FSUIZZY Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 7:35 PM, Brian5671 said: Wonder how fast forecasts catch up -most of the public thinks a monster is coming....school supers with the finger on the cancel button.....no school for white rain lol. Expand With Boston Schools closed and surrounding school systems closing around them. A lot of parents are going to be pissed. And to be honest I have no idea whether to trust these European Models. Let's be frank its too damn warm to produce that much snow. My bet is everyone in New England loses out at this rate. I don't think I have seen a model change so much 12 hours before a storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 7:49 PM, powderfreak said: 18z HRRR crushes NYC. What a system for modeling. Expand Philly too where the forecast right now is for rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FSUIZZY Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 7:49 PM, powderfreak said: 18z HRRR crushes NYC. What a system for modeling. Expand Yeh the model can show it will crush NYC. But they will be lucky to get 1-3 inches. Its to damn warm. What are they going to have but 5 hours of steady snow fall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuddyWx Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 If the huge south shift verifies... what a ukie coup. It never really budged much 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 7:48 PM, ORH_wxman said: If you want to follow something definitive upstream that will tell us whether the latest southern guidance is more correct, look at the radar along the Ohio River in SE Ohio tonight between 8pm-midnight....almost all of the guidance that crushes SNE gets good precip just over the Ohio river into the border counties of SE Ohio....the crappy runs keep it in West Virginia and basically completely whiff those Ohio counties. It ends up making a big difference downstream later on for us as the difference gets magnified.... Expand I know they had some WWA in southern Indiana that ended up being dropped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomcatct Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 7:51 PM, Brian5671 said: Philly too where the forecast right now is for rain Expand Jeez..that has us getting almost a foot...I don't see it happening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 7:50 PM, Greg said: The trends have been obvious even before 5AM Expand Wholesale trends like this afternoon... no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 7:53 PM, tomcatct said: Jeez..that has us getting almost a foot...I don't see it happening. Expand that assumes no more shifts south-another 25 miles and we have white rain with lighter rates and temps 34-35 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 7:54 PM, UnitedWx said: Wholesale trends like this afternoon... no Expand Yea that's bs 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 7:52 PM, FSUIZZY said: Yeh the model can show it will crush NYC. But they will be lucky to get 1-3 inches. Its to damn warm. What are they going to have but 5 hours of steady snow fall? Expand The positive snow depth map is likely the much better option. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 7:49 PM, powderfreak said: 18z HRRR crushes NYC. What a system for modeling. Expand Even a 30-40 mile shift back N will make a big difference for many. This isn't done yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 NAM trends south, UKIE scored the coopSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 Early April 2003 also comes to mind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 What's fascinating here: the models have largely been consistent for days on end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 I need a new hobby. Is there a "Cooking Crystal Meth for Dummies" book? 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 NAM says she gone 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 7:34 PM, tunafish said: Seems like all those "Has dryslot been posting?" posts were bad for karma. Expand This turned into a shit sandwich in a hurry for even a lot of SNE, Some in CT/RI still looks ok Hate to see it for the rest.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 7:44 PM, Brian5671 said: Just need the shifts to stop-it's really I-84 now Expand More like even south of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 7:35 PM, Brian5671 said: Wonder how fast forecasts catch up -most of the public thinks a monster is coming....school supers with the finger on the cancel button.....no school for white rain lol. Expand I warned my 100 districts at 2 pm to not jump on early decisions... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 7:56 PM, Prismshine Productions said: NAM trends south, UKIE scored the coop Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Expand CMC was suppressed since the beginning as well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 7:35 PM, Brian5671 said: Wonder how fast forecasts catch up -most of the public thinks a monster is coming....school supers with the finger on the cancel button.....no school for white rain lol. Expand Very slowly cold feet and the politics of being under less heat for overforcasting amounts and cancelling school or now coming out saying well the last 4 days were locked and now we don’t know so why pay us lol . I think all forecasters should at least convey there is a chance that it doesn’t get as well going and market that idea as (would be good luck ) and that would be a good thing but we are forecasting for children’s safety and there is a large enough chance for major disruption that we cancel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 NAM SHOWS A HUGE SNOWSTORM FOR PARTS OF NEW ENGLAND Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 NAM is good in SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 7:56 PM, Prismshine Productions said: NAM trends south, UKIE scored the coop Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Expand Aint over til it's over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomcatct Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 7:55 PM, Brian5671 said: that assumes no more shifts south-another 25 miles and we have white rain with lighter rates and temps 34-35 Expand I think we'll be lucky to get a few inches of mess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 7:59 PM, CoastalWx said: NAM is good in SE MA. Expand Is there a fu emoji 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 8:01 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Is there a fu emoji Expand The bogs need love too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 7:54 PM, UnitedWx said: Wholesale trends like this afternoon... no Expand Still trends were there before 5AM, just not wholesale, more suble to the trained eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 On 2/12/2024 at 7:59 PM, JC-CT said: NAM SHOWS A HUGE SNOWSTORM FOR PARTS OF NEW ENGLAND Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 No words.Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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