Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[moneypitmike]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:29 PM, Greg said:

Really big midnight models coming! Must stay tuned!

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staying up tonight will be a waste of time.  Check the radar at 9 and go to bed. 

[DavisStraight]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:30 PM, tavwtby said:

yeah I'm one of those...

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Me too, I was hoping to see the storm slowed down and buried us, saw the opposite.

[JC-CT]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:31 PM, DavisStraight said:

What about this model?

 

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12z

[Greg]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:31 PM, moneypitmike said:

staying up tonight will be a waste of time.  Check the radar at 9 and go to bed. 

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It's called sarcasm is what I posted.

[ORH_wxman]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:31 PM, DavisStraight said:

What about this model?

 

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That's just the super hi-res version of the RGEM. Thats the 12z run...I'd expect 18z to be pretty ugly for the pike crowd.

[moneypitmike]

Lawn thread anyone?

[HinghamBoss]

[DavisStraight]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:33 PM, ORH_wxman said:

That's just the super hi-res version of the RGEM. Thats the 12z run...I'd expect 18z to be pretty ugly for the pike crowd.

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Good for the fishes

[Torch Tiger]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:16 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

One set of guidance away from a total SNE whiff

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we tried to convey it

[tavwtby]

Albany kept the Warning for here, for now but has downgraded all the advisory except my cty and south Berks and adjacent NY ctys

[CoastalWx]

Schools all calling off.  Snow emergency at BOS. 

 

I do hope this comes north a bit overnight so we don't have to hear the inevitable "they blew it again.." comments.

[FSUIZZY]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:33 PM, HinghamBoss said:

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Notice how he split Boston in half so just in case there is a last minute tick north he is covered lol. 

[tavwtby]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:35 PM, CoastalWx said:

Schools all calling off.  Snow emergency at BOS. 

 

I do hope this comes north a bit overnight so we don't have to hear the inevitable "they blew it again.." comments.

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such a tough job right now for something that looked pretty locked for a while, and a sig for a couple weeks now, hard job

[Professional Lurker]

  On 2/12/2024 at 7:10 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

This storm can fu ck right off now.

Yup. I literally just wrote and then deleted the mother of all meltdowns. I had to think better of it. Even if I have no snow, I still have my pride.

Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk

[JC-CT]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:37 PM, Professional Lurker said:

Yup. I literally just wrote and then deleted the mother of all meltdowns. I had to think better of it. Even if I have no snow, I still have my pride.

Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk
 

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Screw pride, let it rip

[DavisStraight]

What are the chances this think ticks 30 miles north? It's been wacky the last 24 hours.

[Brian5671]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:35 PM, CoastalWx said:

Schools all calling off.  Snow emergency at BOS. 

 

I do hope this comes north a bit overnight so we don't have to hear the inevitable "they blew it again.." comments.

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a bunch in CT closed too-I get giving people notice but wait til 6pm not noon

[Brian5671]

almost every model was in agreement last evening-that's 36 hrs out....

[cleetussnow]

[78Blizzard]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:38 PM, DavisStraight said:

What are the chances this think ticks 30 miles north? It's been wacky the last 24 hours.

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I think we will see a north movement from now to go time.  How much, we will see?

[FSUIZZY]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:37 PM, Professional Lurker said:

Yup. I literally just wrote and then deleted the mother of all meltdowns. I had to think better of it. Even if I have no snow, I still have my pride.

Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk
 

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Yeh, I understand how you feel. I have been in this forum for about 13 years. I barely write. Once every few years. This storm pissed me off so bad I had to sign in just to express myself.

[Typhoon Tip]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:35 PM, CoastalWx said:

Schools all calling off.  Snow emergency at BOS. 

 

I do hope this comes north a bit overnight so we don't have to hear the inevitable "they blew it again.." comments.

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If this goes on to break this way ... the public trust issue needs damage control.  The commoners have short memories - kind of like MLB ... you're only as good as your last at bat?   

But say even a partial move back, like a 50 mi back NW bringing even 4" to the Pike would do a lot for people's impressions because the vast majority of the public cares more about inconveniencing at all, as opposed to inches that have fallen.

If they are disrupted by traffic jams and inconvenience while their is snow actually in the air, that's usually good enough

[The Graupler]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:35 PM, CoastalWx said:

Schools all calling off.  Snow emergency at BOS. 

 

I do hope this comes north a bit overnight so we don't have to hear the inevitable "they blew it again.." comments.

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If this is anything less than 8-10 that’s exactly what they’ll be saying 

[weathafella]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:40 PM, 78Blizzard said:

I think we will see a north movement from now to go time.  How much, we will see?

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I agree actually.  Since my daughter’s SO is a Boston teacher he’s off tomorrow.  At the very least I want him to come over and help with snow removal!

[PWMan]

The fact that the NYC area now looks to get buried will make this even worse, as it will be a major national news story. Family from out west who aren't weather geeks and don't understand NE geography will be calling and texting to ask me how we're holding up. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:19 PM, NorEastermass128 said:

This hobby blows sometimes. 

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Yep, it blows right out to sea! 

[HinghamBoss]

Am I seeing things right - did BOX expand Winter Storm Warnings to the coast?

[Sey-Mour Snow]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:39 PM, Brian5671 said:

almost every model was in agreement last evening-that's 36 hrs out....

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All but UKMET

[tavwtby]

at this point, how does one trust the model output, I mean we all look at all the ingredients, telecons and levels etc, but for us amateurs who know more than some, but aren't degreed mets, modeled output is what we look at, if it wasn't for a handful on here with great expertise and explanation, it'd be a shit show just basing decisions like cancelling things on model output, which seemed locked, albeit some nuance, but you understand

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:45 PM, HinghamBoss said:

Am I seeing things right - did BOX expand Winter Storm Warnings to the coast?

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Have you seen the last 25 pages?