Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[cleetussnow]

I think we are 4.5 days with the southern vort. Amateur eye says the vort in question, or one of them, comes across the baja peninsula late tomorrow.

[Hoth]

9 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Last second had some big jumps north we were thinking 12-18”+ but verified 10” most of southern CT. 

Was that the one that got wiped out by the mega cutter right before Christmas?

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, Hoth said:

Was that the one that got wiped out by the mega cutter right before Christmas?

Yes Christmas eve night 

[mahk_webstah]

Just now, Hoth said:

Was that the one that got wiped out by the mega cutter right before Christmas?

Yes

 

[Hoth]

1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said:

Yes

 

What a kick in the balls that was.

[mahk_webstah]

Just now, Hoth said:

What a kick in the balls that was.

It was something to see fo sho

[Snowcrazed71]

45 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Expected snowfall is different then actuals though but I could be mixing up my dates. 

I remember the storm. It was between 15-17" where I'm at in Plainville. So Wolfie's right.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

19 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

We had substantially more than 10” here however.  

Ya looks like mostly 8-12” highest north west of 17” iso in Litchfield/ Hartford county line. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

6 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

I remember the storm. It was between 15-17" where I'm at in Plainville. So Wolfie's right.

Me and Runnaway had 8-10” then sleet raced north to the pike your area and Wolfie and a local max maybe ?. Most in CT had about 8-12” from that one with the jack in Hartford/litchfield county line of 17”. 

 

[Snowcrazed71]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Me and Runnaway had 8-10” then sleet raced north to the pike your area and Wolfie and a local max. Most in CT had about 8-12” from that one with the jack in Hartford county of 16.5”. 

If this is the same store, my remember we had gotten a bunch of sleet and an even had some lightning and thunder before it changed over to snow. This was a weird one. It was wintry the whole time but there was definitely some sleet involved and then snow and quite a bit of it.

[WinterWolf]

12 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Me and Runnaway had 8-10” then sleet raced north to the pike your area and Wolfie and a local max maybe ?. Most in CT had about 8-12” from that one with the jack in Hartford/litchfield county line of 17”. 

 

That map has me at 13.5”, that was pretty close. I might have measured an inch more, but close enough. So it was substantially more than 8-10 here. Very good storm. 
 

Let’s see how we can get this one to play out for us?  

[Sey-Mour Snow]

4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

That map has me at 13.5”, that was pretty close. I might have measured an inch more, but close enough. So it was substantially more than 8-10 here. Very good storm. 
 

Let’s see how we can get this one to play out for us?  

Hopeful as of now. Just looking at some stats with the guys we are at just 3 storms over 10” in the last 6 winters for this area. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Hopeful as of now. Just looking at some stats with the guys we are at just 3 storms over 10” in the last 6 winters for this area. 

I think I have 4... 2-1-21, 1-27-22, 12-3-19 and 1-7-24

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think I have 4... 2-1-21, 1-27-22, 12-3-19 and 1-7-24

How about March 2019?

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

How about March 2019?

That fringed him. He had like 8” compared to the 12-18 zone near and just S of pike down into CT/RI

[ORH_wxman]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Biggest trend to me on the EPS is tighter with the gradient up north and heavier with the band....

And that is expected with the trend in increased confluence. You’re going to have a really good fronto band somewhere when you have a vigorous southern stream s/w slamming up into that brick wall to the north. But whoever ends up north of that band will be choking on arctic sand exhaust. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That fringed him. He had like 8” compared to the 12-18 zone near and just S of pike down into CT/RI

That event was brutal..probably #4 pork job for me.

[Prismshine Productions]

ICON out to 39, s/w not quite as SW as it was at 18z

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

[brooklynwx99]

continues the theme of less stream interaction and held back southern stream 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

25 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Hopeful as of now. Just looking at some stats with the guys we are at just 3 storms over 10” in the last 6 winters for this area. 

Sad. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

23 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

And that is expected with the trend in increased confluence. You’re going to have a really good fronto band somewhere when you have a vigorous southern stream s/w slamming up into that brick wall to the north. But whoever ends up north of that band will be choking on arctic sand exhaust. 

If I had to guess right now, the cut off is around MHT or just south.

[jbenedet]

9 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

continues the theme of less stream interaction and held back southern stream 

Good call on this one. 
 

GFS was right. I was wrong.

 

Still of course needs to verify but GFS is beating the competition through 6 innings. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

Good call on this one. 
 

GFS was right. I was wrong.

 

Still of course needs to verify but GFS is beating the competition through 6 innings. 

Can't win them all. I admire that you put yourself out there.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Apology accepted. 

[MJO812]

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Can't win them all. I admire that you put yourself out there.

That’s the fun part of this hobby for me. I always hedge and just have fun with it. Nothing personal and I never take it or myself seriously. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

ICON looks good

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

Not necessarily the trend I want to see on the ICON, but this 00z sure is bringing the juice.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

That’s the fun part of this hobby for me. I always hedge and just have fun with it.

I'll probably have major adjustments, too. 

[8611Blizz]

ICON