Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[JKEisMan]

5 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Anyone want to post the HREF’s that box likes

They are not drug testing based on the juiced maps 

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/href/?model=href&product=snowfall_024h_mean&sector=ne

just click further to the right (top center of the silver time bar )

[STILL N OF PIKE]

CT nudity 

i may need to stay at a super 8

[ORH_wxman]

A lot of good cross-hair sigs showing up on different pieces of guidance.....if QPF is around an inch, wouldn't be surprised to see some of the hills get 15"+ since they can prob go 15 to 1 or better on the ratios with that look. Might be tougher to pull those ratios lower down where it's more like 32-33F.

[HinghamBoss]

Feels like the goalposts are narrowing and we are getting to some level of consensus.  There's going to be a 4-6 hour window tomorrow that is going to be fun - for many of us, the most fun we have seen in a couple years.

[weatherwiz]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

3-4” per hour for a couple hours 

If I get a chance to make any adjustments to my map later on I'll probably move my 10-14'' area slightly south and east and might even increase it a bit. I can see you getting between 15-18''. 

[wx2fish]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Here's HREF QPF on the 12z run...looks kind of like the NAM though maybe a tiny tick S.

 

Back to that earlier discussion. Qpf looks less wild than the snowmap on SPCs site 

 

[CoastalWx]

Yeah I'll sell that here.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Just now, wx2fish said:

 

Back to that earlier discussion. Qpf looks less wild than the snowmap on SPCs site 

 

I like how it bumps up in N orh county and even N or route 2 in NE mass

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Yeah I'll sell that here.

Bryce snow day 

Unless Greta makes it slopp

[HinghamBoss]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I like how it bumps up in N orh county and even N or route 2 in NE mass

Have looked at those throughout the winter and every storm has been way overdone.

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

If I get a chance to make any adjustments to my map later on I'll probably move my 10-14'' area slightly south and east and might even increase it a bit. I can see you getting between 15-18''. 

LFG!!

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, HinghamBoss said:

Have looked at those throughout the winter and every storm has been way overdone.

I typically find them wild. But they can give signals to heavy snow.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

5 minutes ago, JKEisMan said:

Circlejerk jackpot down in Plymouth county. The world is healing 

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

LFG!!

Ya we are in a good spot for this. Let’s go is right. 

[weatherwiz]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I typically find them wild. But they can give signals to heavy snow.

Agreed, I think the HREF has a tendency to be way overblown sometimes but I think it has great merit and support in this situation. 

[ChangeofSeasonsWX]

44 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Definitely, eh?

As much as I would love for the PVD area to be in the jack zone considering how bad this winter has been, latest guidance doesn't support it. Hope I'm wrong.

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, ChangeofSeasonsWX said:

As much as I would love for the PVD area to be in the jack zone considering how bad this winter has been, latest guidance doesn't support it. Hope I'm wrong.

PVD will do fine...they'll get warning criteria even if they don't jackpot.

[Patrick-02540]

4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Ya we are in a good spot for this. Let’s go is right. 

Im at 12.5" for the season.  I plan on more than doubling that by Wednesday morning.  

[STILL N OF PIKE]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

PVD will do fine...they'll get warning criteria.

Hasn’t snowed much in 2 years and downing about no Jack zone . I think PVD has a high ceiling here 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Just now, Patrick-02540 said:

Im at 12.5" for the season.  I plan on more than doubling that by Wednesday morning.  

What is your trick or pay pal

 

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, Patrick-02540 said:

Im at 12.5" for the season.  I plan on more than doubling that by Wednesday morning.  

Your elevation there in "northern" SW CT might be a great spot for one of the highest totals.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Can I double my 10” seasonal total?

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, Patrick-02540 said:

Im at 12.5" for the season.  I plan on more than doubling that by Wednesday morning.  

Yup…I’m at 11.0” so pretty close to you on total for the season.  So be nice to double it too.  Finished at a tad over 12” last season, so this is very much welcomed. 

[metagraphica]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

 

Heh....16.2" CT jack.  Not likely, but one can hope.  I figure 10-12" down here @ 380'.

[40/70 Benchmark]

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2024/02/final-call-for-high-impact-short.html

[Lava Rock]

56 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Pretty much Locked here for 10-12” imo. 

congrats. you'll almost have as much sn as Ft Kent

[moneypitmike]

19 minutes ago, JKEisMan said:

Happy  to see me safely ensconced in the 15-18 zone.

[CTWeatherFreak]

It's a little unsettling that Uncle hasnt budged.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2024/02/final-call-for-high-impact-short.html

Nice map. I think k the cutoff is going to be pretty sharp like you have it north and west 

[40/70 Benchmark]

22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

A lot of good cross-hair sigs showing up on different pieces of guidance.....if QPF is around an inch, wouldn't be surprised to see some of the hills get 15"+ since they can prob go 15 to 1 or better on the ratios with that look. Might be tougher to pull those ratios lower down where it's more like 32-33F.

Same page...included exactly this in my write up.