Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[Patrick-02540]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Lollis to 18?

Always believe in lollies to 18! 

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, DavisStraight said:

Agawam should do decent in this one.

I think it will be heavy and wet there.  just want more cover up here when I get home

[ORH_wxman]

ICON is south of 06z....though the 06z ICON was easily the furthest north model. The 12z ICON is going to look a lot like the 12z NAM

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Don’t worry RDPS isn’t looking like nam 

jacks MVY to fairhaven with 6 to pike in E ma

[weathafella]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Ha!   I know you guys don't normally look at the FOUS ( it's an old habit of mine ...) but my god at the QPF at Logan comparing prior runs.

since 12z yesterday's NAM ...every mode cycle only put out 2 intervals of QPF/liq equiv, and the numbers are always .5"-ish then .3"-ish  ... totally ~ .8".  It just was not changing for that location.

12z just now?         .27"  +    1.04"  +   .22"       hahaha    my goodness

Also cools the boundary layer for a big time snow thump by 12Z tomorrow.

 

OUTPUT FROM NAM 12Z FEB 12 24
TTPTTR1R2R3 VVVLI PSDDFF HHT1T3T5
BOS//732918 00015 133310 37000098
06000622928 -2115 112702 38039898
12000644233 00417 112802 39049898
18000736624 -1015 080410 40029698
24027989153 09317 020621 41009696
30104978929 04420 950228 34009592
36022824610 -2016 023115 25009587
42000594310 -1217 063016 20999488
48000766206 03312 072717 18989487
54000513207 -3314 103021 14999285
60000503308 00216 132921 15969086

[MJO812]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Don’t worry RDPS isn’t looking like nam 

 

[CoastalWx]

Reggie might be a tad south of 6z.

[ineedsnow]

12z Reggie looks the same as 6z

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Icon 84 to ORH to NW 495 jacky

[ineedsnow]

12z ICON gone wild

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Reggie might be a tad south of 6z.

Funny how the Reggie QPF is so paltry again outside of SE MA but the H7 fronto is in the roughly same spot as NAM

 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Reggie might be a tad south of 6z.

Siggy south for Boston /Ne area at lest with lift there

[The Graupler]

Classic Ooga booga setup, straight like VICKI from small wonder lifting a refrigerator up behind a green screen.  86ish 

[ineedsnow]

12z ICON gone wild

[Modfan2]

Congrats MJ0812?

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Funny how the Reggie QPF is so paltry again outside of SE MA but the H7 fronto is in the roughly same spot as NAM

 

Nice convergence there. You would expect that look more north.

[Damage In Tolland]

Poundmetown is coming 

[MJO812]

1 minute ago, Modfan2 said:

Congrats MJ0812?

Congrats nyc burbs 

[ChangeofSeasonsWX]

Based on the southern trends is it possible that the jack zone will reach PVD area? It seems to me like the southern trend isn't as big as some are making it out to be and therefore the jack zone will still be north of PVD.

[dan11295]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Funny how the Reggie QPF is so paltry again outside of SE MA but the H7 fronto is in the roughly same spot as NAM

 

Not sure how you end up with <4" along the Pike with that setup

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Nice convergence there. You would expect that look more north.

Yeah it's wringing out all the QPF where the best 850-900 forcing is...I'd expect to see that when you have a really weak vort and a more rounded trough....not a neg tilt with a strong vort.

[moneypitmike]

5 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Don’t worry RDPS isn’t looking like nam 

jacks MVY to fairhaven with 6 to pike in E ma

Model mayhem continues while only 20 hours out, and most of mass straddles a range between paltry and major.  Goodness.

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, ChangeofSeasonsWX said:

Based on the southern trends is it possible that the jack zone will reach PVD area? It seems to me like the southern trend isn't as big as some are making it out to be and therefore the jack zone will still be north of PVD.

I think the jack is definitely north of PVD at the moment. NW RI may do well.

[Typhoon Tip]

17 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I think BDL is like 15'' below the seasonal average for snowfall. That deficit could be eliminated. 

is there a graphic for dummies seasonal snow 'normals' product out there?  yeah yeah one can search the web themselves but if anyone has that link off hand ...  

going into the internet and searching for that sort of thing is far less successful now that the internet has become something other than shared information, rather an enterprise for economic ambition and petty greed.  it just makes one angry -

[ChangeofSeasonsWX]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

I think the jack is definitely north of PVD at the moment. NW RI may do well.

Ah I figured. Didn't want to get my hopes up. NW RI always jacks in these events.

[Modfan2]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I think the jack is definitely north of PVD at the moment. NW RI may do well.

Ginxy Jack Incoming 

[MJO812]

Its official 

NYC schools are closed tomorrow 

Remote Learning

Very weird 

[NeonPeon]

If they ever do that for my kids, they are going to be sick and we are going sledding. Snow days are what made every weenie.

[The 4 Seasons]

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Its official 

NYC schools are closed tomorrow 

Remote Learning

Very weird 

hope you do well, prayin for you..

super tough call for NYC and LI

[MJO812]

Just now, The 4 Seasons said:

hope you do well, prayin for you..

super tough call for NYC and LI

It's just weird to close schools for a few inches . Never happened before.