Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[Torch Tiger]

a few days ago the whole thing looked disjointed on models by our longitude,  h5 to h85 vort and tracklooks improved quite a bit.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Dynamics have improved on models. Now we need to figure out where it’s going. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

5 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

TPV stuff is so fickle. wouldn't surprise me to see a northern correction, but could keep going farther south. just gotta sit and wait. the synoptic pattern is solid enough with all of the LP in the northern ATL to prevent this from just flying north

Good callout. 

[brooklynwx99]

EPS continues its trend towards more confluence. vort is also held back a bit more 

[WeatherX]

18z EPS is a nice event for the SOP folks

[MJO812]

[brooklynwx99]

EPS is wicked for SNE lol

[moneypitmike]

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

24 hour storm 

hours and hours of snow

[Snowcrazed71]

1 minute ago, moneypitmike said:

hours and hours of snow

Dare we ask for the clowns?? 

[Damage In Tolland]

18 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Gfs schooling the euro and the pope with the non phasing, more SS focused, and stronger confluence. Regardless of surface output…it has lead the way. We could still see the SS amp up with weaker confluence over the next 72hrs though so that’s another wrickle we’ll need to fine tune but we’re more hopeful SoP then we were 36hrs ago.

Pope pooping and getting pooped on all at once ?

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

EPS is wicked for SNE lol

 

[Damage In Tolland]

7 minutes ago, WeatherX said:

18z EPS is a nice event for the SOP folks

For once trends are favorable as we get close 

[brooklynwx99]

getting even a light event out of this would be a steal. a moderate event or more would be straight up grand theft auto

[40/70 Benchmark]

I def should have waited until tomorrow to do First Call, but it's only the Final that counts.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Can anyone guess which event I have in the back of my sick little mind? And no, not 1/7....

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Pope pooping and getting pooped on all at once ?

Just raging and beating the geese senseless with empty bottles of wine.  

[NeonPeon]

13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

For once trends are favorable as we get close 

Is this really getting close? It's still not within a window of much confidence for this sort of detail, surely.

[HoarfrostHubb]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Can anyone guess which event I have in the back of my sick little mind? And no, not 1/7....

Dec 2019?

[Henry's Weather]

5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Can anyone guess which event I have in the back of my sick little mind? And no, not 1/7....

12/16/20

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

Dec 2019?

Nope...

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Henry's Weather said:

12/16/20

Bingo.

[Torch Tiger]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Bingo.

Drunk?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

26 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

EPS continues its trend towards more confluence. vort is also held back a bit more 

Wizzy would like a clown map. 

[Torch Tiger]

 that storm dropped 30"+ across upstate NY and 6-12 along the south coast

[WinterWolf]

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Bingo.

That was a beauty here. 

[EMontpelierWhiteout]

19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

For once trends are favorable as we get close 

The late in the game NW trends on these southern streamers have all been within 96 hours.  Too soon to spike the football.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

That was a beauty here. 

12/20? That was weak in most of CT iirc. 20+ north of the border though.

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

Drunk?

Mentally and emotionally challenged?

I didn't say 30", you did.

The implication is an intense fronto band that verified north of guidance in the face of considerable confluence.

[weatherwiz]

6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Wizzy would like a clown map. 

I'd rather have 37 and drizzle on July 4

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

I'd rather have 37 and drizzle on July 4