Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[wx_observer]

6 minutes ago, Spaizzo said:

Our schools here cancelled right before the models ran south. It’s better for working parents to be able to plan childcare if needed.


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Ours closed 2 hours AFTER.  Go figure...

[Snowcrazed71]

36 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

Would actually be funny to go from 8-12" to 0" within 36 hours of an event

It truly sucks. 

[Sled]

3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

I was just thinking about that today, i could have swore when i was in school in the late 90s and early 2000s we never saw cancellations until the morning of, like 5AM. Almost never. Cancelling the day before a storm seemed like it was recent thing to me.

It's definitely recent, within the last 5 years. My kids will be home tomorrow and probably won't even be able to go sledding... Sad

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

Yup. I grew up in West Hartford and went to school in the 90's and 2000's. 

1. West Hartford hardly ever cancelled...I mean ever. Hell, it was a blessing if we either had a delay or an early dismissal. 

2. There is only one time I distinctly remember it happening. I was in middle school (so sometime between 1999-2002) and we had two days cancelled in a row. Its funny because it was supposed to be a very large storm (I think a two part) and it kind of busted. I think in total we got around 8'' or something...maybe it was 10.

3/01?

[WeatherX]

Heavy snower for several hours will be great while we have it.


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[ineedsnow]

2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Yup. I grew up in West Hartford and went to school in the 90's and 2000's. 

1. West Hartford hardly ever cancelled...I mean ever. Hell, it was a blessing if we either had a delay or an early dismissal. 

2. There is only one time I distinctly remember it happening. I was in middle school (so sometime between 1999-2002) and we had two days cancelled in a row. Its funny because it was supposed to be a very large storm (I think a two part) and it kind of busted. I think in total we got around 8'' or something...maybe it was 10.

I remember waking up early in the early 90's  and watching the bottom of the screen hoping to see Agawam closed lol

[weathafella]

Just now, WeatherX said:

Heavy snower for several hours will be great while we have it.


.

Hopefully it’s cold enough to stick to pavement 

[The 4 Seasons]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

3/01?

If he got 2 days, almost certainly that was Mar 4-6, 2001 since that was Mon, Tue (started Sunday aftn and ended tuesday late night)

[H2Otown_WX]

17 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

You give yourself away when you say shit like this.  Makes me sad.

Just put him on ignore, that's what I did

[SouthCoastMA]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It’s warm to start too. Effed again.

Looks like it's liquid here until 10am or so. Taking longer to flip due to lack of dynamics to start vs earlier runs 

[Connecticut Appleman]

5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Yup. I grew up in West Hartford and went to school in the 90's and 2000's. 

1. West Hartford hardly ever cancelled...I mean ever. Hell, it was a blessing if we either had a delay or an early dismissal. 

2. There is only one time I distinctly remember it happening. I was in middle school (so sometime between 1999-2002) and we had two days cancelled in a row. Its funny because it was supposed to be a very large storm (I think a two part) and it kind of busted. I think in total we got around 8'' or something...maybe it was 10.

I guess I'm getting old - we had t wait for Bob Steele to read out the names in the 70's on the radio every half hour.  That was the only source.

[wx_observer]

The model shifts are surprising on their own.  What seems even more surprising is how confident NWS was in their forecast prior to the shift.  This was not a low confidence forecast late morning today.

[weatherwiz]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

3/01?

That sounds about right. 

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

I remember waking up early in the early 90's  and watching the bottom of the screen hoping to see Agawam closed lol

Yup...those were good times. My mom used to listen to the radio in the morning so I would lay in bed and listen to the them go down the list. It used to piss me off so much because Hartford used to close constantly and West Hartford wouldn't. Granted though...back then West Hartford did a helluva job cleaning roads. Hartford sucked. You would tell what streets separated Hartford from West Hartford because you would go from perfectly clear road to can't see pavement in the span of 5 feet  

[UnitedWx]

Just now, Connecticut Appleman said:

I guess I'm getting old - we had t wait for Bob Steele to read out the names in the 70's on the radio every half hour.  That was the only source.

They did that until a year or so ago. LOTS of complaints when they did away with it... but local radio has been cut to the bone financially 

[ChangeofSeasonsWX]

2 minutes ago, wx_observer said:

The model shifts are surprising on their own.  What seems even more surprising is how confident NWS was in their forecast prior to the shift.  This was not a low confidence forecast late morning today.

Yeah thats what makes this particular event seem rather unprecedented for the modern era. At least since the turn of the century. I can't think of another time where they got it this wrong.

[H2Otown_WX]

2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

That sounds about right. 

Yup...those were good times. My mom used to listen to the radio in the morning so I would lay in bed and listen to the them go down the list. It used to piss me off so much because Hartford used to close constantly and West Hartford wouldn't. Granted though...back then West Hartford did a helluva job cleaning roads. Hartford sucked. You would tell what streets separated Hartford from West Hartford because you would go from perfectly clear road to can't see pavement in the span of 5 feet  

It was this, never gets old @The 4 Seasons lol:

 

[ariof]

1 minute ago, ChangeofSeasonsWX said:

Yeah that what makes this particular event seem rather unprecedented for the modern era. At least since the turn of the century. I can't think of another time where they got it this wrong.

I mean who can really blame them. The big models were all on board for several runs and then at 12Z they got the rug pulled out.

Maybe this will make it less likely that in the future they cancel everything the day before. But this does seem pretty unprecedented.

[WeatherX]

Hopefully it’s cold enough to stick to pavement 

Our pavement is much warmer than up in the hinterlands so I’m concerned it might be a little warm here


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[The 4 Seasons]

Just now, H2Otown_WX said:

It was this, never gets old @The 4 Seasons lol:

 

i watch that video everytime a big boy is coming, unfortunately its been a few years

[Typhoon Tip]

33 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Parts of CT and Mass were well within the 12-18" cone at 18 hours out to potentially see zero inches of snow.  @ORH_wxman how many times has that happened this close in?

Have to go back to February 1987

[weathafella]

Just now, WeatherX said:

Our pavement is much warmer than up in the hinterlands so I’m concerned it might be a little warm here


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If you get dynamics you’ll accumulate.

[brooklynwx99]

all you can do is laugh. I have never seen anything like this with a system of this type. this may happen with phasers like Boxing Day or Juno (Jan 2015), but a southern stream vort running into confluence? unheard of. it is baffling

[HIPPYVALLEY]

2 minutes ago, wx_observer said:

Why does bust seem like such an understatement for what happened today?  

 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

After an in depth discussion with @Torch Tiger @jbenedet and @qg_omega we decided to lower totals.  "GIDDY UP"

*Disclaimer @The 4 Seasons does not approve of this map. 

[ineedsnow]

1z HRRR 

[ineedsnow]

[wx_observer]

3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

 

When a picture is worth 1,000 busts.  

[ChangeofSeasonsWX]

I have a feeling that this event will be remembered for a very long time, and not for the reasons it should be.

[wokeupthisam]

22 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

HRRR, 24 hours apart. Just an astonishing shift.

 

Incredible but I'm lookin' right at it

[Brian5671]

11 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

That sounds about right. 

Yup...those were good times. My mom used to listen to the radio in the morning so I would lay in bed and listen to the them go down the list. It used to piss me off so much because Hartford used to close constantly and West Hartford wouldn't. Granted though...back then West Hartford did a helluva job cleaning roads. Hartford sucked. You would tell what streets separated Hartford from West Hartford because you would go from perfectly clear road to can't see pavement in the span of 5 feet  

still the same here b/w Fairfield And Bridgeport....