Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[CTSkywarn]

Anyone surprised no watch up for the CT coast? Anyone familiar with North Madison and North Guilford realize those areas literally border interior zones to the west and east.....North Branford and Killiingworth, yet still classified as southern zones of New Haven county. I guess not much can be done about that unless they become separate towns. But in these types of situations we could get as slammed up here when the immediate coast doesn't do nearly as well. Guess just one the nuances that can't be fixed.

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[mreaves]

10 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Oh, looks like I got the 21z RAP in my corner now too, lol.

Ask @powderfreakabout the ARW

[mahk_webstah]

14 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Ah great, my hopes appear to be resting on the ICON and the 3k NAM. What a duo, haha. Gonna need me a freak deform band, zonked ratios, and some east flow to go.

Yeah we’re not gettin this one

[moneypitmike]

37 minutes ago, RDRY said:

Everything trending away from a central/northern Berks hit.

 

28 minutes ago, RDRY said:

It's uncanny. The second the NWS went to a Winter Storm Warning for the southern Berks, the next round of models dropped totals in half. They couldn't have waited one more hour to commit?

 

[8611Blizz]

Channel 5 going 6-8 along the coast. 

[mahk_webstah]

Strange that Elster kept Watches for SNH.  He must be thinking good ratios.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

40 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Are Sey-Mour and Luke finally putting away their toasters? PTSD boys

We replaced toasters with smiles 

[Go Kart Mozart]

This may have been asked, but are we looking at Tsnow?

[HIPPYVALLEY]

4 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

This may have been asked, but are we looking at Tsnow?

Isolated but yes, somebody may get thunder with insane rates. 

[Sn0waddict]

Catching up after running errands all day. Wow 18z models look better! 3k and RGEM especially.

[The 4 Seasons]

29 minutes ago, CTSkywarn said:

Anyone surprised no watch up for the CT coast? Anyone familiar with North Madison and North Guilford realize those areas literally border interior zones to the west and east.....North Branford and Killiingworth, yet still classified as southern zones of New Haven county. I guess not much can be done about that unless they become separate towns. But in these types of situations we could get as slammed up here when the immediate coast doesn't do nearly as well. Guess just one the nuances that can't be fixed.

Sent from my moto g 5G (2022) using Tapatalk
 

Very. i thought it was almost a certainty, especially considering BOX has watches down to the coast so it doesnt line up. Meaningless either way, but surprised nonetheless. 

[dendrite]

20 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Strange that Elster kept Watches for SNH.  He must be thinking good ratios.

You don’t want to windshield wipe it. They’re just watches…wait for another set of runs.

[ROOSTA]

First things first.

FOOTBALL

 

It's annoying and often forgotten how bad the IMBY posts seem to overwelm the "good" posts.

To those watch the game, come back and maybe by 00z things will have changed. 

 

[weatherwiz]

I don't think there would be thundersnow. But I usually overplay it so now that I say there won't be we'll have thunder galore. 

[Torch Tiger]

wow concerns for MHT and north, perhaps even ASH if talking about "big" totals.  

[SJonesWX]

3 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

wow concerns for MHT and north, perhaps even ASH if talking about "big" totals.  

thanks for pointing that out, Captain Obvious 

[moneypitmike]

The Canadiens might have been right all along.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

30 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

We replaced toasters with smiles 

We needed a day like today to be confident. We know our climo here and how these trends inside 72hrs so today was clutch. 

[moneypitmike]

8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

We needed a day like today to be confident. We know our climo here and how these trends inside 72hrs so today was clutch. 

48 hours to continue trending.  Trenton bound.

[mahk_webstah]

19 minutes ago, dendrite said:

You don’t want to windshield wipe it. They’re just watches…wait for another set of runs.

Well I know he knows what he’s doing.  And I suppose somewhere up this way has a shot at a band with ratios.  But it is an SNE special and we’ve been there before.

[mahk_webstah]

9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

We needed a day like today to be confident. We know our climo here and how these trends inside 72hrs so today was clutch. 

You’re back!

[Torch Tiger]

13 minutes ago, SJonesWX said:

thanks for pointing that out, Captain Obvious 

Some were demarcating CON earlier, Mr. Cranky Pants

[moneypitmike]

anyone see the Euro?

[The 4 Seasons]

Just now, moneypitmike said:

anyone see the Euro?

It's not out yet. soon.

[8611Blizz]

[ORH_wxman]

47 minutes ago, dendrite said:

You don’t want to windshield wipe it. They’re just watches…wait for another set of runs.

Yeah there’s still another full day of model guidance to tickle back north. Even right now, the midlevels aren’t bad for S NH…maybe not jackpot but pretty good

[78Blizzard]

7 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said:

What would be really funny is the 18z GFS verifying so that 2-4" became 20" down on the outer Cape.

[weatherwiz]

Still pretty impressive stuff on the 18z GFS bufkit for BDL. 45 units of omega into the SGZ is pretty wild stuff. I am still a little nervous about getting widespread 12''+ (but did that anyways) given how quickly this race through. Cobb technique does have ratios under the banding around 13:1. If we can get ratios that high then 12''+ should happen

[ORH_wxman]

Euro looks a touch more amped at 42h? 

[MJO812]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Euro looks a touch more amped at 42h?