Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[NeonPeon]

1 minute ago, tomcatct said:

Today around 6am when I let my lab out, for the first time all winter the birds were chirping. 

Not scientific,  but I would have guessed spring is close. 

So it's not going to surprise me if this thing wiffs.

I just pruned a birch with a pole saw in a hoodie.

The airmass is bad. The one shot for the coast was big rates and cooling, but if it's a weaker system, even the places that get grazed wouldn't accumulate much on the coast. 

I've not had much hope for this system locally, but now there's even a question of why it will suck. 

[NoCORH4L]

She gone, time to face the sound of the music. If EU was trending NW we'd all be jumping in our Dunking suits, but instead everything trending SW leads to jumps off the Tobin

[Cold Miser]

...she goin' bye bye.

[ORH_wxman]

18z RAP gets no precip to the pike. 0.1" of QPF to about HFD.

[Prismshine Productions]

Just looking at the water vapor, I think the southern solutions are wrong from the position of the NS, it is digging a bit already

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

[Snowcrazed71]

I don't know guys. A lot of you are saying toss the euro. Throw it out. It's a horrible model. But what if it's right? We've had a couple of instances in past years where it looked like we were going to get a big storm and at the last minute it sneaked away. I hope it's wrong, because I think we're all looking forward to this lol

[ma blizzard]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

18z RAP gets no precip to the pike. 0.1" of QPF to about HFD.

If the 18z HRRR follows suit, it would be concerning ..

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, ma blizzard said:

If the 18z HRRR follows suit, it would be concerning ..

It looks like it is going to....coming in flatter on 18z so far. Not sure it will be as bad as the RAP, but the trend will be south this run.

[qg_omega]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

It looks like it is going to....coming in flatter on 18z so far. Not sure it will be as bad as the RAP, but the trend will be south this run.

She gone 

[weatherwiz]

Just now, ma blizzard said:

If the 18z HRRR follows suit, it would be concerning ..

was just thinking that too. Holding firm though until the 18z NAM. 

[weathafella]

It’s kind of funny to watch though.  Ratters rat start to finish it seems.

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, ma blizzard said:

If the 18z HRRR follows suit, it would be concerning ..

Not looking good early on 

[weatherwiz]

Is it really farther south though or just slower? 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

It’s kind of funny to watch though.  Ratters rat start to finish it seems.

Yeah I think it’s time to hit the panic button with this one.

[Layman]

A mere 3 hours ago GYX updated their snowfall map.  Is the consensus now "ain't happening James"?

[40/70 Benchmark]

35 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

No work for me tomorrow. All is well.

This storm can fu ck right off now.

[DavisStraight]

Not sure it matters but current radar lines up with the 12Z Nam.

[Prismshine Productions]

Is it really farther south though or just slower? 

A tick SW and 2mb weaker through hr12

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

[ORH_wxman]

What is concerning isn't just the south trend in and of itself...it's also causing the dynamics to be weaker because you're not curling up that vort as much like we see when you get just a tiny bit of northern stream insert.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

HRRR coming in much less amped compared to 12z.. Will still be a hit for some, but if you continue that trend one more time for 00z its a shut out for all of SNE.. Also as many as said a light to moderate event wont accumulate with this crap air mass.  Lost for words right now .. 

[ineedsnow]

things canceling here already wow are people in for a shock 

[Damage In Tolland]

If the Mesos also bail and go snowless at 18z then it is over admittedly 

[JoeSnowBOS]

What is concerning isn't just the south trend in and of itself...it's also causing the dynamics to be weaker because you're not curling up that vort as much like we see when you get just a tiny bit of northern stream insert.

More concerning is a miss….not the strength. A miss would be a disaster of all forecasts


.

[ORH_wxman]

the 18z HRRR is already a solid 30 miles south of the 15z run at 14 hours.

[SouthCoastMA]

6 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

She gone 

like your ability to post the rest of the day

[ma blizzard]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

the 18z HRRR is already a solid 30 miles south of the 15z run at 14 hours.

4 mb weaker too ..  not good

[Ginx snewx]

Lucy, wanna play football?

[ma blizzard]

Watching the 18z HRRR come out, I can't get the curb your enthusiasm theme music out of my head  

 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

the 18z HRRR is already a solid 30 miles south of the 15z run at 14 hours.

My advice to folks would be jump ship now. The weak runs aren’t going to produce shit.

[Spanks45]

The curse of the past 2 years....within 24 hrs, take the lowest clown snow map and you have your forecast....looks like that curse is still going strong, 1-3 slushy inches here. Hope I'm wrong, but that feeling....