Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I mean it’s education and gives you an idea of something to do before the next modeled ideas but man …it’s a sad state 

This was from Will…he said that it would make a huge difference if the precip is in there solidly.  So we’re just saying what he said to look for. 

[ineedsnow]

Happy for the NYC forum they deserve this.. I cant imagine going that long without a good snowfall

[dendrite]

4 minutes ago, EMontpelierWhiteout said:

Also, center of circulation appears to be more in western third of Tennessee rather than eastern half depicted by 7:00 PM GFS and Euro modeling position.  

[Snowcrazed71]

7 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I’d rather get my balls stepped on than stare at a SE ohio radar to see if it translates to 3” later here. 

Well then..... Tough crowd! Joking of course.

Just let it go. It hurts but it is what it is. Sucks balls rather than getting ball stepped on to be honest

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

May have to be added to the fraud 5 list.

[hudsonvalley21]

7 minutes ago, EMontpelierWhiteout said:

Also, center of circulation appears to be more in western third of Tennessee rather than eastern half depicted by 7:00 PM GFS and Euro modeling position.  

2hr pressure drop map

 

[moneypitmike]

21 minutes ago, tavwtby said:

it's a little early but downstream radar looks good for that precip into Ohio Will was talking about, let's hope it pans out

Upstream.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

The funny part is like even 5 years ago we were saying “remember we used to get more paste jobs?”

 

I am so worn out and defeated....so sick of it all. Gonna have to think long and hard about whether I even want to do this next year.

[dendrite]

Anyone post the 18z ukie yet?

[CoastalWx]

10 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Happy for the NYC forum they deserve this.. I cant imagine going that long without a good snowfall

I’m in the same boat pretty much.

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Anyone post the 18z ukie yet?

its just comical at this point.. if it wasn't for getting a couple good storms this year I would be losing my mind

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

its just comical at this point.. if it wasn't for getting a couple good storms this year I would be losing my mind

This is the sixth consecutive season for me not even within 10" of normal.

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Anyone post the 18z ukie yet?

Ha, Didn't even know there was an 18z run but that's pretty comical but its been pretty far south this whole time.

[ineedsnow]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

I’m in the same boat pretty much.

hopefully the rest of us get nailed at some point.. I've been doing ok but not the greatest this year 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

So nobody saw the hints of this with meteorological insight, somewhere someone had to see some flags 

[ORH_wxman]

7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

This was from Will…he said that it would make a huge difference if the precip is in there solidly.  So we’re just saying what he said to look for. 

Needs to gain a little more latitude. I’m not loving the look at the moment. We need to see those heavier echoes in N KY break through a little more…right now the northern extent of them is pretty static…they’re trying to push N a little further east near S OH…next 2 hours we’ll know  

 

[ineedsnow]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

This is the sixth consecutive season not even with 10" of normal.

it can easily change though.. if it wasn't for that huge storm in March last year my area would have been below normal

[Hoth]

5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I am so worn out and defeated....so sick of it all. Gonna have to think long and hard about whether I even want to do this next year.

Didn't you just put up a 20 spot last month?

[ineedsnow]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

So nobody saw the hints of this with meteorological insight, somewhere someone had to see some flags 

some models were south but the more useful models were north.. I think flags were shown 

[8611Blizz]

I see some one lurking

[dryslot]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

it can easily change though.. if it wasn't for that huge storm in March last year my area would have been below normal

Same up here, But this year is worse then last so far.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

it can easily change though.. if it wasn't for that huge storm in March last year my area would have been below normal

I don't see it in the cards...this Feb pattern has a cartridge full of nuisance in the chamber and then March blows. I just want baseball to start.

[dendrite]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

So nobody saw the hints of this with meteorological insight, somewhere someone had to see some flags 

There’s been a lot of geese flying north here the past few days. That was my first inclination of trouble.

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

This is the sixth consecutive season for me not even within 10" of normal.

 

1 minute ago, Hoth said:

Didn't you just put up a 20 spot last month?

 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Dendy trolling sne hard.

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

So nobody saw the hints of this with meteorological insight, somewhere someone had to see some flags 

There were no smoking guns…some could say Ukie but we’ve seen it be an outlier a bunch of times before and just get embarrassed. 
 

Pretty hard to go against a strong non-Ukie model consensus less than 48h before an event. That’s really short lead time these days. It’s not like it was 72-84 hours out

[EMontpelierWhiteout]

15 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Possibly.  Wasn’t wearing my glasses.  Just trying to stay entertained.  No skin in the game up in the North Country.  Just rooting for you all.

[Spanks45]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

There were no smoking guns…some could say Ukie but we’ve seen it be an outlier a bunch of times before and just get embarrassed. 
 

Pretty hard to go against a strong non-Ukie model consensus less than 48h before an event. That’s really short lead time these days. It’s not like it was 72-84 hours out

Mother nature just found a rarer way to screw us over...at least that's what it seems like anyway. Only joking of course, but despite the good looks, many just had that sick feeling, just waiting for the rug to get pulled.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Needs to gain a little more latitude. I’m not loving the look at the moment. We need to see those heavier echoes in N KY break through a little more…right now the northern extent of them is pretty static…they’re trying to push N a little further east near S OH…next 2 hours we’ll know  

 

I’m not a met, but that doesn’t look good

[NorEastermass128]

If this storm wants to blow…at least we get to pump up that BOS < 4” snowfall streak.