Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[ariof]

  On 2/11/2024 at 3:02 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Pete gets it 

https://x.com/petenbcboston/status/1756681688380244380?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

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24mb pressure falls? Uh, okay.

[cleetussnow]

  On 2/11/2024 at 2:45 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

I still wonder how so many here don’t know where Tolland is on a map lol

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IKR?  I mean you see it from anywhere

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 2/11/2024 at 3:04 PM, SnowGoose69 said:

 

Inside 30-36 it definitely does when you're talking about mid-level warm nose stuff...sometimes beyond that in events where you're all snow or all rain with no concerns about mixed precip I have seen it sometimes capture banding ideas or track better than the 12K but it seems to be a crapshoot on that

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Yea. Ive been putting up caution flags for the south Ct crew. Nam keeps ramping nw and so is the rgem but it’s like 1-2 cycles behind. 

[Kitz Craver]

  On 2/11/2024 at 3:10 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

 

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That is pound me town right over MBY

[Kitz Craver]

  On 2/11/2024 at 3:18 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yea. Ive been putting up caution flags for the south Ct crew. Nam keeps ramping nw and so is the rgem but it’s like 1-2 cycles behind. 

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In Reggie we trust

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 2/11/2024 at 3:19 PM, Kitz Craver said:

In Reggie we trust

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I wish dude but It’s about the trends and not the individual output. Look at the last 4 runs of rgem and guess where it is going next?

[Kitz Craver]

  On 2/11/2024 at 3:20 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I wish dude but It’s about the trends and not the individual output. Look at the last 4 runs of rgem and guess where it is going next?

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I kid, I kid…

[DDweatherman]

  On 2/11/2024 at 3:18 PM, Kitz Craver said:

That is pound me town right over MBY

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I am watching runs to consider a chase up to Mohegan Sun, have some comp rooms available. Will probably be a game time decision.

[NotSureWeather]

69 people viewing this thread… nice.

[TheSnowman]

  On 2/11/2024 at 2:45 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

I still wonder how so many here don’t know where Tolland is on a map lol

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Kevin realizing that Even with How Much he posts, people still can’t find Tolland as easily as even a Gen Z girl can find France.  Sad.  

 

Love where I am for this storm… meaning I’m probably in trouble.  

[Kitz Craver]

  On 2/11/2024 at 3:25 PM, DDweatherman said:

I am watching runs to consider a chase up to Mohegan Sun, have some comp rooms available. Will probably be a game time decision.

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Yeah, all of us southerners could ultimately end up too far south. 

[NotSureWeather]

  On 2/11/2024 at 3:15 PM, ariof said:

24mb pressure falls? Uh, okay.

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Most models drop it like 23 mb in 24 hours so not that crazy. The key is it is still dropping as it runs away from us. Think he is taking those numbers.

[DDweatherman]

  On 2/11/2024 at 3:27 PM, Kitz Craver said:

Yeah, all of us southerners could ultimately end up too far south. 

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The RA/SN line folks who end up just on the good side will be having a blast…great rates, good gusts, low vis with fatties falling. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

  On 2/11/2024 at 3:00 PM, CoastalWx said:

Have I been wrong? I know what it takes around these parts. I’m not feeling the big snows, but hopefully a decent storm. 

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Nobody has said big snows though. I think some of this is defense mechanism stuff.

 

Are thoughts aren’t much different. You say 4-7 I say 6-9

[STILL N OF PIKE]

RDPS looks yummy 

[Spanks45]

  On 2/11/2024 at 3:20 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I wish dude but It’s about the trends and not the individual output. Look at the last 4 runs of rgem and guess where it is going next?

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Writing has been on the wall since the start of the 22/23 winter...we know how this ends. A mixed bag of 2-4 inches

[Sey-Mour Snow]

  On 2/11/2024 at 3:20 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I wish dude but It’s about the trends and not the individual output. Look at the last 4 runs of rgem and guess where it is going next?

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Reggie is actually pretty consistent .. 850, 700, and surface lows all in general same spot, that run was just more amped with the goods. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

  On 2/11/2024 at 3:36 PM, Spanks45 said:

Writing has been on the wall since the start of the 22/23 winter...we know how this ends. A mixed bag of a 2-4 inches 

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A widespread 3" +  in southern CT would be the biggest storm since the Jan 22 blizzard miss. I'm pretty optimistic that we do see a widespread 3"+ down here .. 

[NEblizzard88]

  On 2/11/2024 at 2:36 PM, Heisy said:

Storms like this are the reason I was always wanted to live in Mass. I love Philly, but man do we suck at snow. I’m almost 40 I gotta take the plunge soon. Enjoy it


.

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Born and raised in balto co Maryland ALWAYS on the line of rain/snow - my family in the county to the west would get a foot, we would see nothing and it happens all. the. time…. I moved up to central Mass last March 2 days before that snowstorm and I that’s when I realized I made the right move. Life is short you want snow you gotta move to the snow!! Best decision! 

[CoastalWx]

  On 2/11/2024 at 3:32 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Nobody has said big snows though. I think some of this is defense mechanism stuff.

 

Are thoughts aren’t much different. You say 4-7 I say 6-9

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LOL. A Debbie is someone like Qomega or the pope who just purposely and blindly talk it down. I haven’t done that. This will be a good one especially inland. My range is for this area. Upside is probably 6-9. Many areas even inland are above 32 to start, but it will take time to accumulate efficiently for you and I. 

[ORH_wxman]

Icon ticked south again so I think we’re starting to converge. Not that we really care about that model but I try to look for trends in the outliers. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

GFS is a tic South again this run through 30

[Sey-Mour Snow]

  On 2/11/2024 at 3:43 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Icon ticked south again so I think we’re starting to converge. N it that we really care about that model but I try to look for trends in the outliers. 

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It's ticked 200 miles south with the heavy snow axis since 12z yesterday ... Just a Global NAM

[Ginx snewx]

  On 2/11/2024 at 10:46 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

Everything on track for 8-14” lollis to 16 for SNE. Warning snows to coast.Expected Messenger  ticks beginning at 6z. Nice move south 6z GFS for S CT folks 

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Locked in

[TalcottWx]

I am in an excellent spot in Weatogue, but I will be in Hartford during the storm. City should do OK. 

[Ginx snewx]

  On 2/11/2024 at 3:28 PM, NotSureWeather said:

Most models drop it like 23 mb in 24 hours so not that crazy. The key is it is still dropping as it runs away from us. Think he is taking those numbers.

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24 in 24 is technically a bomb

[CoastalWx]

Gfs looks less juicy and maybe a tick south. Still pretty mild outside higher elevations. 

[NW_of_GYX]

Starting to feel like a 3-6” forecast here 

[mahk_webstah]

  On 2/11/2024 at 3:50 PM, NW_of_GYX said:

Starting to feel like a 3-6” forecast here 

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Same here with the caveat being where a band may set up for 6 to 10