Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[Ginx snewx]

Locked in.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Anyone know what causes that "gap" in dynamics in the GOM, just as it exits MA and until it nears NS? Does it start to occlude and that get more N steam insert?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 2/11/2024 at 4:13 AM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

You know I want to see you snow more than most here because we are both often on the fringes. However, I don't have a lot of confidence in seeing a strengthening trend in confluence as we move closer.  Tics N may still be in play. 

I really just want a region wide 6"+ for everyone. 

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Oh I agree. The only way this ticks se would be with less n/s interaction. 

[dryslot]

  On 2/11/2024 at 4:16 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

That thing nailed 1/7.....I remember I was laughing at it showing 15-20" over me as the storm was starting.....19" later.

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Every dog has its day.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 2/11/2024 at 4:21 AM, dryslot said:

Every dog has its day.

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Yea, I'm not advocating for a rip n' read...just saying...

[40/70 Benchmark]

GFS and ICON both took a step towards the 12z EURO, just not quite so apeshit.

[powderfreak]

Hard to deny the GFS consistency.  Nice hits over and over for SNE.  This stuff is healthy.

[WinterWolf]

  On 2/11/2024 at 4:16 AM, Ginx snewx said:

Locked in.

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Seems that way to me too.  Jack pots to be determined.   But think it’s a nice winter storm for most in SNE. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 2/11/2024 at 4:27 AM, WinterWolf said:

Seems that way to me too.  Jack pots to be determined.   But think it’s a nice winter storm for most in SNE. 

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We grab a widespread 10"+ and then a big dog INVOF PD, then it will be tough for anyone to grade this season an "F", aside from maybe 1717.

[dryslot]

  On 2/11/2024 at 4:23 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, I'm not advocating for a rip n' read...just saying...

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I see where your coming from in that regard, But max snow up here being 7.5" for one storm, I'll glide by giving the HRRR kudos, GGEM probably gave me that lol if i looked.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

  On 2/11/2024 at 4:25 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

GFS and ICON both took a step towards the 12z EURO, just not quite so apeshit.

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Ya' but if an ape shits in the woods and there's nobody around to hear it,  does it still snow imby? 

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 2/11/2024 at 4:28 AM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Ya' but if an ape shits in the woods and there's nobody around to hear it,  does it still snow imby? 

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Sure, its just a 16" log instead of a 24".

[WinterWolf]

  On 2/11/2024 at 4:28 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

We grab a widespread 10"+ and then a big dog INVOF PD, then it will be tough for anyone to grade this season an "F", aside from maybe 1717.

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Absolutely AGREED Ray.   I’m feeling this. I’m not a Jack pot guy…but I think 8” is a good bet here as of now. Maybe a bit more too..?  Then we see what the next 2-3 weeks can muster. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 2/11/2024 at 4:18 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Anyone know what causes that "gap" in dynamics in the GOM, just as it exits MA and until it nears NS? Does it start to occlude and that get more N steam insert?

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@ORH_wxman?

[78Blizzard]

Let's see if the last holdout, the Ukie, can get on board now.

[40/70 Benchmark]

I can't stop ogling the 12z EURO....just naught, filthy thoughts....absolute basement run.

[MJO812]

  On 2/11/2024 at 4:40 AM, 78Blizzard said:

Let's see if the last holdout, the Ukie, can get on board now.

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[ORH_wxman]

  On 2/11/2024 at 4:38 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

@ORH_wxman?

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Not sure. GFS has showed it a few times but it hasn’t been showing up much on other guidance I checked. The partial phase does show the thing going really neg tilt at that point on the GFS and maybe it gets one last shot of moisture from the convective WCB wrapping all the way into the CCB….but yeah, kind of weird how and can only speculate 

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 2/11/2024 at 4:44 AM, ORH_wxman said:

Not sure. GFS has showed it a few times but it hasn’t been showing up much on other guidance I checked. The partial phase does show the thing going really neg tilt at that point on the GFS and maybe it gets one last shot of moisture from the convective WCB wrapping all the way into the CCB….but yeah, kind of weird how and can only speculate 

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EURO did it a hair on 18z, but pretty trivial....like 2" worth.

[Go Kart Mozart]

  On 2/11/2024 at 4:43 AM, MJO812 said:

 

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Us southerners like that look.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Ukie still not biting. 

[MJO812]

  On 2/11/2024 at 4:46 AM, Go Kart Mozart said:

Us southerners like that look.

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[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 2/11/2024 at 4:46 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Ukie still bites. 

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[78Blizzard]

  On 2/11/2024 at 4:43 AM, MJO812 said:

 

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Ray might get an inch out of that, lol.

[40/70 Benchmark]

If the UK wins this, I will sign my blog over to @MJO812.

No chance....zip, zero.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 2/11/2024 at 4:46 AM, Go Kart Mozart said:

Us southerners like that look.

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It’s weak sauce though. Like 2-4” SoP.

[MJO812]

  On 2/11/2024 at 4:47 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

If the UK wins this, I will sign my blog over to @MJO812.

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[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 2/11/2024 at 4:48 AM, MJO812 said:

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Eastern Brooklyn Weather

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

  On 2/11/2024 at 4:43 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I can't stop ogling the 12z EURO....just naught, filthy thoughts....absolute basement run.

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Hoping to get some of that magic back at 00z.

[The 4 Seasons]

Really would like to see some ticks south tomorrow morning because the southern CT crowd aint lookin too hot atm..

Last 4 cycles of the EPS. Looks like two distinct camps on the last run of the EPS that are hanging back