Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[40/70 Benchmark]

LOL I knew the EURO would cut my snow in half after that zonked 12z run.

Been the cycle....18z always sucks.

[ORH_wxman]

  On 2/11/2024 at 12:48 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

LOL I knew the EURO would cut my snow in half after that zonked 12z run.

Been the cycle....18z always sucks.

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Much less impressive aloft that run but that’s gonna happen. It’s why we’re not forecasting 1-2 feet. But I think the general idea of a favorable track puts a floor of about 7-8” there. Exact dynamic evolution still TBD which will determine whether it’s 8-10” or 12-18” in your area. 

[weatherwiz]

  On 2/11/2024 at 12:58 AM, ORH_wxman said:

Much less impressive aloft that run but that’s gonna happen. It’s why we’re not forecasting 1-2 feet. But I think the general idea of a favorable track puts a floor of about 7-8” there. Exact dynamic evolution still TBD which will determine whether it’s 8-10” or 12-18” in your area. 

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If that banding materializes quick enough I think Ray has a good shot for 15” or so. This one will have lots of surprises, on the high and low side. It will be what it will be 

[Torch Tiger]

folks wildin'! Caution flags here

[Patrick-02540]

  On 2/11/2024 at 1:02 AM, weatherwiz said:

If that banding materializes quick enough I think Ray has a good shot for 15” or so. This one will have lots of surprises, on the high and low side. It will be what it will be 

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I agree.  Surprises, surprises. All upside, though.  

[moneypitmike]

  On 2/11/2024 at 12:19 AM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Some are delusional with beer. The EURO (aka the new NAM) has ticked 100 miles north today in 2 runs .. We will just follow GFS which seems to be more stable .. Stay the course for now, EURO simply can't be trusted check out the run to run consistency at every layer just putrid..

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Double digits on the Pit2 doorstep.

I just told my wife she'll have a snow day on Tuesday.  Probably the kiss of death.

[weatherwiz]

  On 2/11/2024 at 1:05 AM, Patrick-02540 said:

I agree.  Surprises, surprises. All upside, though.  

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For some yes…but I think there will be some downside surprises as well. It’s just natural in this type of setup. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Timing with this also correlates to the warmth and lesser totals south.. Timing really moving up again on EURO .. 

[George001]

I’m thinking 12-16 here

[Sey-Mour Snow]

EPS loves the Pike

 

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

  On 2/11/2024 at 1:16 AM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

EPS loves the Pike

 

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Seems to love the Gulf of Maine more unfortunately. I haven't even checked, but I assume most of these runs are continuing to obliterate parts of the maritime provinces.

[weatherwiz]

I’m thinking like 12” for me. Not 11.5, not 11.8, not 10.2, not 13.1, not 12.1”…but a nice solid foot 

[Ginx snewx]

  On 2/11/2024 at 1:25 AM, weatherwiz said:

I’m thinking like 12” for me. Not 11.5, not 11.8, not 10.2, not 13.1, not 12.1”…but a nice solid foot 

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[AstronomyEnjoyer]

Poor SREF is trying its best at long range. Quite the jump.

[ineedsnow]

SREFS finally caved most came well NW.. guessing the NAM CMC RGEM and others will do the same tonight 

[DavisStraight]

  On 2/11/2024 at 1:08 AM, moneypitmike said:

Double digits on the Pit2 doorstep.

I just told my wife she'll have a snow day on Tuesday.  Probably the kiss of death.

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I think Pit 1 will do quite well too.

[dryslot]

Its on now that the SREFS crush...................

[ineedsnow]

  On 2/11/2024 at 1:47 AM, dryslot said:

Its on now that the SREFS crush...................

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lol me and her posted it at the same time 

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

  On 2/11/2024 at 1:48 AM, ineedsnow said:

lol me and her posted it at the same time 

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Now wait a minute, are you referring to me? I'm a guy, lol.

[dendrite]

  On 2/11/2024 at 1:47 AM, dryslot said:

Its on now that the SREFS crush...................

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ICON/SREFs rule?

[dendrite]

We still need the NAM run that sucks powderfreak in for an hour

[dryslot]

  On 2/11/2024 at 1:57 AM, dendrite said:

ICON/SREFs rule?

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EE, IS rule?

[weathafella]

Don’t tell anyone the 21z srefs are based on 18z NAM…..

[dryslot]

  On 2/11/2024 at 2:00 AM, dendrite said:

We still need the NAM run that sucks powderfreak in for an hour

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Its coming!

[ineedsnow]

  On 2/11/2024 at 1:56 AM, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Now wait a minute, are you referring to me? I'm a guy, lol.

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lol I get you confused with the other new poster 

[moneypitmike]

  On 2/11/2024 at 1:56 AM, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Now wait a minute, are you referring to me? I'm a guy, lol.

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·  

 

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

  On 2/11/2024 at 1:56 AM, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Now wait a minute, are you referring to me? I'm a guy, lol.

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Proof, taken this afternoon. Those are guy legs. And that's clearly my yard stick that I've been flexing my snowpack with.

[cleetussnow]

Is there a 18z euro snowmap or rainmap

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

  On 2/11/2024 at 2:10 AM, cleetussnow said:

Is there a 18z euro snowmap or rainmap

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[H2Otown_WX]

One more north tic and we're teetering with disaster like a 1-3" deal even along or slightly north of 84. I feel this could be the worst winter ever in my lifetime given that we had multiple chances to do a lot better but have come up virtually empty.