Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[dendrite]

3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Dendy trolling sne hard.

I was expecting 8-12”+ as of late Sat night. All you can do is laugh.

[CT Rain]

Not much of a change from 12z to 18z on the EPS

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I am so worn out and defeated....so sick of it all. Gonna have to think long and hard about whether I even want to do this next year.

You’ve already handed your blog over to the nyc officer anyway. 

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I’m not a met, but that doesn’t look good

I don't think a low moving ENE that far south is a good thing.

[mcap77]

Just now, dendrite said:

I was expecting 8-12”+ as of late Sat night. All you can do is laugh.

Look in the bright side. We don't need to plow mud season like roads now. I wouldn't mind 2" or so to freshen things up though. 

[BrianW]

6 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Didn't you just put up a 20 spot last month?

You out on Fishers? Looks exciting for the 3 shoreline people....

[dendrite]

7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Needs to gain a little more latitude. I’m not loving the look at the moment. We need to see those heavier echoes in N KY break through a little more…right now the northern extent of them is pretty static…they’re trying to push N a little further east near S OH…next 2 hours we’ll know  

 

We need some ground truth to match the QPF too. But a lot of those echoes look like they’re hitting a brick wall in N KY like the recent modeling has had.

Only a couple 0.04”s in OH so far.

[JC-CT]

9 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

So nobody saw the hints of this with meteorological insight, somewhere someone had to see some flags 

If by meteorological insight you mean the 6z euro then sure.

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, mcap77 said:

Look in the bright side. We don't need to plow mud season like roads now. I wouldn't mind 2" or so to freshen things up though. 

Thu night might be a little refresher, but that’s for another thread.

[Hoth]

3 minutes ago, BrianW said:

You out on Fishers? Looks exciting for the 3 shoreline people....

Nah, Hamden. Should be okay here too, but we'll see...

[CoastalWx]

Radar has that ENE look. Stuff hits a brick wall trying to move N on the KY WFO radars.

[ineedsnow]

I think its going to be congrats southern CT maybe even south of that

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Radar has that ENE look. Stuff hits a brick wall trying to move N on the KY WFO radars.

what is causing that … the northern strewm just not setting the stage ?

[Spanks45]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

I think its going to be congrats southern CT maybe even south of that

Not feeling it here....top 2 storms in the last 2 years....5" and 4.6", looks like it won't be cracking the top 2

[jbenedet]

Just looking at the sky, wouldn’t even think a storm was coming to the northeast.
 

Star gazing night; no halo around the moon. 
 

 

[8611Blizz]

This is starting to look like a cat 5 shit storm.

[Brian5671]

3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

I think its going to be congrats southern CT maybe even south of that

LI/NYC for sure...i think I'm on the edge here...I could see us just having wet roads and some slop on the grass...it's going to be close.

[ineedsnow]

0z HRRR is looking meh for most

[Sey-Mour Snow]

22 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I am so worn out and defeated....so sick of it all. Gonna have to think long and hard about whether I even want to do this next year.

Been thinking the same thing all day

[ORH_wxman]

9 minutes ago, dendrite said:

We need some ground truth to match the QPF too. But a lot of those echoes look like they’re hitting a brick wall in N KY like the recent modeling has had.

Only a couple 0.04”s in OH so far.

I don’t think it’s going to end up well here. 00z hrrr trended worse for the second straight run after improving between 18z and 22z. Just about ready to throw in the towel here on anything over 6”. 

CT/RI/SE MA still look ok but these flatter runs are robbing dynamics too so even the places that still get hit aren’t get hit quite as hard as when we see the more dynamic/north solutions. 

[CT Rain]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

I don’t think it’s going to end up well here. 00z hrrr trended worse for the second straight run after improving between 18z and 22z. Just about ready to throw in the towel here on anything over 6”. 

CT/RI/SE MA still look ok but these flatter runs are robbing dynamics too so even the places that still get hit aren’t get hit quite as hard as when we see the more dynamic/north solutions. 

Yup... HRRR looks worse. Blahh.

[George001]

The models still havent gone back north to where they were a couple days ago, what the fuck…..

[Damage In Tolland]

I think 0 is very possible in N CT. I am out 

[ineedsnow]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I don’t think it’s going to end up well here. 00z hrrr trended worse for the second straight run after improving between 18z and 22z. Just about ready to throw in the towel here on anything over 6”. 

CT/RI/SE MA still look ok but these flatter runs are robbing dynamics too so even the places that still get hit aren’t get hit quite as hard as when we see the more dynamic/north solutions. 

I'll be surprised if you even see a inch or two  

[ineedsnow]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

I think 0 is very possible in N CT. I am out 

yup unbelievable trend the last 24 hours

[8611Blizz]

They'll be running a list of all the uncancelled schools tomorrow morning.

[MuddyWx]

Tough pill to swallow with the already crappy winter we've had. And with last year's

[Sn0waddict]

3 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Yup... HRRR looks worse. Blahh.

Ya that’s a cut back in precip. Not even that impressive down here. 

[weathafella]

There's going to be an uproar from the public.  But schools cancelling 24 hours out have only themselves to blame.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

The rat is undeniable. When things are going bad, they go really bad. You’d be hard pressed to find a worse 25 month stretch of winter here