AstronomyEnjoyer Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 4:54 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: No, there just is no dynamics like I was just saying. So the .3 of so of qpf here is basically just slop/white rain. Expand Yeah, the dynamics do suck, I guess it's just an odd look compared to other models that don't have that abrupt east/west clown cutoff at the tip of Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 4:50 AM, WinterWolf said: Expand He did and was right (apparently). If I was in my home town in NNJ I’d be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Briz600 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 I think this thing will trend north a bit overnight to 4-8 here. It would be funny if we ended up with less then 1”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 4:18 AM, Sn0waddict said: Time for bed, but hey the HERPES model still looks good! Expand I hope it misses, at least here. Only ~3" or so, we'll survive. Hopefully far SNE gets crushed though, no butt-hurts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 5:12 AM, Briz600 said: I think this thing will trend north a bit overnight to 4-8 here. It would be funny if we ended up with less then 1”. Expand It'd be more funny if models went bonkers further NW and forecasts went way way too low 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 I see that "arc" on radar, extrapolating that east doesn't look promising NOP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 5:20 AM, Torch Tiger said: I see that "arc" on radar, extrapolating that east doesn't look promising NOP Expand Upstream radar looks terrible for anyone outside of CT. Hopefully they can grab a few inches but this one is an exercise in heartache for most of SNE. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotSureWeather Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 Pretty big blowup of moisture in southern PA. Don’t really see that modeled anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spaizzo Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 Light flakes have started in Mt Vernon NY. NYC areas are reporting rain and/or sleet… it’s early no?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotSureWeather Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 At least I don’t see that on the HRRR. It’s on the GFS and ICON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 Experimental RRFS A looks decent for parts of Connecticut using its own snowfall algorithm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 The 0z Euro at 06z shows temps in the upper 20's. What a joke. It's 36F here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 Clear Euro improvement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 Tick north tick north come on baby tick on north...Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 Euro did come north a bit, but too little too late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 5:55 AM, 78Blizzard said: The 0z Euro at 06z shows temps in the upper 20's. What a joke. It's 36F here now. Expand 6z was 34 for BOS. Prog for 12z is 37…lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 Tickle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 Better than 12z… Good to see 18z and 00z trend a bit north and more amped at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 5:35 AM, HIPPYVALLEY said: Upstream radar looks terrible for anyone outside of CT. Hopefully they can grab a few inches but this one is an exercise in heartache for most of SNE. Expand Yeah of course, It would be great for the S coast crew Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 1:33 AM, 8611Blizz said: At least That old man in Nantucket gets his blizzard. Expand Im not so sure. No dynamics. Warm temps. Climo. Im only thinking 2” but Im bo expert. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 I’d rather partly sunny and brisk tomorrow if the best I can do is two lousy inches from this. Might as well go for the record at this point 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 @NotSureWeatherpointed this out: Convection (circled below) not really on any models for Tues 6z... up against the northwest wall of dry air, and models have it dissipate as low transfers off Delmarva, but hopefully this translates at least to CT folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 6:16 AM, wxsniss said: @NotSureWeatherpointed this out: Convection (circled below) not really on any models for Tues 6z... up against the northwest wall of dry air, and models have it dissipate as low transfers off Delmarva, but hopefully this translates at least to CT folks Expand that looks like bright banding to me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 6:19 AM, Torch Tiger said: that looks like bright banding to me Expand Yeah you might be right I'm not sure... the most intense echoes do look narrow and stationary, but surrounding echoes less so and are moving northeast. In any case, this feels like microdissecting radar hallucinations, but whether or not echoes hit a wall at ~Susquehanna county in northeast PA (HRRRs) or actually reach the northern PA-NY border (GFS) in the next 5 hours will be telling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotSureWeather Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 Radar is reasonably different than what is being modeled on the NAM and HRRR. What’s on radar is basically 50-100 miles further north than both models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 6z Nam fyp 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 Sizable tick north on 6z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 7:53 AM, wxsniss said: Sizable tick north on 6z NAM Expand 3k looks to be similar. Will post it when storm's over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCHurricane Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 06z NAM “Looks like snow is back on the menu boys” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 6z 3k. Some snow still falling on the cape only at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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