Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[FSUIZZY]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:06 PM, CoastalWx said:

Blows for BOS. You aren't getting 10:1 snows. It's probably like 2-3" at BOS.

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That's pretty much half of what Boston has had all year. I think it's been around 7 inches lol. Each year its worse and worse. 

[Greg]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:12 PM, UnitedWx said:

I never said what I expected.  I say you're expecting too much from a government agency that is likely understaffed 

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Not sure about how understaffed they are but I do get your point.

[Patrick-02540]

This feels worse than catching your old lady in bed with the pool boy...I think. 

[Ginx snewx]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:14 PM, Patrick-02540 said:

This feels worse than catching your old lady in bed with the pool boy...I think. 

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Lol 

[Brian5671]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:09 PM, Lava Rock said:

surely the 18th will produce right??

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kicking the can out-running out of runway....11 inches here going back to last year....

[nutmegfriar]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:14 PM, Patrick-02540 said:

This feels worse than catching your old lady in bed with the pool boy...I think. 

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Especially if the pool boy was going south, too.

[Greg]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:14 PM, FSUIZZY said:

That's pretty much half of what Boston has had all year. I think it's been around 7 inches lol. Each year its worse and worse. 

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I thought they were at 9.1" for the season but I get the overall point.

[Damage In Tolland]

One set of guidance away from a total SNE whiff

[Snowcrazed71]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:16 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

One set of guidance away from a total SNE whiff

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I don't think anybody would have expected this but this juncture. But I would just prepare yourself that it's not happening for us. Par for course for another winter like last.

[DJln491]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:14 PM, Patrick-02540 said:

This feels worse than catching your old lady in bed with the pool boy...I think. 

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this is worse

[Hoth]

lol this is astounding. I can’t remember the last time models puked on themselves like this at such a short lead. 

[The Graupler]

King Kong Bundy was morbidly obese but I loved that man 

[NorEastermass128]

This hobby blows sometimes. 

[TJW014]

Sheesh it's like Fukushima with all the meltdowns in here

[Sn0waddict]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:19 PM, NorEastermass128 said:

This hobby blows sometimes. 

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Sometimes?

[STILL N OF PIKE]

 

[SnowHole413]

Good thing I’m going in early to dispatch tree crews for eversource. Will be a boring day tomorrow for WMA

[subdude]

Wow just wow...

[brooklynwx99]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:08 PM, weatherwiz said:

Well time to just start preparing for May and severe season. At least we don't see these epic model fails happen leading up to severe events. Awful 

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all of this was due to a busted severe outbreak. the latent heat release that sparked the vort amplification never happened

[EMontpelierWhiteout]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:06 PM, CoastalWx said:

Blows for BOS. You aren't getting 10:1 snows. It's probably like 2-3" at BOS.

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Time to grab the ski gear and head for the high point on Nantucket

[STILL N OF PIKE]

 

[JC-CT]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:22 PM, brooklynwx99 said:

all of this was due to a busted severe outbreak. the latent heat release that sparked the vort amplification never happened

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Quick, everyone outside to fart

[NorEastermass128]

Thread the needle fail. Last minute bumps N tonight?

[STILL N OF PIKE]

And one more from the crankster . I like his maps and explanations of at least what to watch 

 

[ORH_wxman]

19z RAP ticked back NW a little bit compared to the 18z run. 19z HRRR doesn't look like it moved much at all. Gonna keep an eye on these post-18z runs. I don't think you should expect anything other than S trends with other 18z guidance that hasn't come out yet.

[78Blizzard]

Imagine someone who signed off here late this morning and came back to see all these pages, picking up where he left off.  His joy turned into bitter disappointment as he began reading.

[Typhoon Tip]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:22 PM, brooklynwx99 said:

all of this was due to a busted severe outbreak. the latent heat release that sparked the vort amplification never happened

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Mm  there was lots of convective release down S though. I think the intrusive/mishandling of the N/stream being a subtly 'less' phasing influence vs more neg interference is pretty culpable from what I am seeing.  That confluence relaxed yesterday and is subtly showing back up in the models..

may not be right...just sayn'

[Greg]

Really big midnight models coming! Must stay tuned!

[tavwtby]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:28 PM, 78Blizzard said:

Imagine someone who signed off here late this morning and came back to see all these pages, picking up where he left off.  His joy turned into bitter disappointment as he began reading.

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yeah I'm one of those...

[DavisStraight]

  On 2/12/2024 at 8:27 PM, ORH_wxman said:

19z RAP ticked back NW a little bit compared to the 18z run. 19z HRRR doesn't look like it moved much at all. Gonna keep an eye on these post-18z runs. I don't think you should expect anything other than S trends with other 18z guidance that hasn't come out yet.

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What about this model?