Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[NoCORH4L]

WSWs flying come late tonight? 

[Great Snow 1717]

13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It comes into CT late Monday and snows into Tuesday night of the 20th.These always come in faster as you get closer 

FYP

[Damage In Tolland]

It never fails lol ..

[Henry's Weather]

1 minute ago, NoCORH4L said:

WSWs flying come late tonight? 

In another 2 days maybe

[Ginx snewx]

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It never fails lol ..

Can we get a hell yea. Deep deep winter about to descend on a population who already have given upon it.  

[MaineJayhawk]

1 hour ago, DJln491 said:

Agreed.  I don’t think any in SNE are cashing the check quite yet.  Been burned before. 

Rev has cashed the check and is purchasing hookers and blow

[NEPASnow]

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Can we get a hell yea. Deep deep winter about to descend on a population who already have given upon it.  

it is Feb, bring it! Supposed to be cold and snowy this time of year

[Ginx snewx]

32 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I just meant the mean isnt a bullseye over us if we exclude the whiffs. It’s north.

Look at the clusters. 

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Can we get a hell yea. Deep deep winter about to descend on a population who already have given upon it.  

Not sure I would go that far.

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, NEPASnow said:

it is Feb, bring it! Supposed to be cold and snowy this time of year

So was Jan but she didn't 

[Chrisrotary12]

15 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Where’s the hype machine? 

On a 1,000 ft hill in CT

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Not sure I would go that far.

I mean if the windchills blowing snow and squalls  ain't deep winter I give up.

[mahk_webstah]

18 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

DIT trying so hard to have it snow for 24 hrs. 12 hrs and over. And that’s fine. We aren’t choosy at this point. 

Fast and hard can be fun.

And, this pattern probably brings a slow moving coastal at some point with that blocking.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

To be fair to @Damage In Tolland euro does have this starting 7-10pm Monday for CT , GFS is 3-6am Tuesday..  It's about a 6 hour thump verbatim with some light snow on either side of the thump .. 

[mahk_webstah]

17 minutes ago, NoCORH4L said:

WSWs flying come late tonight? 

If it continues on this course you will wake up to them Sunday morn.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Look at the clusters. 

Ya the bullseye is def over us on the MEAN most members jack this area.. The confusing part is the amped NW members are pike north hits which throws off the other maps.. CT is the favored location on the EPS as most of the members have 6"+ there.. The 12" + super amped members (10% of the members) are pike north.. 

[Kitz Craver]

23 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Wait. Monday night thru tuesday night? 24hrs lol… 
 

Are we drinking already?

Days and Days

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Ya the bullseye is def over us on the MEAN most members jack this area.. The confusing part is the amped NW members are pike north hits which throws off the other maps.. CT is the favored location on the EPS as most of the members have 6"+ there.. The 12" + super amped members (10% of the members) are pike north.. 

yes thanks and I favor those nw members so the mean is irrelevant imo. 

[Ginx snewx]

7 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Ya the bullseye is def over us on the MEAN most members jack this area.. The confusing part is the amped NW members are pike north hits which throws off the other maps.. CT is the favored location on the EPS as most of the members have 6"+ there.. The 12" + super amped members (10% of the members) are pike north.. 

 

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

yes thanks and I favor those nw members so the mean is irrelevant imo. 

 

[Damage In Tolland]

21 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Can we get a hell yea. Deep deep winter about to descend on a population who already have given upon it.  

Hopefully it’s a paster and not powder 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

 

ya exactly CT and pike south is favored on EPS for a plowable snow.. some are just a bit wary of those 10% way NW members ... 

[Damage In Tolland]

12 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

To be fair to @Damage In Tolland euro does have this starting 7-10pm Monday for CT , GFS is 3-6am Tuesday..  It's about a 6 hour thump verbatim with some light snow on either side of the thump .. 

In fast … out slow ..

[CoastalWx]

I still favor the zone from MHT to ORH and NE MA. If I had to guess. Maybe down to near Kev. Just a WAG at the moment.

[Kitz Craver]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Hopefully it’s a paster and not powder 

Probably starts pasty and finishes with some feathers as currently depicted 

[Typhoon Tip]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I still favor the zone from MHT to ORH and NE MA. If I had to guess. Maybe down to near Kev. Just a WAG at the moment.

How do you think about your SE zones relative to 'normal' climate there?   - I realize this season has been lacking. I mean in the objective sense re the former

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

How do you think about your SE zones relative to 'normal' climate there?   - I realize this season has been lacking. I mean in the objective sense re the former

Are you asking what I think for snow there in this storm...or about winter going forward?

[40/70 Benchmark]

9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I still favor the zone from MHT to ORH and NE MA. If I had to guess. Maybe down to near Kev. Just a WAG at the moment.

Agree...I have been insinsuating as much, but that doesn't mean disaster points south as has been the case previously.

[Typhoon Tip]

Also, I've been watching the NAM as this has been coming into the denser more physical sounding array over the Pac NW ... it seems the handling of the S/stream is reasonably consistent (perhaps slightly more robust), but what's actually been interesting more so is that the western 'elbow' of the N/stream dangles more precipitously as the S/stream is approaching 100W -

It's right out the end of the run, so ... obviously the real deterministic value here is lower.  But it does help the "analytic imagination" ( if you will...) to see how N/stream could be more involved in phasing.  I'd also point out that the ICON at 18z yesterday did show this feature phasing in - it's sort of a smaller sneaky S/W inject but that spun our cyclone down to 974 near Block Island when that happened and put a band of thunder snow over PVD...  Just thought I'd mention.

[Typhoon Tip]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Are you asking what I think for snow there in this storm...or about winter going forward?

Oh, yeah ... 'this storm's performance'     expectation-wise