Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[WinterWolf]

5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

12/20? That was weak in most of CT iirc. 20+ north of the border though.

Nope. It was very nice here 16” or so.  Map verified. 

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

 

@dendrite can you add an angry emoji to the reaction list?

[40/70 Benchmark]

I'd sign for the EPS...don't need a JP. That said, I wonder if guidance will not be intense enough with the band or tight enough with the gradient....

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Nope. It was very nice here 16” or so. 

Expected snowfall is different then actuals though but I could be mixing up my dates. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Biggest trend to me on the EPS is tighter with the gradient up north and heavier with the band....

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Expected snowfall is different then actuals though but I could be mixing up my dates. 

It verified Luke. You’re mixed up on this one. I edited my post and said it verified.  Was a great storm. I have pictures. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

 

 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

It verified Luke. You’re mixed up on this one. I edited my post and said it verified.  Was a great storm. I have pictures. 

Just checked Kevins page. Had 12.5”, not bad. But I do remember the mid level goods were north of me after the waa snows. 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Just checked Kevins page. Had 12.5”, not bad. But I do remember the mid level goods were north of me after the waa snows. 

Yes, It was very good storm here in Southington. Then Feb 1st of 21 six weeks later was excellent too. 

[mahk_webstah]

22 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Bingo.

34” at the coop 

[weathafella]

37 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

For once trends are favorable as we get close 

We’re not close just yet.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Yes, It was very good storm here in Southington. Then Feb 1st of 21 six weeks later was excellent too. 

2/21 was better with 16” but again, missed out on the upper echelon event. It’s maddening not being able to reach that next step. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

We’re not close just yet.

How bout dem muthafukkas

[Torch Tiger]

5 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

34” at the coop 

lock it

[HoarfrostHubb]

12/16/20 I had 11.5”.  Nothing to sneeze it. 

[Damage In Tolland]

8 minutes ago, weathafella said:

We’re not close just yet.

We actually are 

[brooklynwx99]

less spread. got rid of the NE lows

[40/70 Benchmark]

9 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

34” at the coop 

All I meant was don't be surprised if we see this band make further north than expected and be a bit heavier than expected....not so much a quantitative comp.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said:

less spread. got rid of the NE lows

That makes sense bc it was NNE that saw the hair cut....everywhere form about KASH points southward bumped up. KMHT points north downward...

[brooklynwx99]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

That makes sense bc it was NNE that saw the hair cut....everywhere form about KASH points southward bumped up. KMHT points north downward...

kinda nuts comparing to 06z. huge shift from a normally stable model. makes sense given the early phasing solution got thrown out 

[NoCORH4L]

Always a tough call on amounts when we're relying on the storm to make it's own cold air. 

[SnoSki14]

5 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

kinda nuts comparing to 06z. huge shift from a normally stable model. makes sense given the early phasing solution got thrown out 

Confluence trends don't typically just stop once they start. More south shifts are possible. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

kinda nuts comparing to 06z. huge shift from a normally stable model. makes sense given the early phasing solution got thrown out 

Hopefully it finally snows in NYC....I need to get off of the mat down there.

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Confluence trends don't typically just stop once they start. More south shifts are possible. 

The GEFS reversed a bit and the EPS mainly just trimmed sown the northern slack...I think its pretty much done.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

31 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Expected snowfall is different then actuals though but I could be mixing up my dates. 

Last second had some big jumps north we were thinking 12-18”+ but verified 10” most of southern CT. 

[mahk_webstah]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The GFS reversed a bit and the EPS mainly just trimmed sown the northern slack...I think its pretty much done.

Yeah, but there’s two short waves involved. When do they get properly sampled? We’re still more than four days out.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said:

Yeah, but there’s two short waves involved. When do they get properly sampled? We’re still more than four days out.

I'm not saying where locked and loaded, but I we are about at the nadir of that southward drip.

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Last second had some big jumps north we were thinking 12-18”+ but verified 10” most of southern CT. 

We had substantially more than 10” here however.  

[WinterWolf]

7 minutes ago, NoCORH4L said:

Always a tough call on amounts when we're relying on the storm to make it's own cold air. 

I don’t think that’s the case anymore…as depicted the confluence and the high pressing down, are providing some good cold. 

[40/70 Benchmark]