Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[Brian5671]

  On 2/12/2024 at 1:35 PM, weatherwiz said:

7z NBM has BDL right around 33 for much of the storm and BOS mid 30's during the pre-dawn and then like 34-35 for the storm. 

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Better come down heavy or it's alot of colder surfaces type accums 

[weatherwiz]

  On 2/12/2024 at 1:47 PM, Brian5671 said:

Better come down heavy or it's alot of colder surfaces type accums 

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Temps will be more of a concern along eastern coastline like Will said, maybe even along coastal CT but ultimately temperatures are going to be tied into precipitation and rates as well. If we're getting crushed with banding or heavy precip its going to be snow. But I think there needs to be a bit more thought about power outage potential.

[CoastalWx]

Even inland it’s mild. Weird to see. I think it’s probably a couple degrees too warm inland though. 

[ORH_wxman]

12z NAM so far seems to have more northern stream interaction through 18h vs 06z....so we'll see if this bumps back a touch NW with the precip shield.

[SouthCoastMA]

  On 2/12/2024 at 1:54 PM, CoastalWx said:

Even inland it’s mild. Weird to see. I think it’s probably a couple degrees too warm inland though. 

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GFS or most models? I guess if it was only the GFS id toss it's thermals..but concerned if others were on board,  especially here. We need rates in the end

 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Nammy is that you 

[WinterWolf]

  On 2/12/2024 at 1:44 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Eastern coastline....it's fine back west.

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Yup. Still feeling good here…in a good spot for this right now, significantly inland and away from coasts… 6z Euro is tossed imo at the moment.  I don’t see temps being an issue here(Groton, New London, Stonington  sure), but inland it’s cold enough.  
 

[ORH_wxman]

Def a good bump N of 06z through 24h.

[wx2fish]

Much better for SNE this run

[CoastalWx]

Nam slams. Models are so lost. Euro to the glue factory. Again.

[JC-CT]

  On 2/12/2024 at 1:59 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Def a good bump N of 06z through 24h.

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Pretty classic look down here

[MJO812]

  On 2/12/2024 at 2:02 PM, wx2fish said:

Much better for SNE this run

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[JC-CT]

Back to your regularly scheduled worrying about dryslot

[CoastalWx]

That’s a good band sig initially north of  pike.

[WinterWolf]

  On 2/12/2024 at 2:02 PM, CoastalWx said:

Nam slams. Models are so lost. Euro to the glue factory. Again.

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Yup…Euro is trash. Might even not make good glue, more like the paste we all used as kindergarteners instead. Horrible. 

[ORH_wxman]

This is poundtown look at H7

[WinterWolf]

  On 2/12/2024 at 2:02 PM, MJO812 said:

 

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We take that and enjoy. Great look there. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Let the dopamine flow

this run got me feeling like a teenage dream. just me and Katy 

 

[CoastalWx]

  On 2/12/2024 at 2:04 PM, ORH_wxman said:

This is poundtown look at H7

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Yeah it is. Then slowly moves SE. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Hi res FTW AWT 

Euro FTL AWT

[WinterWolf]

  On 2/12/2024 at 2:06 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Hi res FTW AWT 

Euro FTL AWT

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Agreed. 

[weatherwiz]

  On 2/12/2024 at 2:04 PM, ORH_wxman said:

This is poundtown look at H7

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This is so much more visually appealing and stimulating than a snow map  

I'm thinking of calling a congrats Kevin on this one.

[Spanks45]

  On 2/12/2024 at 2:04 PM, WinterWolf said:

Yup…Euro is trash. Might even not make good glue, more like the paste we all used as kindergarteners instead. Horrible. 

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We are at that point in the relationship with the Euro where we still expect it to be right and/or score a coup whether it is what we want or not. But in reality it is just wrong than it is right and has been for quite some time. Not quite on the level of the REGM, but it is almost starting to feel like it....It had one great run years ago and now it just sucks, lol

[moneypitmike]

  On 2/12/2024 at 2:04 PM, ORH_wxman said:

This is poundtown look at H7

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Bump that a little more.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

What the next run we can hang our feeble but strengthening weenies on 

[MJO812]

  On 2/12/2024 at 2:05 PM, WinterWolf said:

We take that and enjoy. Great look there. 

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Nam can be too amped at times but no way the euro is right.

[WinterWolf]

  On 2/12/2024 at 2:08 PM, Spanks45 said:

We are at that point in the relationship with the Euro where we still expect it to be right and/or score a coup whether it is what we want or not. But in reality it is just wrong than it is right and has been for quite some time. Not quite on the level of the REGM, but it is almost starting to feel like it....It had one great run years ago and now it just sucks, lol

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Agree. Definitely a Varsity model, but Something happened to that model…and it has never quite recovered. Erratic and jumpy.  As Runnaway has said, it’s JAM now. 

[JC-CT]

It does seem to be narrowing in on a CT-trajectory special

[Spanks45]

  On 2/12/2024 at 2:11 PM, WinterWolf said:

Agree. Definitely a Varsity model, but Something happened to that model…and it has never quite recovered. Erratic and jumpy.  As Runnaway has said, it’s JAM now. 

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3k is a thing of beauty around here....under 24 hrs until start time, lets bring this home already

[ORH_wxman]

  On 2/12/2024 at 2:07 PM, weatherwiz said:

This is so much more visually appealing and stimulating than a snow map  

I'm thinking of calling a congrats Kevin on this one.

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I've become more and more disillusioned with clown maps...they are lazy and often too wrong...looking at mid-levels and soundings is way better.