Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[Typhoon Tip]

I dunno ...

I think this qualifies pretty clearly as a 'saved by the bell' event. 

Look, every storm is going to shirk some zones.  That's just the way it is.  I remember back to some whopper storms of lore that shadowed CT.  This time they fared better while the typical FIT Ma takes one for the team - so to speak.

It's life. 

I'm really vastly more fascinated by the the crazy very late/short range wholesale model failure.   It's actually encouraging in some respects, because that means there's still Dec 23 1997, or a Dec 9 2005 possible going the other way.  - although I do think there's a bit of a weird model cinema reliance for mood control thing that's evolved over the years, which ironically ... that's tantamount to using an uncontrollable vector as a mood management control - hence the .  That shouldn't be, but it is what it is.

[DavisStraight]

Heaviest snow so far, over 4 inches, if I can get hit by that heavy band, I might make 8, not the 12-18 we thought but it salvages the storm for me.

[TheSnowman]

0.5” ON THE GROUND OUTSIDE OF GRASS OR PLASTIC!!  0.5”!?  And You people have 6”-10”??  

F*** THIS STORM!  In the past 9 days I’ve had to deal with the Chiefs Winning, Mahomes winning a Historic Game WITH an OT coup to boot, Narcissistic Swift & Asshat Kelce taking over the God Dang World seeing unprecedented records and power, my industry has gone So Woke at the Grammys you can’t recognize it, Brandon doesn’t know he’s flipping Alive as President, and now ANOTHER Failed storm like the last 7 “big ones” in a Row here the past 2 years??  

[MJO812]

Wow what a shit job by the models 

[WinterWolf]

Heading out now..gonna measure. Beautiful puffy dendrites still coming. Heavy snow. Gotta be between 8 and 10” by th looks of it. I’ll see soon.  

[Sey-Mour Snow]

  On 2/13/2024 at 3:06 PM, MJO812 said:

Wow what a shit job by the models 

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what do you have

 

[Spaizzo]

Around 4.75" here in Ansonia, but its coming down like crazy again. 

[CoastalWx]

Almost all snow now. 34.5

[cut]

About 5 inches on grass and outdoor table, just cleared about 2.5 to 3 off driveway - pretty heavy snow here on Trumbull Bridgeport line. - 1/2 N of Parkway.

[WinterWolf]

Really pounding now..this is a great storm. We needed this.  

[dendrite]

  On 2/13/2024 at 3:05 PM, TheSnowman said:

0.5” ON THE GROUND OUTSIDE OF GRASS OR PLASTIC!!  0.5”!?  And You people have 6”-10”??  

F*** THIS STORM!  In the past 9 days I’ve had to deal with the Chiefs Winning, Mahomes winning a Historic Game WITH an OT coup to boot, Narcissistic Swift & Asshat Kelce taking over the God Dang World seeing unprecedented records and power, my industry has gone So Woke at the Grammys you can’t recognize it, Brandon doesn’t know he’s flipping Alive as President, and now ANOTHER Failed storm like the last 7 “big ones” in a Row here the past 2 years??  

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[EMontpelierWhiteout]

  On 2/13/2024 at 3:05 PM, TheSnowman said:

0.5” ON THE GROUND OUTSIDE OF GRASS OR PLASTIC!!  0.5”!?  And You people have 6”-10”??  

F*** THIS STORM!  In the past 9 days I’ve had to deal with the Chiefs Winning, Mahomes winning a Historic Game WITH an OT coup to boot, Narcissistic Swift & Asshat Kelce taking over the God Dang World seeing unprecedented records and power, my industry has gone So Woke at the Grammys you can’t recognize it, Brandon doesn’t know he’s flipping Alive as President, and now ANOTHER Failed storm like the last 7 “big ones” in a Row here the past 2 years??  

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This is a weather forum. Not interested in your politics. 

[ORH_wxman]

Looks like about 3" of mashed potatoes....we haven't had the rates that CT has had though, so it is going to need to pick up if we're gonna salvage warning criteria.

[SouthCoastMA]

It's really not accumulating well..maybe 1" of cement. let's see if it ramps up with the ccb

[STILL N OF PIKE]

  On 2/13/2024 at 3:10 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Looks like about 3" of mashed potatoes....we haven't had the rates that CT has had though, so it is going to need to pick up if we're gonna salvage warning criteria.

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Friend in Millis just sent photo of barely dusting due to putrid temps /lack of rates i assume 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

On my crap radar looks like metro Bos NW has a tightening heavier band 

[Torch Tiger]

  On 2/13/2024 at 3:03 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Central park has plowable 2" plus based on live video that I see 

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flatbush @ 6th...

[ORH_wxman]

We were in a little mini-sucker hole you can see on the loop but it has filled in and we're picking up now

 

[ORH_wxman]

  On 2/13/2024 at 3:11 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Friend in Millis just sent photo of barely dusting due to putrid temps /lack of rates i assume 

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That's crazy they have less than inch. Millis is pretty low though...most of the town is like 100 feet ASL. My extra 250-300 feet is def helping some.

[dryslot]

  On 2/13/2024 at 3:05 PM, TheSnowman said:

0.5” ON THE GROUND OUTSIDE OF GRASS OR PLASTIC!!  0.5”!?  And You people have 6”-10”??  

F*** THIS STORM!  In the past 9 days I’ve had to deal with the Chiefs Winning, Mahomes winning a Historic Game WITH an OT coup to boot, Narcissistic Swift & Asshat Kelce taking over the God Dang World seeing unprecedented records and power, my industry has gone So Woke at the Grammys you can’t recognize it, Brandon doesn’t know he’s flipping Alive as President, and now ANOTHER Failed storm like the last 7 “big ones” in a Row here the past 2 years??  

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What a melt!

[weatherwiz]

  On 2/13/2024 at 3:05 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

I dunno ...

I think this qualifies pretty clearly as a 'saved by the bell' event. 

Look, every storm is going to jade some zones.  That's just the way it is.  I remember back to some whopper storms of lore that shadowed CT.  This time they fared better while the typical FIT Ma takes one for the team - so to speak.

It's life. 

I'm really vastly more fascinated by the the crazy very late/short range wholesale model failure.   It's actually encouraging in some respects, because that means there's still Dec 23 1997, or a Dec 9 2005 possible going the other way.  - although I do think there's a bit of a weird model cinema reliance for mood control thing that's evolved over the years, which ironically ... that's tantamount to using an uncontrollable vector as a mood management control - hence the .  That shouldn't be, but it is what it is.

Expand  

This storm deserves one helluva case study. Ultimately though, this storm is a prime clear-cut example of why snow maps are garbage but why analyzing "trends" in the snow maps is pure garbage. When it comes to modeled QPF, I feel like models have improved on this significantly over the past 10-15 years but this was probably a case too where analyzing QPF trends was probably not a great idea. 

Despite what the Euro was doing, the mid-level presentation argued for a crushing along and south/east of I84. I think dendrite mentioned it earlier, but models can often struggle with QPF under the banding signal. I honestly think all the clues were still there for a crushing. Even with the lower QPF, forecast soundings were still showing great lift into the DGZ. Saturation was not an issue so naturally lift into the DGZ was going to produce snow. 

I believe we are also in the entrance region of the ULJ. 

 

[radarman]

Back edge not far away, but we've had a reasonably snowy couple hours.  Grass almost not poking through.  Congrats to the CT valley peeps south of the border.

[Layman]

  On 2/13/2024 at 3:05 PM, TheSnowman said:

0.5” ON THE GROUND OUTSIDE OF GRASS OR PLASTIC!!  0.5”!?  And You people have 6”-10”??  

F*** THIS STORM!  In the past 9 days I’ve had to deal with the Chiefs Winning, Mahomes winning a Historic Game WITH an OT coup to boot, Narcissistic Swift & Asshat Kelce taking over the God Dang World seeing unprecedented records and power, my industry has gone So Woke at the Grammys you can’t recognize it, Brandon doesn’t know he’s flipping Alive as President, and now ANOTHER Failed storm like the last 7 “big ones” in a Row here the past 2 years??  

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[DFCIAF]

Plain rain in Boston. Not even a stray flake mixed in at the moment. I live just near Copley Sq

[Damage In Tolland]

I think we “myself included” missed the fronto forcing aspect of this as it’s typically a NNE thing in coastals. Ryan, Scoots, Will mentioned it in various degrees but I think that is what most of us missed . Focused on the south shift and qpf cuts 

[ma blizzard]

32/31, S .. Lets see if we can rip some 1"/hr + rates next hour or two 

[subdude]

about 0.75" in the Burg. lol

[subdude]

  On 2/13/2024 at 3:05 PM, TheSnowman said:

0.5” ON THE GROUND OUTSIDE OF GRASS OR PLASTIC!!  0.5”!?  And You people have 6”-10”??  

F*** THIS STORM!  In the past 9 days I’ve had to deal with the Chiefs Winning, Mahomes winning a Historic Game WITH an OT coup to boot, Narcissistic Swift & Asshat Kelce taking over the God Dang World seeing unprecedented records and power, my industry has gone So Woke at the Grammys you can’t recognize it, Brandon doesn’t know he’s flipping Alive as President, and now ANOTHER Failed storm like the last 7 “big ones” in a Row here the past 2 years??  

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So, how's your week going? 

[Patrick-02540]

  On 2/13/2024 at 3:09 PM, WinterWolf said:

Really pounding now..this is a great storm. We needed this.  

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I'm definitely over a foot here.  Pulled my truck out and within 50 minutes I had 3 inches on the bed cover.  Going to do the official measurement now.  

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Crushed. Feels amazing. Going back out with the kids.