Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[SouthCoastMA]

Widespread 5-10" spot 12" 

Thinking  5-6" here, at least now

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

That’s why I said widespread. Not everyone    But probably 75% of SNE get in on that.  

I was thinking more 6 to 10. And a narrow area gets maybe 10 to 14 or something like that.

[Damage In Tolland]

8-14” with spot 16” will be fairly widespread 

[The 4 Seasons]

BOX: 
Given there is still uncertainty on the intensity/track of the low
sliding through we are also somewhat uncertain on the exact extent
of the strong winds. Overall NAEFS/EPS situational awareness tables
are quite meh.

Alright which one of you guys did this?

Never seen 'meh' in an AFD before lol

[CoastalWx]

Looks like paste here in every model but nam.

[ChangeofSeasonsWX]

Last night some were saying 12-16 from this. Lol That was never possible to begin with due to how fast this is moving. Overall looks like a moderate impact system. 6-10 widespread.

[Prismshine Productions]

6z Euro kuchie btw

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

BOX: 
Given there is still uncertainty on the intensity/track of the low
sliding through we are also somewhat uncertain on the exact extent
of the strong winds. Overall NAEFS/EPS situational awareness tables
are quite meh.

Alright which one of you guys did this?

Never seen 'meh' in an AFD before lol

None of those guys actually look at soundings anymore. It’s like Steve and charts now.

[ORH_wxman]

There’s still like 3 days for figure QPF but I think someone in a band will do really well with this bumping up against the confluence. 
 

Where it’s cold over the interior, you’re gonna have to watch ratios too if we get a crosshair sig…someone could get a foot from like 0.80” of QPF if they’re going 15 to 1. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Prismshine Productions said:

6z Euro kuchie btw

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk
 

Why do you have such a kuchie fetish?

[NEPASnow]

what's Bernie reasoning for this tweet?

 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

There’s still like 3 days for figure QPF but I think someone in a band will do really well with this bumping up against the confluence. 
 

Where it’s cold over the interior, you’re gonna have to watch ratios too if we get a crosshair sig…someone could get a foot from like 0.80” of QPF if they’re going 15 to 1. 

There’s going to be a 20 mile wide zone extended WSW-ENE or so that gets dumped.

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

There’s going to be a 20 mile wide zone extended WSW-ENE or so that gets dumped.

Yeah and if you’re getting huge omega in that band, I’m thinking someone it gonna go 15 or 18 to 1 on ratios for a chunk of it. So I think that needs to be kept in mind….a little early to obsess over soundings, but sometimes you’ll see people say “what a model bust” if they get a 17” fluff bomb but they ended up with like an inch of QPF just like guidance was saying. 
 

On the flip side, you’ll see it too if they go 7 to 1 ratios but the QPF was still accurate. 

[Damage In Tolland]

11 minutes ago, ChangeofSeasonsWX said:

Last night some were saying 12-16 from this. Lol That was never possible to begin with due to how fast this is moving. Overall looks like a moderate impact system. 6-10 widespread.

It’s not moving fast and yes it is possible 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah and if you’re getting huge omega in that band, I’m thinking someone it gonna go 15 or 18 to 1 on ratios for a chunk of it. So I think that needs to be kept in mind….a little early to obsess over soundings, but sometimes you’ll see people say “what a model bust” if they get a 17” fluff bomb but they ended up with like an inch of QPF just like guidance was saying. 
 

On the flip side, you’ll see it too if they go 7 to 1 ratios but the QPF was still accurate. 

Euro smokes Berks into SW NH. 
 Early guess here is like 4-7 or so. Unless nam temps verify lol. 
 

But yeah this will have one of those intense bands the lasts a few hours and smokes 3”+/hr at times. Probably more in the first half of the storm since the second half of it should start to pivot east.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s not moving fast and yes it is possible 

It’s flying.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah and if you’re getting huge omega in that band, I’m thinking someone it gonna go 15 or 18 to 1 on ratios for a chunk of it. So I think that needs to be kept in mind….a little early to obsess over soundings, but sometimes you’ll see people say “what a model bust” if they get a 17” fluff bomb but they ended up with like an inch of QPF just like guidance was saying. 
 

On the flip side, you’ll see it too if they go 7 to 1 ratios but the QPF was still accurate. 

@HoarfrostHubb

[mahk_webstah]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro smokes Berks into SW NH. 
 Early guess here is like 4-7 or so. Unless nam temps verify lol. 
 

But yeah this will have one of those intense bands the lasts a few hours and smokes 3”+/hr at times. Probably more in the first half of the storm since the second half of it should start to pivot east.

That band is oriented and pointed towards this direction. We’ll have to see how that develops on future runs. Probably the east north east motion will cut it off west of here and move it east south east.

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It’s flying.

It’s a 12-18 hour snowstorm not out in 6 hours like folks are saying 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s a 12-18 hour snowstorm not out in 6 hours like folks are saying 

Not really 

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Not really 

Yes really . Starts around midnight and ends late day Tuesday 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Yes really 

0.5(KFS_Forecast)=solution

[Ginx snewx]

20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

None of those guys actually look at soundings anymore. It’s like Steve and charts now.

Seriously, just why. I post more soundings than charts. Nice friend ehh

[Torch Tiger]

Begins 3-7am for most

[Prismshine Productions]

Why do you have such a kuchie fetish?

Not every storm is going to be 10:1

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Seriously, just why. I post more soundings than charts. Nice friend ehh

Oh for Christ sake obviously I’m kidding lol

[ORH_wxman]

8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s a 12-18 hour snowstorm not out in 6 hours like folks are saying 

It’s prob from first flakes to last flakes it might be 12-15 hours but for stuff that actually is going to accumulate it’s prob like 9 hours. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Prismshine Productions said:

Not every storm is going to be 10:1

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk
 

You’re better off posting 10 to one and then going from there

[CoastalWx]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

It’s prob from first flakes to last flakes it might be 12-15 hours but for stuff that actually is going to accumulate it’s prob like 9 hours. 

Yep

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

It’s prob from first flakes to last flakes it might be 12-15 hours but for stuff that actually is going to accumulate it’s prob like 9 hours. 

WTTTS