Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[FSUIZZY]

12 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Wonder how fast forecasts catch up -most of the public thinks a monster is coming....school supers with the finger on the cancel button.....no school for white rain lol.

With Boston Schools closed and surrounding school systems closing around them. A lot of parents are going to be pissed. And to be honest I have no idea whether to trust these European Models. Let's be frank its too damn warm to produce that much snow. My bet is everyone in New England loses out at this rate. I don't think I have seen a model change so much 12 hours before a storm.

[Brian5671]

2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

18z HRRR crushes NYC.

What a system for modeling.

Philly too where the forecast right now is for rain

[FSUIZZY]

2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

18z HRRR crushes NYC.

What a system for modeling.

Yeh the model can show it will crush NYC. But they will be lucky to get 1-3 inches. Its to damn warm. What are they going to have but 5 hours of steady snow fall?

[MuddyWx]

If the huge south shift verifies... what a ukie coup. It never really budged much

[weatherwiz]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

If you want to follow something definitive upstream that will tell us whether the latest southern guidance is more correct, look at the radar along the Ohio River in SE Ohio tonight between 8pm-midnight....almost all of the guidance that crushes SNE gets good precip just over the Ohio river into the border counties of SE Ohio....the crappy runs keep it in West Virginia and basically completely whiff those Ohio counties. It ends up making a big difference downstream later on for us as the difference gets magnified....

 

 

 

I know they had some WWA in southern Indiana that ended up being dropped. 

[tomcatct]

1 minute ago, Brian5671 said:

Philly too where the forecast right now is for rain

Jeez..that has us getting almost a foot...I don't see it happening. 

[UnitedWx]

3 minutes ago, Greg said:

The trends have been obvious even before 5AM

Wholesale trends like this afternoon... no

[Brian5671]

1 minute ago, tomcatct said:

Jeez..that has us getting almost a foot...I don't see it happening. 

that assumes no more shifts south-another 25 miles and we have white rain with lighter rates and temps 34-35

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, UnitedWx said:

Wholesale trends like this afternoon... no

Yea that's bs

[powderfreak]

2 minutes ago, FSUIZZY said:

Yeh the model can show it will crush NYC. But they will be lucky to get 1-3 inches. Its to damn warm. What are they going to have but 5 hours of steady snow fall?

The positive snow depth map is likely the much better option.

[78Blizzard]

6 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

18z HRRR crushes NYC.

What a system for modeling.

Even a 30-40 mile shift back N will make a big difference for many.  This isn't done yet.

[Prismshine Productions]

NAM trends south, UKIE scored the coop

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[codfishsnowman]

Early April 2003 also comes to mind

[HinghamBoss]

What's fascinating here: the models have largely been consistent for days on end.

[HoarfrostHubb]

I need a new hobby.  Is there a "Cooking Crystal Meth for Dummies" book?

[ineedsnow]

NAM says she gone

[dryslot]

24 minutes ago, tunafish said:

Seems like all those "Has dryslot been posting?" posts were bad for karma.  

This turned into a shit sandwich in a hurry for even a lot of SNE, Some in CT/RI still looks ok Hate to see it for the rest..

[Greg]

14 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Just need the shifts to stop-it's really I-84 now

More like even south of that.

[FXWX]

22 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Wonder how fast forecasts catch up -most of the public thinks a monster is coming....school supers with the finger on the cancel button.....no school for white rain lol.

I warned my 100 districts at 2 pm to not jump on early decisions... 

[Sn0waddict]

1 minute ago, Prismshine Productions said:

NAM trends south, UKIE scored the coop

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CMC was suppressed since the beginning as well.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

23 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Wonder how fast forecasts catch up -most of the public thinks a monster is coming....school supers with the finger on the cancel button.....no school for white rain lol.

Very slowly 

cold feet and the politics of being under less heat for overforcasting amounts and cancelling school or now coming out saying well the last 4 days were locked and now we don’t know so why pay us lol . I think all forecasters should at least convey there is a chance that it doesn’t get as well going and market that idea as (would be good luck ) and that would be a good thing but we are forecasting for children’s safety and there is a large enough chance for major disruption that we cancel 

[JC-CT]

NAM SHOWS A HUGE SNOWSTORM FOR PARTS OF NEW ENGLAND

[CoastalWx]

NAM is good in SE MA.

[DavisStraight]

2 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

NAM trends south, UKIE scored the coop

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Aint over til it's over

[tomcatct]

3 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

that assumes no more shifts south-another 25 miles and we have white rain with lighter rates and temps 34-35

I think we'll be lucky to get a few inches of mess

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

NAM is good in SE MA.

Is there a fu emoji

[CoastalWx]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Is there a fu emoji

The bogs need love too.

[Greg]

11 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

Wholesale trends like this afternoon... no

Still trends were there before 5AM, just not wholesale, more suble to the trained eye.

[Brian5671]

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

NAM SHOWS A HUGE SNOWSTORM FOR PARTS OF NEW ENGLAND

[Prismshine Productions]

No words.

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