Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Crushed. Feels amazing. Going back out with the kids. 

[rgwp96]

Almost 9 inches by me in nj

[Southshorewx]

12 minutes ago, EMontpelierWhiteout said:

This is a weather forum. Not interested in your politics. 

Yeah, and leave my girl Tay Tay out of this.  

I do like a good melt.

[Ginx snewx]

9 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

This storm deserves one helluva case study. Ultimately though, this storm is a prime clear-cut example of why snow maps are garbage but why analyzing "trends" in the snow maps is pure garbage. When it comes to modeled QPF, I feel like models have improved on this significantly over the past 10-15 years but this was probably a case too where analyzing QPF trends was probably not a great idea. 

Despite what the Euro was doing, the mid-level presentation argued for a crushing along and south/east of I84. I think dendrite mentioned it earlier, but models can often struggle with QPF under the banding signal. I honestly think all the clues were still there for a crushing. Even with the lower QPF, forecast soundings were still showing great lift into the DGZ. Saturation was not an issue so naturally lift into the DGZ was going to produce snow. 

I believe we are also in the entrance region of the ULJ. 

 

Why I didn't waver. Have to open the hood the check the engine and all signs were positive here.

[WinterWolf]

Measured almost 9” 20 minutes ago…and it’s the heaviest yet. Wow what a band. 

[ORH_wxman]

6 minutes ago, ma blizzard said:

32/31, S .. Lets see if we can rip some 1"/hr + rates next hour or two 

I think it's now or never for your area over to the 495 belt E of you near me. Really picking up here again now and you can see all the echoes darkening....this is prob the final push of fronto....hopefully we can get a good 2-3 hours but we're trying to hold off that northwest edge trying to sick SE.

 

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Crushed. Feels amazing. Going back out with the kids. 

Ain’t it wonderful. 

[tavwtby]

5.2 of fluff here, vis is way down but growth ftl, and back edge approaches quickly, hey, better than last night when it appeared we may whiff completely up here...stat padding...

[Patrick-02540]

8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I think we “myself included” missed the fronto forcing aspect of this as it’s typically a NNE thing in coastals. Ryan, Scoots, Will mentioned it in various degrees but I think that is what most of us missed . Focused on the south shift and qpf cuts 

We're getting our 10-14 we spoke about two days ago.  

[TalcottWx]

7 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

0.5” ON THE GROUND OUTSIDE OF GRASS OR PLASTIC!!  0.5”!?  And You people have 6”-10”??  

F*** THIS STORM!  In the past 9 days I’ve had to deal with the Chiefs Winning, Mahomes winning a Historic Game WITH an OT coup to boot, Narcissistic Swift & Asshat Kelce taking over the God Dang World seeing unprecedented records and power, my industry has gone So Woke at the Grammys you can’t recognize it, Brandon doesn’t know he’s flipping Alive as President, and now ANOTHER Failed storm like the last 7 “big ones” in a Row here the past 2 years??  

Losing touch with reality. 

[Patrick-02540]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Measured almost 9” 20 minutes ago…and it’s the heaviest yet. Wow what a band. 

You'll go over a foot with that band.  It's just pulling away from me.  Amazing.  

[MRVexpat]

Seeing some flakes finally in Cambridgeport. At this point rooting for a coating that melts away ASAP. 

[WxWatcher007]

9.4” at 10am. .9” in the last hour. Cleared my board. Still going strong but at 31.9°. 

 

[Damage In Tolland]

Wwwwwhhhhhheeeeeeee

[bristolri_wx]

46 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

For all the rejoicing from the clowns in CT about a positive bust. That's only happening in Hartford CT area out providence RI to  ( their back yard--shocker), so far. The rest are busting low or on par with last night's paltry guidance.

 

 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, Patrick-02540 said:

You'll go over a foot with that band.  It's just pulling away from me.  Amazing.  

It’s insane here…  you’re right. Just Wow. 

[The Graupler]

19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Almost all snow now. 34.5

Are you away from the water? Just checked my property camera in Weymouth and it’s raining 

[Damage In Tolland]

So naked… so free….

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, TalcottWx said:

Losing touch with reality. 

I love Travis and Jason. Blue collar grew up like I did, same family values.

Anyways congrats on a blizzard baby. Nearing 7 here and dumping 

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

So naked… so free….

Pics? Ruler?

[Patrick-02540]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

It’s insane here…  you’re right. Just Wow. 

Looks like Runnaway is cleaning up nicely now, too.  

[Tolland Death Band]

Ridiculous dumpage here. Headed for a foot for certain in Ellington

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, The Graupler said:

Are you away from the water? Just checked my property camera in Weymouth and it’s raining 

I'm near the landing.

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Pics? Ruler?

Yard dick .. I mean stick 

[Thunderblizzard]

6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Measured almost 9” 20 minutes ago…and it’s the heaviest yet. Wow what a band. 

Just went out and measured about 10" here a moment ago... absolutely pouring fatties. Wow.

[bristolri_wx]

25 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

0.5” ON THE GROUND OUTSIDE OF GRASS OR PLASTIC!!  0.5”!?  And You people have 6”-10”??  

F*** THIS STORM!  In the past 9 days I’ve had to deal with the Chiefs Winning, Mahomes winning a Historic Game WITH an OT coup to boot, Narcissistic Swift & Asshat Kelce taking over the God Dang World seeing unprecedented records and power, my industry has gone So Woke at the Grammys you can’t recognize it, Brandon doesn’t know he’s flipping Alive as President, and now ANOTHER Failed storm like the last 7 “big ones” in a Row here the past 2 years??  

Here you go man:

https://weedmaps.com/dispensaries/in/united-states/rhode-island/cumberland
 

[Damage In Tolland]

[weatherwiz]

5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Why I didn't waver. Have to open the hood the check the engine and all signs were positive here.

Exactly. This is why I get so bent out of shape with the snow maps. They're just leading to lazy forecasting. Ultimately, forecasting is a science which requires a great deal of time and effort. Now, I get in today's day and age where everyone is so busy and has so many responsibilities that it's difficult to put that effort in, but we're only hurting ourselves that way. 

Fundamentals are important. Take sports for example, you can have the most talent team, best players, but if you can't execute the fundamentals, you aren't winning in the end. 

When forecasting, the fundamentals should be applied first and always. If one is going to look at snow maps or QPF and see there is a cut-down, the questions needs to be asked as to why that is and whether it makes sense. When looking back at how all guidance was handling the mid-levels, the evolution of the mid-levels, jet enhancement, the QPF cuts should not have made sense. 

I guess though hindsight is 20-20...its always easier said than done in the end, but you can't ignore the fundamentals and forget why fundamentals are important. 

[BombsAway1288]

All rain Boston with a temp of 35. Logan will record 0.0 out of this 

[Snowcrazed71]

26 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Heading out now..gonna measure. Beautiful puffy dendrites still coming. Heavy snow. Gotta be between 8 and 10” by th looks of it. I’ll see soon.  

Man you got to be over 10 inches. I'm probably just about a foot at this point