 

You dry 

[CoastalWx]

A nice look for here. Maybe some CJ.

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

At least on the GFS you start off cold pow pow with this awesome sounding. Pound me town right there

Monday is in the 40’s with sun until early afternoon.. so the first hours will be wet snow . We will need to see what we’re bulbs look like Monday morning 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

You dry 

We wet she wet 

[weatherwiz]

I think a 12-16'' max zone is absolutely doable with this and I agree with Kevin in that it should be entertained. 

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Monday is in the 40’s with sun until early afternoon.. so the first hours will be wet snow . We will need to see what we’re bulbs look like Monday morning 

what a nice pounder, some nice instability there as well

[MJO812]

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

5 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

The op is on the nw cluster.

[MJO812]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

The op is on the nw cluster.

Yep would be great for NYC and SNE.

 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

We wet she wet 

She coming?

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

She coming?

Wet with pasties?

[mahk_webstah]

25 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

8 to 14 for most  but I think your right someone will hit 16 IF things hold

Are you volunteering?

[mahk_webstah]

Interesting that the GFS and EC operational models are both northwest of their ens means.

[weatherwiz]

I'd watch for Monday to be a bit colder than guidance, especially if thick cloud cover gets in here earlier in the day. 

[weatherwiz]

10 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

The op is on the nw cluster.

While I am getting excited I am still nervous that this could end up south and we get skunked. I don't think that should be discounted yet. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

While I am getting excited I am still nervous that this could end up south and we get skunked. I don't think that should be discounted yet. 

There is the possibility of it being shredded but I’m more concerned of the best goods being north of 84, again. 

[Kitz Craver]

46 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

It's a fricking beautiful thing. No paste though.

Plenty cold

[weatherwiz]

6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

There is the possibility of it being shredded but I’m more concerned of the best goods being north of 84, again. 

Yeah I would certainly be concerned for that as well if I were you. But given how the band should be pretty large, hopefully that would result in your area getting into it too. Still lots to iron out through the weekend. 

[JC-CT]

I can taste the subsidence already

[Typhoon Tip]

49 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I think a 12-16'' max zone is absolutely doable with this and I agree with Kevin in that it should be entertained. 

By fall rates? perhaps .. I'm thinking 12" might be more common due to speed of system translation.   Maybe a couple 13.5ers for bragging rights.. which technically justifies the top side of that range but the interquartile density/distribution is 12"  Now, someone pops one of those zomb 7" hours with a couple of CG .. that makes that easier.  But I'm not sure CSI is very factor-able being on the left exit-left entrance side of the jet. 

12" in 4 hours is good stomp and I don't see the heaviest axis lasting very long in any location ... in and out. 

It's likely to go down hill outside really fast.  You see it start snowing so you run out to the store, and by the time your coming home your wondering if that was such a good idea type visibility problems.  The lifting mechanics will move in/through quite fast

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Yeah I would certainly be concerned for that as well if I were you. But given how the band should be pretty large, hopefully that would result in your area getting into it too. Still lots to iron out through the weekend. 

Yea. I have a hard time believing this doesn’t shift one way or another over the next 72hrs. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

26 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

While I am getting excited I am still nervous that this could end up south and we get skunked. I don't think that should be discounted yet. 

Discounted.

[ORH_wxman]

7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Discounted.

Yeah I’m about ready to toss anything well south. I could still see N of pike getting only a moderate event from a system further south but it’s becoming less likely. I still think the zone with the most wiggle room is prob your area down to N CT around Kevin. 
 

I think central and south-central CT is in decent shape too but a N tick could make it a sloppier event with maybe a longer wait for the snow there. 

[Prismshine Productions]

My Goalposts are from a zone ranging from Waterbury, CT to Springfield, VT and points NE from there.

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